testaccount28

6 ms·

61.
by testaccount28 7mo ago
famously, the bombs were what _ended_ the war.
62.
by testaccount28 7mo ago
let's assume the trees rise up and set fire to the ionosphere.
63.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
Ok, today YOU officially Win the Internet!
64.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
prediction markets are a useful tool for aggregating information about uncertain events.
65.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
this would be a more insightful comment if the output wasn't itch io shovelware.
66.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
this is a really funny comment. underrated.
67.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
> objective probability. i don't believe such a concept exists. if you do, then you have greater epistemic problems that should be resolved first, before reading either the newspaper, or the prediction market.
68.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
just to be clear about what you're saying, you would predict that the implied probabilities from weather derivative prices are often very different than what is forecasted, and, when those differences occur, it is the forecast that is
69.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
and newspapers are owned by fatcats. but we are still interested in what they have to say.
70.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
but like, here in the real world, farmers use weather derivatives. so the technology works, has a use case, is proven. if your point is that one should not treat the market's number as some oracular probability, then... of course i agr
71.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
what do you think you're asking? like any signal, you reflect on it, integrate it into your belief, think through the consequences, etc. we all want mr. delphi to tell us exactly what will happen. but without such a friend, we reason u
72.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
surely this criticism applies as well to... any information.
73.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
yes, they allow you to pay people who have information about the future for that information, in a distributed manner. this is great if, like many people, you want information about the future.
74.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
if walmart unfairly used its monopolistic position to steal from consumers, then of course i support serving justice. is the point of this conversation just to proclaim you don't like some guys? what is your claim here? what action do
75.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
do you expect that the problems walmart solves are easy? or do you think that the government could do it cheaper if they were in charge? edit: or maybe the communities served by walmart should build their own rain ponchos and bananas locall
76.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
i wished i had a pony, which is why i VOTE VERMIN SUPREME.
77.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
walmart solves a major logistical problem: provide government subsidized goods to low income neighborhoods. the government should like to give walmart money, as it is plausibly a cost-effective way to provide these goods to people who need
78.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
yes. whoever has the best (least detectable) model is best poised to poison the ladder for everyone.
79.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
whereof one cannot speak, thereof one must remain silent.
80.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
of course! but maybe there is something that you have to experience, before you can understand it.
81.
by testaccount28 8mo ago
there might yet be something not written down.
82.
by testaccount28 9mo ago
yes, i also get good results. that's why i use it on the hard things.
83.
by testaccount28 9mo ago
dude, what? A: i'm really interested in things that are red. here's one: firetrucks. B: here's a neat thing which is green: unripe tomatoes. A: um, that's not red. C (you): wow why would you possibly th
84.
by testaccount28 9mo ago
> get the computer to do exactly what I want. > with AI that can happen faster. well, not exactly that.
85.
by testaccount28 9mo ago
you are using it on easy questions. some of us are not.
86.
by testaccount28 9mo ago
it's transaction fraud insurance. like any insurance, you pay a small amount regularly, and in return get protection in case of large sporadic loss. points are just premiums: some insurance consumers are a greater risk, and so pay more
87.
by testaccount28 9mo ago
look on my works, ye mighty, and dismiss them as mere superstition. did the use of the word "offended" trigger this comment? fine, then i would not take offense. my point is this: i prefer to be remembered by a future that feels i
88.
by testaccount28 9mo ago
it's an interesting point, and i don't think it can be resolved quite so neatly. to the people building such monuments, or writing such texts, the activity may have been closer to what we now refer to as "history" or &qu
89.
by testaccount28 9mo ago
how can i pick a real number at random though? i tried Math.random(), but that gave a rational number. i'm very lucky i guess?
90.
by testaccount28 10mo ago
am i understanding the article correctly, that this concept netted 8 figures for the artists?

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