usaar333

15 ms·

181.
by usaar333 3y ago
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lump_of_labour_fallacy The net effects are likely lower household income across the board as this law systemically harms productivity. For instance, constraing childcare hours constrain
182.
by usaar333 3y ago
Yes there is. In practice, many jobs have considerable fixed overheads to both employer and employee to you can't be hired for say under 10 hours a week. For instance, when I had a nanny, absent OT laws, optimal hours for both parties
183.
by usaar333 3y ago
> even people making >100K are reporting that they feel like they can't get ahead, let alone people who make less than that. This law doesn't give most people more money; it incentives employers to restrict work hours to 40
184.
by usaar333 3y ago
Are there any good studies on OT law trade-offs? Since at steady state the result is capping employee hours at 40, this type of law seems good for workers that want to maintain such a cap and bad for those that want to earn more.
185.
by usaar333 3y ago
Healthcare is just another cost in your life and you should view the benefit as part of your TC. It's only slightly distorted here in that companies can use pretax money but it isn't like it's a small expense to companies eit
186.
by usaar333 3y ago
Doing the math from the article, they'll be at an average of $120k in wages for an average of around 43 hours a week. If you are doing below that as a dev, probably worth first changing companies.
187.
by usaar333 3y ago
Jobs can still exist under UBI. UBI sets a floor income.
188.
by usaar333 3y ago
> The International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights entered into force in 1976. Note that was never ratified by the United States
189.
by usaar333 3y ago
What does "control" mean? We have wildly disparite income in society - I don't place blame on people that say can't program computers for not knowing how.
190.
by usaar333 3y ago
"Everyone has the right to rest and leisure, including reasonable limitation of working hours and periodic holidays with pay." The with pay term feels oddly specific and overly prescriptive. (If your society had UBI is this implyi
191.
by usaar333 3y ago
> The models have underpredicted the temperature rise throughout my entire living memory. This doesn't seem historically true. They seem more or less on point with some overshooting and some undershooting: https://www.car
192.
by usaar333 3y ago
I was trying to interpret what that means. I'm guessing they aren't factoring current conditions above 50% and instead rely on average conditions. I'd be surprised if this is actually worse than what the EPA views as averag
193.
by usaar333 3y ago
That's not what the paper is about at all; it specifically notes that white students leave at higher rates than Asian ones come in. That is total enrollment in the schools are decreasing.
194.
by usaar333 3y ago
> Not one killer app has emerged ChatGPT itself is a killer app.
195.
by usaar333 3y ago
There's no user accounts on the system. I would consider the topic a salt - the problem is that the input is so small - just a 32 bit number which makes the "password" (user ip) fast to break. The sane solution would be to ge
196.
by usaar333 3y ago
Seems inferior to GPT-4 on every test I've given it - but as a competitor to GPT 3.5 is strong.
197.
by usaar333 3y ago
I agree with your first paragraph, but it's important to note your second is talking about specialized skills (moving on a paved road) compared to broad general abilities (getting from point A to point B on earth). Nature is winning s
198.
by usaar333 3y ago
I'm not convinced. Omniscience isn't the same as intelligence. There's diminishing returns to intelligence and inherent unknowns to all moves the serf can make. The serf somehow has to evade detection, which might appear to b
199.
by usaar333 3y ago
The official Reddit app is quite bad compared to say Sync (this is on Android). Like.. doesn't even seem to have a rich text editor?
200.
by usaar333 3y ago
> Rich white young women (for those colleges that do AA based on gender) Very few colleges prefer women. Of those that do, it's pretty much just the engineering focused ones and thus would pick up nearly as many Asian women as whit
201.
by usaar333 3y ago
> I’d argue that a big chunk of the price difference in the V100 vs H100 is RAM. But that's the same Moore's Law problem when using the 'price' definition. 6x RAM 5 years later = 4x the cost? That's even slower
202.
by usaar333 3y ago
Dropping numerical precision seems to have done that to some degree?
203.
by usaar333 3y ago
Good call on power draw, but it seems dwarfed by capital cost. Assuming 3 year life (this tech gets outdated..), 300W constant consumption costs under $1k at $0.3/kwh. You need to be an order of magnitude higher in power usage before
204.
by usaar333 3y ago
Your citation is for 1k A100s, not 3.5k V100s. I think it's actually ~51 days on 3.5k V100s. Just to compare the GPUs, TF32 Tensor processing went from ~125 TFlops to ~990. It then looks like they also dropped the precision to FP8, w
205.
by usaar333 3y ago
Good call on the categories. > The short version is that the Brier score is much better than .25 for AI questions, and the weighted Metaculus Prediction is more accurate still. Added more categories. 1 year out is 0.217. I agree that&#x
206.
by usaar333 3y ago
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/track-record/ Only 13 resolved binary questions where you had longer prediction horizons (1+ year), the accuracy is zilch in AI category - Brier score of 0.25 which is akin to j
207.
by usaar333 3y ago
Correct, which is part of the reason the "weak" AGI is relatively out there. Will anyone bother dumbing down an AI to pass a Turing Test? "Oh a human can't write a poem that fast -- it's an AI!"
208.
by usaar333 3y ago
Taxes aren't that high even if you are under the standard deduction. Assuming you are married here as you are taking about kids. Fed + fica is 21% combined. State is 6%. Imputing sales tax doesn't make sense either - rent isn&#x27
209.
by usaar333 3y ago
Lighting also tends to be pretty bad in complex scenes. I find the unrealistic shadows tends to break the photorealism of few light source scenes.
210.
by usaar333 3y ago
Only on a binary scale. There's even among actually funded companies better or worse pitch decks. You can often just get funding by having a good team matched to a VC that knows your industry. Pitch deck can be crap and other VCs migh

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