thworp

18 ms·

211.
by thworp 3y ago
What about Fooled by Randomness made you think less of him?
212.
by thworp 3y ago
Actually it's s//cult leaders, the established religions are quite open about the ideas and texts underlying their beliefs (then some of them insist you need a cleric for interpretation). In cults that information is hidden a
213.
by thworp 3y ago
Yes he is. Have you ever interacted with the military or other public org in a technical capacity?
214.
by thworp 3y ago
I don't know what you've seen, but the 3 video released a few years are mostly parallax, optical phenomenon (the "tic tac") and sensors trying and failing to track tiny objects (birds, balloons and similar) at distances
215.
by thworp 3y ago
Carl Jung had some interesting ideas on this topic, his book "Psychology and Religion" is a very thought-provoking work.
216.
by thworp 3y ago
> It is interesting that civilizations have engaged in ritual sacrifice. The question is why? A few thoughts: - Sacrifice and civilization are closely related. To live in a society you have to sacrifice some autonomy, some of your (and y
217.
by thworp 3y ago
Decoupling virtual from physical movement is the fastest way to get people puking and giving them headaches.
218.
by thworp 3y ago
In theory this sounds like it might work, but in practice any international reserve/settlement currency will see more inflows than outflows. This will cause that currency to appreciate, which by itself is a deal-breaker for many countr
219.
by thworp 3y ago
Honestly I can't see any candidates to actually replace the dollar. To become the world reserve currency the issuing country has to be very stable, make their capital markets as open and transparent as the US, accept running a large tr
220.
by thworp 3y ago
That really depends on where. If we say globalozation started in the 80s (which seems like a fair middle ground) then the environment in high income countries has recovered immensely. In Europe since the 80s , forest coverage has grown by s
221.
by thworp 3y ago
No, we have had lower „inflation“ according to the CPI which is a single number for a multi-dimensional and connected phenomenon. The real impact can be seen in the price of large city real estate, tech stocks or luxury goods. Those certain
222.
by thworp 3y ago
Does anyone here have any hands-on experience and can tell me if the claimed 5ms latency for 5G is anyhwere close to reality? As in, can it reach the 5ms only if you're next to the tower, are they not including processing time at the t
223.
by thworp 3y ago
> In the long run, I think FSD will become better than the majority of human drivers. You fell for a very common misuse of statistics there. It may become better than the average human driver, but the sample for that average includes t
224.
by thworp 4y ago
I don't think production capacity is one of the main reasons for not reaching the goal, rather it will be Lithium availability and charging infrastructure.
225.
by thworp 4y ago
The most important point of Taleb's is right near the top, in particular anything with graphs. This article pretty much just ignores that entire section (especially the quiz part is a very nice illustration for the statistically challe
226.
by thworp 4y ago
No, actually it is thoroughly debunked as a measure of anything useful (except scores below ~80) and its significance as a predictor is miniscule. I recommend you read this: https://medium.com/incerto/iq-is-largely-a-ps
227.
by thworp 4y ago
I don't know, but I do strongly believe that the "conventional wisdom" that deflation is a horrible phenomenon that leads to a decades-long depression is bullshit. The entire process of industrialization was hugely deflationa
228.
by thworp 4y ago
Yes and now look at indicators that aren't susceptible to manipulation by a government agency and are more favoured assets by the institutions who get the money first. That would be real estate in major markets, stock market price&#x2F
229.
by thworp 4y ago
You can only say that once you accept inflation to mean "a single number representing price increases", which is so over-simplified as to be laughable. Not to mention easily manipulated by statistical tricks and more obvious trick
230.
by thworp 4y ago
For a more Austrian viewpoint that is very well sourced and quite compelling imo I'd recommend this series of videos: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YygQ0Wq0wDA It argues quite convincingly that war reparations had al
231.
by thworp 4y ago
> On the other end of the spectrum, there are very high risk businesses with no innovation and stiff competition (e.g. dealing illegal drugs). This made me laugh out loud. I'd say drug dealing is one of the most innovative businesse
232.
by thworp 4y ago
> The lack of an atmosphere would help massively reduce thermal loss Care to elaborate? As an interested layperson I always thought the major factor for losses in open air was radiation into space. As such an atmosphere's thermal m
233.
by thworp 4y ago
The fed? They were the ones that initiated the largest QE spree of all time so that their friends and masters don't lose their fortunes in an unexpected recession. The very same recession they are now trying to cause to get inflation u
234.
by thworp 4y ago
Calculating a single number meant to represent inflation is silly. Inflation is more like a multi-dimensional field, analogue to air pressure, inside of a complex system (the atmosphere) and as such cannot be represented by a single number.
235.
by thworp 4y ago
Yes but those engines did emit something like 30% less CO2 per km and in good conditions almost no nitrous oxide.
236.
by thworp 4y ago
Since an editor setup is very personal, it doesn't really matter if other people can't immediately recognize that the ligature is == or != . Personally I love ligatures and find that they help me to immediately grasp code stru
237.
by thworp 4y ago
When I read comments like yours I can't help but wonder if sheltered naivety (from living under somewhat reasonable governments) or ulterior motives leads to statements like this. Would you agree to your town council deciding what thin
238.
by thworp 4y ago
There is also another aspect in addition to sister comment: When interest rates are low, institutions with contractually agreed returns (pension funds and such) have to invest in riskier assets (stock, private equity, corporate bonds, riski
239.
by thworp 4y ago
How is this idea suddenly so widespread? Big tech are currently at the edge of the abyss to varying degrees. For most it has now been 4 quarters of revenues growing at a lower rate than expenses (and accelerating). At this rate it's ob
240.
by thworp 4y ago
No there is some truth in this statement. Since 1990 the US has started between 3 and 6 (depending how you count) illegal foreign interventions while talking a big game about a "rules based international order". Understandable how

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