tech_ken

5 ms·

31.
by tech_ken 4mo ago
There's no better option on the table? Desperate people have low labor elasticity, kind of definitionally.
32.
by tech_ken 4mo ago
Right they require a brokerage license instead because it's a different industry. Not sure what your comment is trying to say here.
33.
by tech_ken 4mo ago
It's not goodwill though, I'm paying for public services like the fire department through my taxes. I like them to be owned by the government instead of a private entity because I don't want to pay the capitalist rent for bor
34.
by tech_ken 4mo ago
A robust and aggressive consumer protections bureau is a handy way for me to feel secure while doing basic economic operations, without having to handle a ton of one-off research on my own. For example I'm strongly in favor of medical
35.
by tech_ken 4mo ago
> It's trendy to blame cars for this but the problem is fundamentally zoning > you thereby need a car to leave the vicinity in order to get anywhere you can. I hear your point but I think your causal model is misguided. It's
36.
by tech_ken 5mo ago
> its probably a broken line Per her website (which is hosting the transcript of the interview here: https://ocasio-cortez.house.gov/media/press-releases/ocasio-... ) seems that the cause is known and acknowledg
37.
by tech_ken 5mo ago
If you assume that decision makers operate entirely in silo from their constituents then yes, that's how this works. Howver if you are operating in the normal mode of democracy where decision makers consult impacted parties through tow
38.
by tech_ken 5mo ago
One thing that really jumps out to me is the lack of a performance gap between the 90-day and 30-day resolution times. If 2-months of new information doesn't lead to materially improved forecast, then to me this seems to strongly reinf
39.
by tech_ken 6mo ago
> Gen Z home ownership is outpacing millenial home ownership at the same age. There's a lot of denial around this topic. Yeah but aren't they putting down less/leveraging themselves deeper? edit: also it seems like the mil
40.
by tech_ken 6mo ago
> Sam says he presented Gemini with a few possible options to help his model stand out, and the chatbot selected one in particular: the “MAGA/conservative niche,” referring to it as a “cheat code.” Plus, it said, “the conservative a
41.
by tech_ken 6mo ago
> But zoom out and what you had was just an enormous machine converting human ambition into noise Calling it “ambition” is generous IMO. Passive income chasers always give “desperation” more than “ambition”. I also feel a bit weird about
42.
by tech_ken 6mo ago
> Don’t fall for FOMO marketing or feel anxious. Keep it simple. Obsidian should help you work on other things. Great advice, I tried to get into Obsidian a few weeks ago and could immediately feel myself getting pulled into the "Wo
43.
by tech_ken 6mo ago
Regardless of the cosmological framing of the practice, people throughout history have devoted substantial effort to mapping the dynamics of probabilistic objects. For example, Sikidy is a randomized tool used for 'fortune telling&#x27
44.
by tech_ken 6mo ago
> Statistics is a very young invention. As far as we know, it didn't exist in meaningful form anywhere on Earth until the 1600s. (However, if it existed in the Americas earlier than that, that would explain why it suddenly popped up
45.
by tech_ken 6mo ago
> When I was working on something I already understood deeply, AI was excellent. I could review its output instantly, catch mistakes before they landed and move at a pace I’d never have managed alone. This precisely captures my experienc
46.
by tech_ken 6mo ago
Another bingo square for that 'AI is gambling' post ( https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47428541 )
47.
by tech_ken 6mo ago
Yes in my (somewhat tinfoil) opinion the point is to have an emotional impact on the workforce overall (or at least, one of the points is). Tech workers had a really good 20 years in the US, and kind of forgot that they were ultimately stil
48.
by tech_ken 6mo ago
Can't speak for everyone here, but I (as a US citizen) am way less bothered by sports gambling specifically than I am by generalized Kalshi-type gambling being abused by powerful insiders in the federal government (or other institution
49.
by tech_ken 6mo ago
> You're always going to have some sort of insider leaks, and quite frankly I don't care if they make money off of it in a betting app Absolutely garbage take, to be quite honest with you. War profiteering is one of the most he
50.
by tech_ken 7mo ago
> Paradigm shifts happen because the new paradigm explains the unexplained and importantly also covers the old model Empirically it seems that paradigm shifts are more driven by deaths and retirement rather than improved fit to the data.
51.
by tech_ken 7mo ago
What use does the God of Math have for satellites and the like?
52.
by tech_ken 7mo ago
I don't think paradigm shifts have to be 'better' in some march-toward-progress sense, they can be lateral or even regressive in that way and still lead to longer-horizon improvements. I think also what's practically app
53.
by tech_ken 7mo ago
My hot take is that mathematical and scientific 'soundness' is ultimately more of an aesthetic preference than an objective quality of reality. Good science makes sense to humans, and 'what makes sense' is ultimately wha
54.
by tech_ken 7mo ago
I think you would need to work very hard to prove that the topology you are describing is well-formed enough for this analogy to make sense. For one: "cognitive difficulty" is not really a crisply defined quantity such that expres
55.
by tech_ken 7mo ago
My read is that it's a mix of tech firms having overhired a lot during the ZIRP+COVID era, as well as executives having a pretty short horizon for risk if the potential bonus is large enough.
56.
by tech_ken 7mo ago
> I never quite understood why AI and LLMs are marketed the way they are, or why the powers that be behind its massive push seem so keen on selling it as a wholesale replacement for human careers Because labor is the largest line item in
57.
by tech_ken 8mo ago
That's exactly the point of the essay though. The way that you're implicitly modeling labor and collaboration is linear and parallelizable, but reality is messier than that: > The most important thing to know about labor substi
58.
by tech_ken 8mo ago
WOW I've spent years thinking that I suck at typing on phone screens, I never even considered that it might be the keyboard software is just shitty....
59.
by tech_ken 8mo ago
I hear what you're saying but also have lately felt a lot of frustration with this framing. I definitely agree that large corporations share an outsized portion of the blame; they have misled and misdirected us past the brink of crisis
60.
by tech_ken 8mo ago
This is basically what I think of as the "fundamental problem of conservation ecology", ie. that 'conserving' an ecosystem inherently changes it. The pre-human state definitionally could never be recreated (or maintained

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