zby

42 ms·

481.
by zby 7y ago
No traces of sarin only eliminates one possibility - the reports mostly talk about chlorine.
482.
by zby 7y ago
Now - who can we trust? I tend to trust Bellingcat because of their workshops where they teach people to do the investigations. This looks like hard to manipulate - but who knows? The Bellingcat report supports the official OPCW report: ht
483.
by zby 7y ago
But the control group would know that nothing has changed. The group testing the new method would feel the excitement - the control group would not.
484.
by zby 7y ago
I am affraid this might be https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hawthorne_effect I don't see anything controlling for that in the setup: "The present study examined interleaved practice in a large number of classes
485.
Who Likes Simple Rules?(overcomingbias.com)
2 points by zby 7y ago|0 comments
486.
by zby 7y ago
Related: https://library.mpib-berlin.mpg.de/ft/gg/GG_Null_2004.pdf "The Null Ritual What You Always Wanted to Know About Significance Testing but Were Afraid to Ask"
487.
by zby 8y ago
When a technology does an unexpected thing, something you'd never thought would be possible, it is tempting to think that it is magic and it can do all the other impossible things.
488.
by zby 8y ago
This story is not about AWS contra Open Source - it is about cloud computing versus selling software licenses: https://hackernoon.com/aws-and-mongo-and-open-source-efcdcfb... . I am waiting for AWS to publish their fork und
489.
The Null Ritual (2004) [pdf](library.mpib-berlin.mpg.de)
24 points by zby 8y ago|3 comments
490.
by zby 8y ago
At least the private media would compete between themselves.
491.
by zby 8y ago
Ubers problem is that it needs to compete locally: https://thinkgrowth.org/uber-is-going-to-0-and-benchmark-kno... . A taxi company does not need to challenge Uber globally to compete with it in any given city - because mos
492.
by zby 8y ago
A/B testing is usually trivial and the disclosure will be trivial too. It does not need to be any burden to the readers (like a popup), and with a good tooling (and A/B testing requires tooling) it will not add much work to the de
493.
by zby 8y ago
You cannot have an binding agreement between everybody if anybody can get out at any time. My thesis is that managing money supply requires such an agreement. Of course you can have unmanaged money - historically we always had that - with g
494.
by zby 8y ago
You can have fractional-reserve only because the public cannot see any difference between money from M0 and M1. In crypto the public uses M0 directly. For now at least. There are some M1 constructs - at MtGox there were 'codes' re
495.
by zby 8y ago
Gold but for the internet. I.e. value store that is digital and government independent. It is kind of fringe niche - but I think it will stay.
496.
by zby 8y ago
You can have decentralized money without crypto - just use gold parity - but somehow no country uses it now. Maybe they are all corrupt - but maybe it is just not good way to manage the economy.
497.
by zby 8y ago
The fundamental problem is probably with the possibility of fork - if it is decentralized then everyone can fork it if he disagrees with the way it works. But maybe there are some good in-between solutions, less dogmatic, more pragmatic.
498.
by zby 8y ago
The problem with decentralized money is that there is no way to manage the supply - you can only commit to a given supply curve, but you cannot adjust it according to the state of the economy. Money is a collective action problem, a public
499.
by zby 8y ago
The fact that the Amazon, Google and Facebook stories are now so well internalized by the general public is what makes investing in Lift dangerous. The criticism back then was wrong - but now it is too easy to dismiss any criticism. The dan
500.
by zby 8y ago
"This is simply a commentary on the relative value of capital vs labor" - what this capital was spent on? Overwhelmingly on labour I guess.
501.
by zby 8y ago
"A good chunk of Walmart’s workforce were scheduled to work part time hours to avoid receiving any benefits, and of course they were subsidized by the tax payer. I would know - in the mid 90s, I was one of them! Tencare provided my hea
502.
Considerations on Cost Disease(slatestarcodex.com)
3 points by zby 8y ago|0 comments
503.
by zby 8y ago
I don't know - I have read somewhere that only depressed people have realistic views about themselves.
504.
by zby 8y ago
There is now a general crisis of authority. Just recently I have learned one peculiar theory (from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mmlmxamw_k&fbclid=IwAR3A42D... ). Some moon landing photos (and maybe films) are really
505.
by zby 8y ago
What if being awake is worse than the "waking sleep"? Recently I was awoken to the reality of how fragile our lives are. I would prefer to stay asleep.
506.
by zby 8y ago
Just recently I discovered this blog post: https://www.themoneyillusion.com/the-economics-babel/ and it all started to make sense. The problem with macroeconomics is that there are many effects - but all the theories t
507.
by zby 8y ago
That depends on how the effect is being measured - if the price growth is measured from the point where the CEO is appointed publicly - then you are right. But if they start from the moment before the announcement - then there would be no w
508.
by zby 8y ago
Warsaw, Poland anyone?
509.
by zby 8y ago
"Blockchain provides satisfactory answers to all those problems." - mostly by hand waving. The blockchain model works in the case of cryptocurrencies - because it is subsidized massively by the block rewards. It is very elegant so
510.
by zby 8y ago
https://slatestarcodex.com/2018/08/01/cancer-progress-much-m... """ Official statistics say we are winning the War on Cancer. Cancer incidence rates, mortality rates, and five-year-survival rat

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