t_mann

29 ms·

421.
by t_mann 4y ago
A discussion of potential sampling bias is missing - the data seems to be entirely based on the usage statistics from their IDE plugin. Are their users representative for the whole population of developers? I could imagine eg that time-cons
422.
by t_mann 4y ago
What concrete evidence do you have that any covering-up is actually happening? Unsubstantiated cui bono? reasoning is nothing but conspiracy theory.
423.
by t_mann 4y ago
* UK's worth of emissions in 2015 . More concretely, 400-700mn tons of CO2 would reduce global emissions (currently about 35bn tons: https://ourworldindata.org/co2-emissions ) by 1-2%.
424.
by t_mann 4y ago
The argument has its own wikipedia article with numerous citations, including from Economics Nobel (Memorial) Prize winners https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aftermath_of_the_repeal_of_the... saying that wikipedia makes &
425.
by t_mann 4y ago
Leetcode interviews have maybe just become an example for https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goodhart%27s_law - as long as people aren't aware, it's a great signal, but after people catch onto it, it becomes a mea
426.
by t_mann 4y ago
such systems might spring up, but the market is far more limited than for generalist CoPilot-like systems, and they will thus likely be less sophisticated and thus easier spot (by other automated solutions)
427.
by t_mann 4y ago
An important counterexample that comes to mind is the Glass-Steagall banking act, the repeal of which arguably led to the greatest financial crisis in a century https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glass%E2%80%93Steagall_legis
428.
by t_mann 4y ago
> easy to see how over time their benefits decline and their costs rise when you only ever add laws and regulations but never do a partial or complete rewrite written by someone who has thoroughly avoided learning even superficially abou
429.
by t_mann 4y ago
> we teach in programming languages that don’t even exist I remember reading about a framework that actually sort of does that - create randomized programming languages. It was meant as a security feature against code injections iirc, bu
430.
by t_mann 4y ago
Less technical, but I love the paint jobs / exterior design on many US fire trucks. I guess they're a byproduct of US fire departments using more custom-made gear, which I just learnt about.
431.
by t_mann 4y ago
I guess they'd have answered that most team communication happened via email, which didn't work very well.
432.
by t_mann 4y ago
I believe you, sounds like you're actually doing some business in that area. You should really look into the theory then. Feel free to reach out if you need help.
433.
by t_mann 4y ago
in general, you shouldn't really be affected much by this as a borrower, provided you don't have a problem meeting the payments. there'll be some communication regarding the change in who's charging you, and it'll b
434.
by t_mann 4y ago
agree, good summary. in very simplifying algebra, if you have a fixed mortgage rate r and a market interest rate i, then you'd expect the wholesale market price p of the loan to adjust such that i ~ r/p plus some markups for risk,
435.
by t_mann 4y ago
While this may sound reminiscent of the 2008 crisis, I think there are some important differences according to the article: In 2008 the fundamental problem were defaults - people just weren't meeting their mortgage payments (and lots o
436.
by t_mann 4y ago
What does the rule of thumb even say? How high should they bid when they see an attractive lot? If your rule of thumb says that you should only start bidding after a third of the auctions are finished, I hope you see that there's a pre
437.
by t_mann 4y ago
Right, selling a property might actually be a fairly good application of this model, I agree - you shouldn't leave a property listed for too long, and together with the feedback from your agent you should get a meaningful estimate of h
438.
by t_mann 4y ago
My point is that the model assumes that you're starting with zero knowledge about the population when you start dating, that's why you need the burn-in phase where you reject everyone to get a good estimate. In reality, I'd t
439.
by t_mann 4y ago
Hmm, for auctions I think you really need to also the other agents into account (auction theory builds on game theory). The stopping-time model doesn't have strategic interactions.
440.
by t_mann 4y ago
It's a really cool result when you tell people about it, but actually when you think about it, it doesn't seem as useful as it sounds at first. The combination of some fundamental assumptions - you know the number of candidates in
441.
by t_mann 4y ago
You may want to check out https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Causal_inference - the issues that you point out are all well understood and being addressed as well as possible within the limitations of our current knowledge o
442.
by t_mann 4y ago
In principle there are a few possibilities - foreigners, pension funds, banks, insurances or other corporations, endowment funds, publicly owned,... although most of these would seem more likely in a place like the US. It's also concei
443.
by t_mann 4y ago
industrial development is a little bit harder than just setting an artificially low exchange rate. you need a well-trained workforce, access to input materials (if you have to import those at higher prices you have a bit of a hen-and-egg si
444.
by t_mann 4y ago
incentivizing lush greens in California? I don't live there, but the last thing I heard from there was quite the opposite
445.
by t_mann 4y ago
If the ownership percentage is negligible, does that mean that most real estate is owned by a few super-wealthy, or who owns it then?
446.
by t_mann 4y ago
> But households then need to rein in spending to repay their loans Right now it looks like we may be about to witness something else: inflation is picking up, and if wages even just remotely track the increase in consumer prices (not as
447.
by t_mann 4y ago
Climate change is easily the biggest impact a single human can have on improving the world today. Unfortunately the economics don't always work out, but with the same amount that Musk offered to buy Twitter we should be able to fund a
448.
by t_mann 4y ago
Even just speculating about a peg substantially below the current exchange rate sounds like a great way to send your exchange rate downwards. And low exchange rates only help with exports if you have an export industry (tourism reacts to a
449.
by t_mann 4y ago
covering more and more land in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Impervious_surface is not a good idea either
450.
by t_mann 4y ago
If that's how you think, then at least I hope you're not writing massive essays asking (the rest of) the entire the nation to build more housing, even if it makes neighbourhoods ugly.

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