xxxxxxx12

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31.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
> "lockdowns had no impact on people's behavior and therefore had no benefit" and "lockdowns had massive negative costs" I think you're overlooking the idea that "lockdowns", as we know them, do li
32.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
They've got a fundamentally different society and lockdown is a luxury policy that only rich nations (and people) can afford.
33.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
> and then happy that their assumptions where validated by their models This was done in the pro-lockdown measures camp all the time, epidemiologists, etc. love using models based on assumptions that are used to show scenarios as evidenc
34.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
> I thought that the purpose of lockdown (in the UK at least) was to prevent health care from being overwhelmed Which never really pans out (field hospitals, hospital ship sent to NYC, etc.) - they got strained and perhaps local spots ov
35.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
Look up Hope-Simpson's work on influenza epidemiology, he observed seasonality like you say, but there are certain regimes that correspond to latitudes.
36.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
FWIW, an economist published this paper recently estimating "the cost/benefit ratio of lockdowns in Canada, in terms of life-years saved, is between 3.6–282": > Generally speaking, the ineffectiveness of lockdown stems fro
37.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
> yet it shows no similar characteristics to preexisting inflation hedges Is that because, so far, if you were to measure since its inception, it's outperformed any other hedge against inflation?
38.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
It's funny how people act like the CDC is setting important rules here when people generally laugh off their advice as absurd when it comes to alcohol, food consumption, etc.
39.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
I think it's worth recognizing that there is systemic liberal bias in most of the media and cultural institutions. And liberals have been trending towards authoritarianism, no doubt. So it's not all that surprising that lowercase-
40.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
> so it's mysterious to me why people are so vehemently against one with no downsides Humans have millions of years of evolution searing into their DNA the impulse to socialize with other humans. I think you're underestimating
41.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
The ceiling of BTC is infinite cause USD is always falling (due to the simple dynamics of virtually every fiat system) towards a floor of 0.
42.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
> It's created an obsession of quick wealth among a lot of otherwise normal people It's showing a demand for an asset that isn't linked to the central planning of government where they continually and arbitrarily inject as
43.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
> I don't see how New Jersey, for example, materially differs in a relevant way in terms of population statistics from Santa Clara. Yea clearly a science-minded person wouldn't be able to find a plethora of different variables
44.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
It's funny how this type of FUD is practically on a trigger (when derivative of BTC price < 0 then post FUD). And what do you know? Less than 24 hours later and we're back into mid-50k territory.
45.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
> As for social distancing outdoors, Bazant says it makes almost no sense and that doing so with masks on is “kind of crazy.” > “If you look at the air flow outside, the infected air would be swept away and very unlikely to cause tran
46.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
> Yes, men’s overall brain size is about 11% bigger than women’s, but unlike some songbirds, no specific brain areas are disproportionately larger in men or women. Brain size is proportional to body size, and the brain difference between
47.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
What I'm pointing out it is that, whether people acknowledge it or not, they're treating everyone as though they're infected. So something like masking is required even if someone seems healthy. It's a regime of consta
48.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
> Your freedom stops when you are a potential asymptomatic/symptomatic spreader of a potentially deadly disease to others. I guess condoms must be mandated since antibiotic-resistant STIs are almost inevitable right now. I guess we
49.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
I personally think lockdown measures and mandates increase spread - the more people are discouraged from participating in public life, the worse. People are better off outside out of their homes and living their lives. This would also jibe
50.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
If the numbers drop in "Neanderthal" Texas, and practically every other supposed "good" state numbers rise - guess what? The "good" guys are the Neanderthals.
51.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
> I have the right to participate in society without catching a dangerous disease from you. You're essentially saying that the disabled (illness is a disability) should be excluded from society. Shun the unclean and diseased? You ha
52.
by xxxxxxx12 5y ago
Ah ok! The esteemed internet silhouette Gibbon1 informs us that the credentialed expert John Ioannidis is not credible.
53.
by xxxxxxx12 6y ago
Exactly, YouTube censored the panel of academics speaking with Gov. DeSantis. You can disagree with them politically or even just substantively, but holy smokes is it infuriating to see credentialed and serious academics being deplatformed
54.
by xxxxxxx12 6y ago
> I don't think anything is, including engineering a plague. People seem to forget that China was claiming for a long while that the virus wasn't transmissible (I'm sure people will equivocate that they really claimed ther
55.
by xxxxxxx12 6y ago
This has been my guiding heuristic - China has acted unmistakably suspect. They've got a political and ideological character that requires controlling narratives and erasing any trace of incompetence(this threatens the illusion of
56.
by xxxxxxx12 6y ago
There is a (seemingly growing) number of people that openly say that the budget doesn't matter. You just print and spend. Fortunately this incentivizes finding ways to circumvent that regime and point out how absurd it is.
57.
by xxxxxxx12 6y ago
> They dont want competition Which is another way of saying they want absolute control, which in this case is the absurd charade where "inflation" measures that they claim represent life on the ground exclude the essentials lik
58.
by xxxxxxx12 6y ago
> knowing that our health care systems will be overwhelmed I don't think we know that, and frankly I'm reminded of all the counterfactual ranting we get in economic arguments from establishment figures and orthodox, uncritical
59.
by xxxxxxx12 6y ago
> As an example, John Oliver ran a very cringe-worthy segment about Narendra Modi (the Prime Minister of India), without any introspection about how it looks for a British white man to mock the democratically elected leader of a country