throw234234234

10 ms·

91.
by throw234234234 2y ago
Pretty much. Claude from their announcements seems to me at least to be about SWE's and coding at the moment. Personally while I understand their decision I find it a bit limiting, and just a little targeted against the SWE profession.
92.
by throw234234234 2y ago
There's more than a dozen - I should know. I've seen quite a few large systems built in it. Most of the time however it isn't well advertised (finance, insurance, etc). - I don't think the compiler is actually that bad,
93.
by throw234234234 2y ago
Across most of the world SWE's aren't paid like this anyway. It really is only the US that has this level of pay for the SWE staff unless you are into a different domain specialty (e.g. trading/finance) in which case you aren
94.
by throw234234234 2y ago
> Anthropic appears to be making a bet that a single paradigm (reasoning) can create a model which is excellent for all use cases. I don't think that is their primary motivation. The announcement post for Claude 3.7 was all about co
95.
by throw234234234 2y ago
Think this is more true for more niche domains; but probably not for things like web/app development where the user can verify the output themselves. Its one of the reasons I'm more bearish on frontend/apps - because that&#x2
96.
by throw234234234 2y ago
I don't know if I agree with that and as a SWE myself its tempting to think that - it it a form of coping and hope that we will be all in it together. However rationally I can see where these models are evolving, and it leads me to thi
97.
by throw234234234 2y ago
Be glad that you are empowered to pivot - I'm making the assumption you are still young being a student. In a disrupted industry you either want to be young (time to change out of it) or old (50+) - can retire with enough savings. The
98.
by throw234234234 2y ago
It has the potential to effect a lot more than just SV/The West Coast - in fact SV may be one of the only areas who have some silver lining with AI development. I think these models have a chance to disrupt employment in the industry g
99.
by throw234234234 2y ago
Or it could be a case of: Never prepare a benchmark/prep a comparison which you think you won't succeed at. This is especially true when you are funded by mostly private/VC investors. Time will tell. I think they are trying t
100.
by throw234234234 2y ago
I actually think sadly it can replace "just software engineers" at least in the short and medium term. Not because it can't do other careers (if employed effectively) but because that's what they are actively targeting a
101.
by throw234234234 2y ago
My point is that it isn't clear cut as to its effects on "open source" software. May help in some aspects, and detract in other aspects. Anecdotally in my tech circles the enthusiasm for things like languages, libraries, DST,
102.
by throw234234234 2y ago
This is a case for example I wish AI was targeting. However its more likely they will build more benchmarks and target dev's/SWE's quickly and hard because that's probably what their VC's want them to do. The domain
103.
by throw234234234 2y ago
It could also be argued that contributions will go way down. People who think AI can slowly one-shot many tasks will have less need for "re-use" and "open-source software". In fact if they aren't SWE's by trade
104.
by throw234234234 2y ago
Could be; definitely shows their intent and focus. It definitely seems they are targeting the SWE profession first and foremost (OpenAI); at least it seems that way to an outside observer. Time will tell whether it is a success or not but y
105.
by throw234234234 2y ago
It could take all dev jobs and all knowledge jobs, but leave most of the rest of the economy untouched. You know - the people in shops, fixing your car, patching up your house, etc. Robotics I think may be actually difficult (Moravec's
106.
by throw234234234 2y ago
That may be all true. But maybe I'm not quite understanding the point or how it relates to Elon from the perspective of non-for-profit OpenAI. It could be "stranger X" and let me explain. If the existing assets are worth $40b
107.
by throw234234234 2y ago
"Otherwise you’re going to have another AI winter where progress shrivels because investment dollars dry up." Tbh a lot of people in the world would love this outcome. They will use AI because not using it puts them at a comparati
108.
by throw234234234 2y ago
What is this vision you hint at? Everyone seems to have a different opinion as to this "vision of AI". Is it good? Or is this vision one of "despair" as you mentioned and it is coming early?
109.
by throw234234234 2y ago
As many forums say, with other tech inventions they replaced the horse not the rider. With AI; they are replacing the rider - that makes it a unique technology that does not compare to previous technology being introduced. Other forms of te
110.
by throw234234234 2y ago
In what way - that those things/people doing that will fail? Or the tooling will get better that this is no longer a problem? Completely different outcomes with very different consequences.
111.
by throw234234234 2y ago
That was my first thought too. The Github Copilot CEO recently said in no uncertain words he wants to make everyone a dev - "a billion developers". Of course this is code for make current dev's redundant IMO similar to how ev
112.
by throw234234234 2y ago
- The people that are left and the people that it doesn't happen straight away on: i.e. the people who still have something "scarce". That's what capitialism and/or any system that rations resources based on price&#
113.
by throw234234234 2y ago
I think trades and blue collar work where experience learnt (the moat) is in the physical realm (not math/theory/process but dexerity and hands-on knowledge), where iteration/brute force costs too much money/causes too m
114.
by throw234234234 2y ago
I think if you are either young or bound to retire in the next 5-10 years there's less worry. If you are young you can pivot easier (avoid the industry); if you are old you can just retire with enough wealth behind you. Its the mid age
115.
by throw234234234 2y ago
Depends on the niche (software is broad) but I think as a whole for the large software efforts employing a good chunk of the market - I think so. Two main reasons for thinking this way: - Software scales; generally it is a function of marke
116.
by throw234234234 2y ago
1) Maybe. 2) I do see this, given the money poured into this cycle, as a potential possibility. It may not just be LLM's. To another comment you are betting against the whole capitalist systems, human ingenuity and billions/trilli
117.
by throw234234234 2y ago
It solely depends on whether more software being built is being constrained by feasibility/cost or a lack of commercial opportunities. Software is typically not a cost constrained activity due to its typically higher ROI/scale. It
118.
by throw234234234 2y ago
> When I hear that most code is trivial, I think of this as a language design or a framework related issue making things harder than they should be. This was one of my thoughts too. If the pain of using bad frameworks and clunky language
119.
by throw234234234 2y ago
They will ensure that before that happens that won't occur; I'm sure they will cover their bases. AI is great for PM's/Product/C-Suite types (i.e. the decision makers). Bad for the do'ers/builders long ter
120.
by throw234234234 2y ago
That is true all else remaining equal - but that isn't usually the case. Lower rates do increase the demand for governments generally to borrow as well at a faster rate via lower IR rates. The amount of interest payments therefore long

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