the_af

34 ms·

691.
by the_af 10mo ago
> On the other hand, it doesn’t matter how off the estimates were because they’re our people and their lives matter more. "Our" people? That kind of moral calculus simply doesn't track with me: I'm neither from the
692.
by the_af 10mo ago
My point is that since in this scenario SK would likely be involved in some capacity (granting safe passage, harboring US planes, etc) they would suffer retaliation by NK and possibly China. I don't see what's unlikely about this,
693.
by the_af 10mo ago
> Us has these nifty things called aircraft carriers, which were used to capture Maduro as well. It wasn't just carriers in Maduro's case. The operation was carried from multiple places, including out of Caribbean countries a
694.
by the_af 10mo ago
From where would an hypothetical operation to kidnap Kim be launched? Likely from SK or Japan, right? So yes, China could retaliate. The operation against Maduro was launched from countries in the region aligned with the US.
695.
by the_af 10mo ago
> The estimated range of US military deaths from an invasion of Japan (Operation Downfall) was 250,000 to 1,000,000, and another 5 to 10 million Japanese. I've read convincing arguments (sorry, I cannot find them now) that this re
696.
by the_af 10mo ago
I know this is what they claim (well, they also say because of oil and because he was friends with US rivals, but that's less defensible), but anyone really believe this is about drugs? Was there ever any proof Maduro was a cartel boss
697.
by the_af 10mo ago
> Is it unfair? Sure. Who cares? What do you mean, "who cares"? Obviously a lot of us not from the US care, and many Americans care, too.
698.
by the_af 10mo ago
Regardless of whether the leader of a country was a dictator, elected or not, another country going in and kidnapping the acting leader within the borders of his own country is an act of war. This doesn't depend on what the successor
699.
by the_af 10mo ago
Osama Bin Laden wasn't the leader of Pakistan, he was just hiding there. Capturing the de facto leader (elected or dictator) of a country is an act of war. You could argue the war is justified, or that this dictator was bad for both hi
700.
by the_af 10mo ago
> Plus if the US secures some oil and the Venezuela people get to live better lives, that's ultimately a great outcome for everyone. Agreed about the better lives, but has it come to a point we accept invading other countries to &
701.
by the_af 10mo ago
> As a Latino and friend of several people that scaped from Maduro's regime I can easily say that people in South America are happy as ever. No, we aren't. You don't speak for the majority of us.
702.
by the_af 10mo ago
What amazes me is that on Steam they no longer make the distinction (in the standard library view) between Windows and Linux: every game is assumed to launch in Linux, using Proton behind the scenes it needed. There's still a "Lin
703.
by the_af 10mo ago
> When I was a child, there used to be a black bear in the zoo, pacing back and forth in its cage all day long. Then came the accident involving a little girl named Yanzi (meaning ‘Swallow’). She had gotten too close to the railings. Th
704.
by the_af 10mo ago
> Jessica Utts, a well respected statistician No, she isn't. She's a statistician, but mostly known for being in the panel review of Star Gate, and for close associations with parapsychology organizations. She was already inv
705.
by the_af 10mo ago
The PDF mentions a ship and some sort of unexpected catastrophe (in vague surrounding, horoscope-like terms) but it also mentions "high-powered lasers", Bikini atoll, H-bombs, and the drawings of the alleged ship superstructure lo
706.
by the_af 10mo ago
> Are you confusing GenX with Baby Boomers? Maybe it was Baby Boomers, indeed. > Most? Maybe, I've never met one that hasn't though I'm sure you acknowledge you're not an expert on general Chinese experience. Y
707.
by the_af 10mo ago
> You're one of the dudes online - never forget that. I never made any outlandish claims and therefore the onus isn't on me to prove anything. > Examining something != believing it But parapschyology has been examined an
708.
by the_af 10mo ago
I did answer, but I realize arguing with parapsychology believers is a fool's errand. Puthoff is a crank. Of course he won't provide evidence of participating in top secret projects that produced any results: he doesn't have
709.
by the_af 10mo ago
Because talk is cheap, but when pressed, a crackpot like Puthoff cannot provide a single relevant detail. Had he been involved in actual top secret projects, he would shut up about them; instead he fantasizes. He also has a history of quack
710.
by the_af 10mo ago
Ah, thanks for the info. Yeah, GW shenanigans. Like you said, people like the universe they created, not the company and its draconian practices.
711.
by the_af 10mo ago
Ray Hyman, the other member of the review panel with Jessica Utts, disagreed with her conclusions ("the overwhelming amount of data generated by the viewers is vague, general, and way off target. The few apparent hits are just what we
712.
by the_af 10mo ago
Dudes claim all kinds of crap online. He already posted a PDF that indicated nothing of the sort. If you will believe anything that seems true to you, because someone online said so, without any weight of evidence, and which is widely consi
713.
by the_af 10mo ago
It's literally how the scientific method works. There's a reason RV is considered pseudoscience. It speaks volumes you don't see any problem with the lack of proof that the documents weren't backdated, and get defensive
714.
by the_af 10mo ago
What was the debacle? I doubt the 40K universe will die any time soon, it has many fans and they are hardcore about it. And it's becoming more and more mainstream (relatively).
715.
by the_af 10mo ago
I wouldn't say "on the war path", but specifically about your dismissal of other narratives than the dominant one. I engaged you after I read more replies by you that confirmed my suspicions about your initial question. It&#x
716.
by the_af 10mo ago
Since backdating would be one of the ways to fake this, the onus lies in those that claim the prediction was legit. That's how evidence works for extraordinary claims. Alas, scientific rigor is a harsh master.
717.
by the_af 10mo ago
I didn't make up any scenario. RV is the made up scenario. If you want to reject the scientific method go ahead, but you won't find much sympathy here.
718.
by the_af 10mo ago
> The lessons of the Cold War [...] should not include "actually the American system and the Soviet system were equally bad" I was arguing that the Cold War, a substantial duration of which I also lived through, introduced
719.
by the_af 10mo ago
What is mystifying about it?
720.
by the_af 10mo ago
> If you throw a bunch of stuff at a wall, some of it is going to stick. Especially when it appears to be random words that can be applicable to millions of situations. Indeed. I'm amazed so many HN regulars are surprised by this.

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