vineyardmike

5 ms·

61.
by vineyardmike 3mo ago
For Claude specifically, (1) enterprises pay API rates on top of subscriptions, so subscriptions profitability questions are only relevant for smaller companies and indie devs. Many of whom probably have sporadic or low usage which helps ba
62.
by vineyardmike 3mo ago
Refusing to enact new laws around a thing most people don’t like, don’t want, and don’t care about (oh and is used for scams often) is quite different than a secret back door war.
63.
by vineyardmike 4mo ago
If your country doesn't have any leading models, why not legalize distillation, either explicitly or implicitly? (Chinese labs famously distilled American models, and that seems to be going well for them. They now have a competitive in
64.
by vineyardmike 4mo ago
The article addresses a pretty compelling reason... Why would the makers of open models (mostly Chinese firms) continue to open them up, now that the value chain and economy shifts? Previously, it was a (Chinese) national goal to force the
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by vineyardmike 4mo ago
Imagine you’re entirely pre-AI… to do some work, you read code, think, then write some code across a number of files. Usually then a small dance with compilation/unit tests to address anything broken. Along the way, you use your human
66.
by vineyardmike 4mo ago
Recently I had switched to OpenCode to try out many of the Non-US-Frontier-Labs models. My unexpected favorite model to use was Mercury (a diffusion model). Not because it was “smart” but because it was stupid fast. It was more of a pair-pr
67.
by vineyardmike 4mo ago
I think one of life's big questions is defining the size of your sphere of responsibility. Some people decide that sphere is really big, and they go on to be those historical figures. Others define it really big, and wallow in angst, a
68.
by vineyardmike 4mo ago
While I agree that AIs would do a good job… Would you rather take instructions from a ruthless robot or ruthless flesh sack?
69.
by vineyardmike 4mo ago
> "Some features, including image generation, have daily usage limits because they rely on powerful server models. Increased access is available with most iCloud plus subscription plans". Start at 1:07:00 in their announcement
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by vineyardmike 4mo ago
The obvious answer to where the AI Labs get customers is Cloud GPUs. Most users (globally) have cheap phones with poor CPUs and small amounts of RAM. They can't run usable models locally, and it's not clear from the Google-Apple d
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by vineyardmike 4mo ago
Most tech companies are buyers of AI, many are also sellers of AI in their own products, and a few are also building it.
72.
by vineyardmike 4mo ago
I'll take the contrary position and say that I think the "tokenmaxxing" we've previously seen was useful (but shouldn't continue indefinitely). My TLDR position is that TokenMaxxing was a way to force discovery of P
73.
by vineyardmike 4mo ago
Well the article links to a source of the unreliable claim. You read the article right? The coal is unreliable narrative has existed for many years because coal plants break down and have mechanical issues at higher rates than other sources
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by vineyardmike 4mo ago
Eh, I think it's less like a cigarette and more like the car. We're not going back. Americans are famously less healthy the more car dependent they are, and now people walk/run as an explicit task to be healthy. People will s
75.
by vineyardmike 4mo ago
While factually correct, the US tax change was a huge driver of global layoffs. And the original comment didn’t just mention US tax policy as a source of layoffs, and the alternative source provided would apply globally. The tax change impa
76.
by vineyardmike 4mo ago
They’ve been regularly introduced in a party-agnostic way, exclusively by republicans. But yea, “party agnostic”.
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by vineyardmike 4mo ago
Most of these big companies don’t actually sell your data directly, they monetize it through first party ads. If you have a well-oiled ad machine with strong first party data, selling the data just gives it to competitors, and is overall
78.
by vineyardmike 4mo ago
I’m not sure if this is what you meant, but at 17k t/s, you start to compete with the speed of network calls. You could approach the point of generating an HTML/js/css page faster than some websites can be returned over the n
79.
by vineyardmike 4mo ago
Plenty of places are sub-optimal in organization (or some other aspect)… while still being functional and successful. Same with writing bad code. We’ve all seen sub-optimal decisions in code or technical artifacts that go on to be successfu
80.
by vineyardmike 4mo ago
ZIRP alone isn’t even the full financial story - there was a time bomb tax change from a 2017 bill that impacted R&D (most software work) and that took effect in 2023. But it’s fairly visible that big companies (eg Meta) that are spendi
81.
by vineyardmike 4mo ago
As opposed to the publicly available Google Trends data? As opposed to running legitimate market research? Wouldn't you rather know the most searched person in your vertical, market, etc? The data in this example was going to be made p
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by vineyardmike 4mo ago
> a thing that once set up is just the cost of energy I don't think we can discount this, frankly. Newer electronics are energy efficient, but older devices are more energy-intensive, and unless configured well, a gaming PC can easi
83.
by vineyardmike 4mo ago
Or you need to have decent tenant protection laws. In SF, you can’t evict tenants because you sell the house, and you can’t evict tenants with kids during the school year (without a just cause).
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by vineyardmike 4mo ago
These are somewhat valid reasons, but I think most of us have seen the use of pasting AI responses that are simply a laziness of communicating. If you're trying (1), it's easier to say "I don't know, maybe <availabl
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by vineyardmike 4mo ago
We already have laws that limit how much you can give to someone else’s campaign. We’ve already crossed that threshold in terms of “free speech”.
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by vineyardmike 4mo ago
Weakest of the many weak arguments. Let’s do the bog-standard obvious and sane thing and pick a single point in time, once a year and use the value then. Maybe, i don’t know, close of market on the last trading day of the year. At which poi
87.
by vineyardmike 4mo ago
Yes I suppose it doesn’t address the concern directly, and yes it’s common. I guess my point is that avoiding “politics” is a bad concern. Why is compensation not included in “politics” when it’s very clearly a political topic? Because when
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by vineyardmike 4mo ago
Everything is political. Politics have been heavily intertwined with work forever. The history of unions is intertwined with literal government violence. Negotiations for compensation is like the least life-impacting thing a union can do. T
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by vineyardmike 4mo ago
I agree that a lot of people aren’t working at 100% and a lot of the work was probably needless busywork. I don’t think it’s reassuring the way this goes away from AI layoffs. Just like in life, you need downtime and boredom. This is when y
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by vineyardmike 5mo ago
Any idea who the current SF registrar is?

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