tuna-piano

15 ms·

31.
by tuna-piano 6y ago
Prediction markets seem to be doing a really terrible job at predicting an election that already happened... Right now predictit.org has Biden winning at 89% and Trump winning at 15%[1]. But if you look at it by "electoral margin victo
32.
by tuna-piano 6y ago
When making policies on serious (and dangerous) topics for a large population, a single death is not a large risk. Even if this policy is wildy succesful, I'd still expect people with mental illness, police, and mental health processio
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
Trying new ideas in low-risk ways is generally a good idea. Government is generally incentivized to keep the status-quo and not take many risks. Your political position shouldn't affect your view of this effort, so long as it's no
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
I think their key advantage is sales. Imagine a product that adds a small amount of value to a company but requires a long drawn out sales process including research on available vendors, pricing, security, use cases, determining requiremen
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
Would you have said that before and after the first Lion Air 737 Max crash prior to the Ethopian crash? Certainly a lot of people have spent a lot of time looking into a lot of the plane's systems. But are there more fundamental issues
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
737Max is certainly tainted now. But will that last forever? And do non-HN-aviation-geek consumers really care enough to check the model of the plane they'll be flying on, let alone make a flight decision based on the model? Certainly
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
"Polymun Scientific Immunbiologische Forschung GmbH is one of a handful of makers of lipid nanoparticles, microscopic vessels used to deliver genetic material into the body." https://www.wsj.com/articles/if-on
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
Feel the same. Can't stop smiling. Never felt like a more accurate time to use the phrase "light at the end of the tunnel". The US government is paying like $20 for each dose. I'd pay 100x that without batting an eye. Th
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
For those wondering how their vaccines will be distributed among countries during the next year when supply is constrained... it seems complicated. Pfizer is a US company, but has at least one key ingredient from Austria, is made with techn
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
Thanks for posting. My takeaway thought: No matter how rich, how successful or how famous - most of us get the most satisfaction from the simple things in life. Never take even those simple things for granted, they will be the memories you
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
Downvoted because in 2016 there was a "social engineering hack" and Trump received 63 million votes. In 2020 I haven't seen much evidence of that and Donald Trump received at least 70 million votes. He's a popular guy am
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
Would we know if this mutated coronavirus is already spreading in the community (in Denmark+Europe+beyond)? Do we have that type of surveillance?
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
Does this mutated coronavirus from minks transfer human->human? Any guesses yet on whether the vaccines in development would respond to this virus as well? Does the rest of the world need to immediately cut travel to Europe? Would rather
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
If Jeff Bezos has a $50 meal at a restaurant and tips $0, would you blame the restaurant for not having a mandatory tipping policy? Or would you blame Jeff Bezos for cheaping out and not following the community norm?
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
If Amazon employees started tipping 0% at restaurants in Seattle, they would be legally correct. But that would certainly impact the way restaurants needed to operate. Sometimes communities get built up on a shared system that involves a ce
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
Human information sharing has changed so much in such a short time. In the history of the US, the transitions from newspapers to radio took roughly the first ~150 years of the country. In just 30 years we've gone from TV->Social Med
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
The problem with all review-centric companies is two fold: 1)Fake reviews are an actual hard problem to solve. Good reviews can really make or break your company so the incentive to game the systems is quite high. Positive reviews for your
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
I recall reading something about how Amazon threatened to block them unless CamelCamelCamel stopped crawling other retailers as well... Surprise, CCC now only does Amazon. Can't find any info on that so may be mistaken though.
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
The author is missing one big thing: The main point of life is not optimizing for optimal spending, its optimizing for enjoyment. Of course the rational break-even level math for some of these purchases can be analyzed, including taking int
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
Well for many reasons (good and bad) healthcare is more expensive in the US than any other country. But why is healthcare bought individually more expensive than healthcare an employer buys for all their employees? One is real and one is hi
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
Depends on the state, but seems like if you're single, the individual plans in most states are around $3-500 per month with a ~$6k out of pocket max. This means annually: -$4,800 in premiums -$11k maximum health costs
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
If you clicked to the comments and are debating reading more... here's a passage from the above link: "So that leaves the option of Aviva settling with him. How much should he take in a settlement? Well, how much is his claim wort
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
Thoughts: -I love reading Matt's stuff. The praise of his writing is totally deserving. -In my daily life there's rarely a topic I come across that I'm unable to understand. In an otherwise boring day full of mundane work tas
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
Mind sharing (or linking to) the story of why he wrote ahout you?
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
Similarly- Is there a way to get a list of all his longform pieces (not the daily newsletters)?
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
No one would support it if it were against Jews instead of Asians. And in fact, Yale used to have this policy against Jews! Absolutely disgusting. In 1935 Yale accepted 76 applicants from a pool of 501. About 200 of those applicants were Je
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
Shocked me when I first heard of it! Liberals and racists agree on a fair number of policies regarding race these days. Relevant (satirical) video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ev373c7wSRg
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
Funny, I don't see anyone complaining that Fruit Gushers hasn't taken a stand on child pornography? I will disagree somewhat with the people who say that companies never have a place for political stuff. If you are any company inv
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
Something tells me the real money comes from future consulting contracts and that this PR will more than pay for itself. Just like how everyone on HN agrees writing a book isn't a great use of time besides what it allows you to put on
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by tuna-piano 6y ago
I'm not sure. But if you're looking more than just a general idea of the change, I am not the person to ask.

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