vasilipupkin

7 ms·

31.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
how likely is it to run on a reasonably new windows laptop?
32.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
I think it's an absurd question in some sense LLMs perform maximization of conditional probability of the next word being correct. Suppose they get to the point where they do that with 100% accuracy. How can you tell the difference be
33.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
Are you telling me his articke is much better written ? Come on.
34.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
Really? Are you sure ? His article can basically be summed up as don’t believe AI hype from Sama. It’s not particularly well written, he’s no Nabokov. ChatGPT bangs out stuff like this effortlessly. Here, I did it for you https:/&#
35.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
Don't listen to David Karpfs of the world. Did he predict chat gpt? if you asked him in 2018, he would have said AI will never write a story now you can use AI to easily write the type of articles he produces and he's pissed.
36.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
it's a terrible idea. It will just result in all things being equal, fewer donations from alumni, hurting the very students this thing aims to help.
37.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
where are you getting that information that it's not the meaning of the word that OpenAI talked about originally? Did they ever promise that the model weights, or exact architecture would be open? I would like to see that promise. W
38.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
it is open. You can access it with an API or through a web interface. They never promised to make it open source. Open != Open Source.
39.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
they had a 3 days a week in office policy, that should be sufficient to catch the people you are talking abut
40.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
again, this comment misses the point OpenAI and Anthropic for sure have products and that's great. However, these products are pretty far from a super intelligence. The bet SSI is making is that by not focusing on products and focusing
41.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
Sure. Expected value and risk are different things. Clearly, such an investment is very risky. It’s easy to imagine SSI failing. But if you allow even a 1% chance of success here, the expected value is infinite
42.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
you are missing the point. SSI believes that it can build a super intelligence. Regardless of whether you personally buy into that or not, the expected value of such an investment is infinity effectively. 5 billion dollar valuation is a s
43.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
Some CEOs are bad at running companies and some founders are also bad. Boeing example is weak for that reason. I just don't think this statement is empirically true at all "if you’re smart and intrinsically curious, these deep div
44.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
I disagree. Some things are just complex and inherently outside of the CEOs competency. They have to be able to build a management team of properly incentivized highly skilled professionals. Time in the day is limited, if you are delving i
45.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
Come on. There is no way CEO of a huge company like Amazon can really know every detail. At some point he’s gonna just have to trust someone at the company.
46.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
all this implies trust in the management team, right? to tell Bezos that it's really solved. The opposite of what the essay is arguing, that these managers tend to be fakers and can't be trusted.
47.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
agree
48.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
well, then founder mode is a meaningless thing because the essay seemed to suggest doing the opposite of "think he just forwarded the email to one of the S-team and it would get passed down the org chart until it reached the relevant m
49.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
I've been using AirBnb for a long time and product is the same, I see no innovations in it. Maybe that's why the stock price has been lagging.
50.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
yes, correct. You cannot get involved in every decision as a CEO of a large company. Suppose you did a skip level meeting. Who is going to gaslight you more, the lower level person or your direct report with a massive stock award who is in
51.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
if you can't hire good people, "founder mode" is not going to help you.
52.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
is there any evidence it's more effective? PG offered one example, ABNB, which has had a lagging stock price since IPO.
53.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
correct. the last thing that a company needs is a CEO who doesn't empower his direct reports, can't hire good ones, thinks they are all fakers and tries to meddle in every detail, instead of thinking about where the company is go
54.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
https://chatgpt.com/share/0ec0fcf8-c284-4f50-a452-04ca94911a...
55.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
this is crazy confusing stuff that should be banned by most sensible internal coding standards.
56.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
By that logic plants are conscious ? What about fungus ?
57.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
Agree, and I feel like when people say “sleeping” it sounds innocuous. But what do these people do if they need to go number 2 in the middle of the night? There is a reason we have campsites, sanitation and just basic limits on insane beh
58.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
What’s the definition of tons of money in this context ?
59.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
The way you are phrasing your disagreement with prevailing consensus is just semantics. Ok, let’s say animals are not 0% conscious, let’s say a certain animal is 24% conscious. It’s reasonable to say that, in comparison to a human, this a
60.
by vasilipupkin 2y ago
Speak, Memory is extremely accessible, easy to understand and the finest peace of writing I have ever come across.

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