vannevar

30 ms·

451.
by vannevar 4y ago
>For months after the election, both Clinton and Trump spoke publicly and claimed that they were the true winner and that the election had been stolen. This is not true. Hilary Clinton conceded on Election Night, and didn't publicly
452.
by vannevar 4y ago
I can't help you, I'm afraid: I can only reiterate that it was common for people to call the Russian activities "hacking" collectively. It's worth noting though that there was some actual hacking, as the Intellige
453.
by vannevar 4y ago
It's important to distinguish claims that Trump's Presidency was "illegitimate" from claims that Russia interfered in the 2016 election. The former is unsubstantiated, while the latter has been confirmed by multiple inve
454.
by vannevar 4y ago
Google has drifted gradually from helping you find things, supported by ads, to actively steering you away from what you're trying to find in order to sell you to advertisers.
455.
by vannevar 4y ago
There's another start-up called Inworld.ai ( https://www.inworld.ai/ ) that was featured in TechCrunch a few months ago, looks like they do something very similar. Applications of these big language models from the past
456.
by vannevar 4y ago
Yes, associative studies like this, with no testable theory of causation, are pretty worthless. Given the thousands of such fishing expeditions conducted annually, some are bound to have statistical significance and get promoted. They give
457.
by vannevar 4y ago
What made Covid such a crisis was not the average rate at which people were dying, but the peak rates at which they were being hospitalized, which threatened to overrun local healthcare infrastructure to the point where the death rate would
458.
by vannevar 4y ago
So, I guess we shouldn't thank them so much. Climate change was only one of the many items the insurance industry isn't helping much with. Which is my point. And I don't think they were particularly instrumental in getting th
459.
by vannevar 4y ago
Not just money, but access to Peter Thiel's network. It would be very surprising if there weren't some monster successes in there, even if they weren't given a dime.
460.
by vannevar 4y ago
It does, just not by much if you look at individual cases. But insurance companies don't look at individual cases, they aggregate risk. And if millions of people buy carbon neutral HVAC systems, it will definitely decrease aggregate in
461.
by vannevar 4y ago
Odd then that the insurance companies haven't been on the front lines against sugar, air and water pollution, climate change, meat consumption, etc etc. But good to know their greed-driven self-interests are closely aligned with indivi
462.
by vannevar 4y ago
A big thank you as well to all the consumer advocates, and the politicians and regulators who listened to them, for imposing safety requirements that car companies claimed would be cost prohibitive and hurt the economy.
463.
by vannevar 4y ago
Wow, I would've actually guessed more like 95%...I think the value of domains has dropped over the past decade, so people are less willing to pay for dormant ones.
464.
by vannevar 4y ago
Just looking at the charts, I'm surprised by how accurately the trends were identified by the public. What the authors call "misperceptions" are in many cases just systematic errors in the absolute numbers, which frankly I wo
465.
by vannevar 4y ago
I guess that's a refreshing change from the pump and dump schemes we usually see in crypto.
466.
by vannevar 4y ago
In reality, the price of money is not determined by supply and demand. Right, because the supply is elastic without any direct cost of manufacture. The idea that interest rates will go down when a lot of people start saving is based on th
467.
by vannevar 4y ago
This is an entertaining read and a plausible scenario, but Elon Musk is not one to be shy about sharing his plans, and he hasn't even hinted at SPS as far as I know. I'm not sure why he would keep this specific part of his Mars p
468.
by vannevar 4y ago
Prioritization is an output, not an input, of the scrum process. That's the whole point, to engage the user early and often so that information about the desired functionality can be derived from experience and not just speculation, an
469.
by vannevar 4y ago
Breaking a story down into smaller stories is not the same as incrementally developing a complete system. This is the difference between reductionism (breaking a large pre-defined project into smaller pieces for execution) and holism (alway
470.
by vannevar 4y ago
It's much easier to simply hit the accelerator and drive straight ahead, too, but you wouldn't win many F1 races that way. And most software projects are a lot more complex than an F1 track. Sometimes the easiest thing to do is no
471.
by vannevar 4y ago
I answered your general point in a separate reply, since others brought up the idea of continuously planning and retrospecting in kanban. But I'm confused by this statement: >planning is just complete BS To me, planning is where des
472.
by vannevar 4y ago
>The purpose of sprints is to try to estimate the completion of a release -- and as progress is made the drift from that original prediction This is not the purpose of sprints. The sprint is a fixed increment of time intended to encourag
473.
by vannevar 4y ago
General reply to those who say, "but you can have planning and retrospective in kanban!": Sure, you can. But it requires discipline to actually do it. It's very easy to get wrapped up in a task that runs over, and when you mu
474.
by vannevar 4y ago
>There would be a benefit to thinking that way. Instead of doing a ridiculous sprint planning, instead just keep pulling from the backlog. The purpose of sprints is not to divide up the work---this is a common misunderstanding. The purpo
475.
by vannevar 4y ago
>What it’s saying is that in both cases the unvaccinated group had less risk from not taking the vaccine than taking it. I get that, but why is the quantitative description of the risk different in the first sentence than it is later in
476.
by vannevar 4y ago
Kanban is an alternative to sprints, for contexts in which the team is persistent across projects and it makes sense to let them manage their work apart from the projects that they contribute to---e.g., an ops team that supports the organiz
477.
by vannevar 4y ago
Velocity is not intended as an engineering management metric, it's intended for use internally by the team as a guide for sprint planning. If you're using sprints and not kanban, the "cycle time" is fixed, and only the a
478.
by vannevar 4y ago
Not according to this part of the result: "The Pfizer trial exhibited a 36 % higher risk of serious adverse events in the vaccine group; risk difference 18.0 per 10,000 vaccinated (95 % CI 1.2 to 34.9); risk ratio 1.36 (95 % CI 1.02 to
479.
by vannevar 4y ago
>That story was only there because you were yet to break it down into tasks. Not exactly. The story is there to document something you want the software to do, phrased in terms of the value to the user. Once you generate a list of tasks
480.
by vannevar 4y ago
I think a more interesting question is, why is Tom Brady still playing at a high level at age 45 while other quarterbacks are not? Only #2 addresses that question, #1 and #3 apply to all NFL quarterbacks. Some additional likely factors: -

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