tristanj

21 ms·

451.
by tristanj 6mo ago
It comes from a cursory understanding of the world outside of western countries. People watch a few videos on youtube about other countries, or visit on vacation for a week, and assume they understand the mentality of people who live there.
452.
by tristanj 6mo ago
The claim that Japan is "safe" because it has a high conviction rate is a junk meme. The United States federal conviction rate is essentially identical to the Japanese judicial conviction rate when measured by the same methodology
453.
by tristanj 6mo ago
China is more repressive than the United States on basically every metric of fascism/authoritarianism that political scientists actually use. Do we need to elaborate?
454.
by tristanj 6mo ago
Fixating only on the ~500kg of 60% grade material is pointless because 1) nobody knows how much nuclear material Iran actually has, those are 2025 "reported" numbers and 2) nobody knows where it is. It's speculated this mater
455.
by tristanj 6mo ago
I replied with the enrichment numbers from 2025, where they reported over 9000kg of material, but it triggered some internal HN system and got auto-flagged. Likely due to content. I agree that Iran had ample time to disperse and hide any ma
456.
by tristanj 6mo ago
There's a rumor that Citadel built very successful macro prediction model based off polymarket/kalshi. It seems the wisdom of the crowd, plus a few insiders, generates enough alpha to turn a profit.
457.
How to Buy Cheap Claude Tokens in China(chinatalk.media)
4 points by tristanj 6mo ago|0 comments
458.
by tristanj 6mo ago
> lied about the F15 being shot down This didn't happen, give a source. You're probably confused about the F-15 that was struck but not shot down near Qeshm Island. That happened a day before a different F-15 was actually sho
459.
by tristanj 6mo ago
Per the link, those were removed prior to Operation Midnight Hammer, which happened in 2025, which nearly a year before last month's operation. I'd interpret that as unrelated. > an article about how the US Military has been l
460.
by tristanj 6mo ago
> [the US] had to bring back installed equipment from South Korea pointed at China This didn't happen. The only thing that was sent from Korea was interceptors, which there is a global shortage of. Korea-based THAAD system was no
461.
by tristanj 6mo ago
no, it's confirmed bullshit, the uranium is buried under a mountain of rubble and the equipment brought with the special forces (2 MC-130Js worth and ~100 soldiers) is not enough to retrieve anything. There are several tons of uranium
462.
by tristanj 6mo ago
I have no idea what you are talking about. Modern war is far more documented than at any other point in history. Videos of strikes appear on social media within minutes of happening, there are play-by-play recaps of the exact times and loca
463.
by tristanj 6mo ago
Old airports have terrible runway design, the runways intersect (to save space) but this is dangerous and requires much more ATC coordination to manage. With modern runway design, if a plane takes off or lands out of sequence, it's unl
464.
by tristanj 6mo ago
I wish Banksy put the statue a block away at the roundabout at the end of Pall Mall instead. The current spot he picked already has several other statues there. The roundabout at the end of Pall Mall is empty, presently rather dull, and wou
465.
by tristanj 6mo ago
The latest strategy is to pre-position drones deep in enemy territory, then activate them when a target is found. This (combined with surveillance drones) would cause artillery teams to be targeted by drones within minutes of firing.
466.
by tristanj 6mo ago
Artillery is only viable on Ukraine's side because Russia is too incompetent to manufacture long-range (30-50km) FPV strike drones at scale. Currently only Ukraine has pushed the "kill zone" to the 15-25km mark. Russia is beh
467.
by tristanj 6mo ago
155mm artillery (the type of ammunition discussed in the article) has a maximum effective range of 30km. This means the artillery gun and ammunition can only operate within 30km of the front line. The FPV drone "kill zone", which
468.
by tristanj 6mo ago
Traditionally artillery shells (155mm as discussed in the article) have a maximum effective range of 30km. That means that the artillery vehicle can only function within 30km of the front line. Drones have dramatically changed this equation
469.
by tristanj 6mo ago
This isn't correct at all. Artillery strikes are near-universally drone assisted, meaning there is a surveillance drone recording the strike and calling the exact target coordinates. Any casualties from artillery strikes would be recor
470.
by tristanj 6mo ago
Ukraine has essentially moved-on from artillery to drones, just last month (March 2026) drones caused 96% of Russian casualties. Artillery and small arms fire accounted for the rest. Also, artillery has a maximum effective range of ~30km. U
471.
by tristanj 6mo ago
> the drone videos where they drop artillery shells from drones No, Ukraine does not drop artillery shells from drones. They typically drop VOG-17/25 grenade launcher rounds or RGD-5/F-1 fragmentation grenades, neither of whi
472.
by tristanj 6mo ago
This is more of a doctrine issue. Ukraine was given mountains of artillery by western nations, so naturally they were going to use it. But artillery has lower RoI than drones, drones are cheaper, more accurate, more versatile, and have long
473.
by tristanj 6mo ago
Not this kind, drones don't fire 155mm artillery shells. Artillery has a relatively short range of ~30km, while modern drones are reaching hundreds of km.
474.
by tristanj 6mo ago
Germany (currently) isn't even in the top 5 for military drone manufacturing. The ranking of number of military drones produced per year goes Ukraine (millions), China (millions), Russia (hundreds of thousands), Iran (hundreds of thous
475.
by tristanj 6mo ago
Germany is producing weapons to fight the last war. WWIII will be fought with drones, not artillery. They should invest part of this money into becoming the leader in drone manufacturing, not this. Since it's Germany, the money for thi
476.
by tristanj 6mo ago
A Chinese drone manufacturer [Poly Technologies] has disclosed a massive government order for almost a million lightweight kamikaze drones, to be delivered by 2026 https://defence-blog.com/china-places-massive-order-for-ka
477.
by tristanj 6mo ago
> The commission said children under 13 could use a fake birthdate to open a Facebook or Instagram account, with no checks on their self-declaration. How is what Meta did here any different than how 99% of other websites age-gate conte
478.
by tristanj 6mo ago
The NYC subway has an average operting cost of $1.09 per passenger mile. Also, trains are not directly comparable because self-driving vehicles are point-to-point, while trains are hub-to-hub.
479.
by tristanj 6mo ago
Those are some good points. Waymo & self-driving cars only makes sense in markets where the cost of paying a human driver is much higher than the amortized cost of operating a self-driving vehicle. As an extreme example, in Bangladesh a
480.
by tristanj 6mo ago
We're looking at different metrics, you're analyzing the average total cost, while I'm analyzing the marginal cost. Waymo has enormous fixed costs like you mentioned, mapping cities and paying engineers are not cheap, which n

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