zamfi

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421.
by zamfi 4y ago
Or maybe they’ll replace a junior dev with copilot and make the more experienced folks spend more time “fixing” broken copilot code.
422.
by zamfi 4y ago
I also agree that I’d never assume copilot is right when it blurts out code, and that “writing code” is not the hard part — but I’d note three things I found from using copilot pretty intensively over the past year or so: 1. It has shifted
423.
by zamfi 4y ago
Super anecdotal, but most people I know that fit your description had one success early in their careers and then rode that wave to future successes. That is definitely some people, and perhaps even many of the people who are the most visib
424.
by zamfi 4y ago
True. But also doesn’t have any of the cultural legacy that presumably impacts how you hear the name…
425.
by zamfi 4y ago
At MIT in early Physics courses TAs are other professors, not the usual graduate students. Definitely atypical.
426.
When Baking and Real Estate Collide(newyorker.com)
2 points by zamfi 4y ago|0 comments
427.
by zamfi 4y ago
The only between-nodes trust blockchain relieves you of is trust in the history of a multiparty transaction log. A blockchain doesn't prevent individual parties from lying about things only they would know about -- if that's what&
428.
by zamfi 4y ago
I appreciate this insight, and there's no doubt that most people buy as much house as they can afford, so prices go up when they can afford more ("money is cheap") all other things being equal. Still, since we're talking
429.
by zamfi 4y ago
Not pedantic, I think people just didn't realize you were narrowly thinking of seawater freezing directly when you said "freezing wouldn't explain it".
430.
by zamfi 4y ago
I guess, but that graph you’ve been sharing isn’t super convincing. Mortgage rates have been dropping pretty consistently since the late 80s but price growth isn’t super consistent: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MO
431.
by zamfi 4y ago
> Freezing wouldn’t explain it. Pretty sure freezing is exactly it — Greenland and Antarctica contain lots of water stored well above sea level. These fluctuated a lot worth sea levels.
432.
by zamfi 4y ago
That graph doesn’t really prove anything, though, because interest rates and housing prices are already correlated through economic growth: fed raises rates when economies are hot, and lowers them when they’re not. Also house prices go up
433.
by zamfi 4y ago
We’re talking past each other. Every area has seen an increase in price, yes. But not every area is very expensive . The fact that a house in SF that costs $2m would go for $500k elsewhere is not a result of federal monetary policy, and
434.
by zamfi 4y ago
I wish -- but I suspect we won't, sadly, because many factors are at play, including the move to remote work for many, many tech companies. If we see both higher interest rates and dramatic drops in demand, then everyone will be able
435.
by zamfi 4y ago
Again, I am not saying those other factors do not matter, obviously they do. But if it was "interest rates" driving everything -- then every area would be very expensive, not just the areas where there are high salaries and lots
436.
by zamfi 4y ago
No, it would be a taller building. American new construction has doubled in size (in terms of sqft/unit) over the past 50 years. If “oppressively small” were the problem, things should have gotten better, not worse?
437.
by zamfi 4y ago
> Housing can’t both be a good investment and be affordable This gets repeated a ton, but isn’t true unless you assume density never increases. Buying a SFH and replacing it with a 4-plex would be profitable in almost every market — wer
438.
by zamfi 4y ago
Yes of course demand is influenced by all these things. But it’s driven by people moving to a location and wanting to buy homes. The market clearing price is also driven by these things. But let’s be clear: the primary driver of sky-high
439.
by zamfi 4y ago
Demand is people moving to the Bay Area for work and needing to live somewhere, wanting to have kids, etc. It’s not driven by Fed policies around interest rates. It’s not driven by speculation. It’s driven by people wanting to own homes. Pe
440.
by zamfi 4y ago
Sure, and I’m not making any claims about the future, either — just pointing out what the causes have been so far: demand/supply mismatch has had a far larger impact than speculation and interest rate policy or “narrative” on Bay Area
441.
by zamfi 4y ago
> Homes should be for people to live in, not to purely speculate and grow their money Wait, if those speculating investors have “rental yield” then doesn’t that imply people are living in those homes?
442.
by zamfi 4y ago
I don’t think we are talking past each other. There is absolutely a housing supply crisis in the Bay Area that is not reflected in the national stats. I’m not sure why so many people believe that housing prices in high-demand markets are do
443.
by zamfi 4y ago
All of this is true, but...housing markets are extremely regional. In the SF Bay Area, for example, despite much more new construction, there is still not nearly enough housing being built to satisfy demand, and as a result prices are drive
444.
by zamfi 4y ago
> The funding agency we use has a 90% acceptance rate. What? Wow. Please share?
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by zamfi 4y ago
Having a family offers a natural avenue for this, though: parents of your kids' friends share a lot of context with you.
446.
by zamfi 4y ago
Click the link!
447.
by zamfi 4y ago
Please learn about confirmation bias. https://media.ford.com/content/fordmedia/fna/us/en/news/2022... ICEs are literally carrying explosives too. It also took time for them to become “safe”, an
448.
by zamfi 4y ago
Ironically, this post recycles a bunch of tired old yarns about BEVs. I'm sure early ICEs were a disaster too, yet here we are. > fig leaf of 'recyclability' It's not a fig leaf if it's 95% recyclable for profit?
449.
by zamfi 4y ago
Probably “had a union ticket”, i.e., were a member of the union.
450.
by zamfi 4y ago
> Research like you’re referencing is great for “this is interesting” and not “this is why the world works this way”. You clearly didn’t read enough — the whole point of the piece I referenced is “this is interesting” and not “this i

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