vessenes

26 ms·

601.
by vessenes 9mo ago
I'd say "couldn't in 20 hours" might be more defensible. Depends on how many humans though. "couldn't in 20 GPT watt-hours" would give us like 2,000 humans or so.
602.
by vessenes 9mo ago
Yeah I can imagine. I'd want to watch too.
603.
by vessenes 9mo ago
https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/francois-chollet (June 2024, about ARC-AGI-1. Note the AGI right in the name) > I’m pretty skeptical that we’re going to see an LLM do 80% in a year. That said, if we do see it, you would
604.
by vessenes 9mo ago
I upvoted your comment. Love the confidence. I’ve self funded full venture studios - so I have a pretty good take on costs of innovation. You might say I was poor at deploying innovation capital; you might be right! Anyway 100k is hyperboli
605.
by vessenes 9mo ago
Any public statement by Dario could get him sued by his investors if it’s misleading. He probably would t have an SEC suit for a private company but that company has filed for exemptions with the SEC. Intentionally misleading statements can
606.
by vessenes 9mo ago
Please let’s hold M Chollet to account, at least a little. He launched ARC claiming transformer architectures could never do it and that he thought solving it would be AGI. And he was smug about it. ARC 2 had a very similar launch. Both hav
607.
by vessenes 9mo ago
I'm not suggesting, I'm saying that this is what has happened so far, full stop, based on multiple public statements from people like Dario. Basically every model trained so far has made money for Anthropic and OpenAI. Well maybe
608.
by vessenes 9mo ago
Actually there is a chart of answers to this question, because the frontier providers have been delivering new models for some time. The answer is that so far they have been net positive.
609.
by vessenes 9mo ago
It's been a long time since they were good. But Europe definitely needs a homegrown frontier model company, one way or the other. I consider them Tier 2 right now.
610.
by vessenes 9mo ago
Thanks for the write up. I think you might be happy to hear that ffmpeg has scene detection built in. But you might be unhappy given how much work you did. In my experience it works pretty well. An upscale pipeline seems like the next job
611.
by vessenes 9mo ago
A year ago (geez!) I used aider, as you describe. Now I use claude with agent orchestration and beads. Well actually, I’m currently using openclaw to spin up multiple claudes with the above skills. If I need to drop down to claude, I do. If
612.
by vessenes 9mo ago
I’m someone who’d like to deploy a lot more workers than I want to manage. Put another way, I’m on the capital side of the conversation. The good news for labor that has experience and creativity is that it just started costing 1/100,0
613.
by vessenes 9mo ago
No, it’s not. This is a dangerous perspective, usually held by engineers who think that accounting doesn’t matter and don’t understand it. You MUST accrue the lifetime value of the assets against the capital expense (R&D in this case) t
614.
by vessenes 9mo ago
There’s mistral
615.
by vessenes 9mo ago
Well, my run-through had no banks in the UK that I could find, so that was tough.
616.
by vessenes 9mo ago
What do you value a company at that has gotten to $14b in revenue in 3 years and has 60%+ margin on inference? Just out of curiosity.
617.
by vessenes 9mo ago
It's a benefit corp
618.
by vessenes 9mo ago
Yes, we want this.
619.
by vessenes 9mo ago
Not trained for agentic workflows yet unfortunately - this looks like it will be fantastic when they have an agent friendly one. Super exciting.
620.
by vessenes 9mo ago
You’re missing, somewhat gleefully, most of the history of western art, which you could imagine as split between patronage-based art (have you heard of the Sistine Chapel, for instance?) and vernacular art - where things like genre storytel
621.
by vessenes 9mo ago
Just to say - 4.6 really shines on working longer without input. It feels to me like it gets twice as far. I would not want to go back.
622.
by vessenes 9mo ago
Confused as to why you wouldn’t integrate a local vlm if you want a local llm as the backbone. Plenty of 8b - 30b vlms out there that are visually competent.
623.
by vessenes 9mo ago
I mean I just said in my post the investment strategy that makes sense to me. But I'm here for knowledge exchange not pumping. Here's the thing - we could list technical challenges / problems all day. And still, I use way mor
624.
by vessenes 9mo ago
This is a good analyst report - lots of data. Conclusion - firms are spending ahead of sustained revenues right now, and a lot of the money is going offshore to TSMC, basically. I’m not certain of the conclusion - I think a lot depends on a
625.
by vessenes 9mo ago
Interesting background! Prompts like this also test the latent space of the image generator - it’s usually the other way round, so if you see a man on top of a horse, you’ve got a less sophisticated embedding feeding the model. In this case
626.
by vessenes 9mo ago
Makes sense. I personally feel like it's best to a) hold on to that ethics/values based perspective, b) simultaneously hold on to the idea that at some fundamental level, companies and buyers are not a-priori stupid, and may see s
627.
by vessenes 9mo ago
Totally agreed! Conceptually I think of the radian/length distribution as having uniformly increasing density closer to the origin - you could imagine a whole bunch of discs concentrically stacked ending in the circumference of the cir
628.
by vessenes 9mo ago
It's improperly formed as a question - the ruffian can shoot whenever he likes; Consider: Does "random" mean 1. uniform distribution on x and y coordinates with some sort of capping at the circle boundary? Or perhaps uniform
629.
by vessenes 9mo ago
Anybody in that room has personally driven in excess of $100mm in value - maybe closer to $1b. You may not like what they deliver (I haven’t really used windows since windows 7 for instance) but beware the nerd trap of thinking your assessm
630.
by vessenes 9mo ago
I’m imagining this is like ai native slack. Which would be a super useful thing. But I’m with you, who knows? I had a ceo sign up - I’m curious to see one of my companies try it out.

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