sweezyjeezy

9 ms·

31.
by sweezyjeezy 6mo ago
I think this was an unpopular opinion mainly because it's scary, rather than there being an obvious reason to think otherwise.
32.
by sweezyjeezy 6mo ago
> but it's really not such a crazy thing to have row labels built into your data table. Sometimes you need data in a certain order. Sometimes there is no primary key. And it is nuts how janky the pandas API is if you just want the i
33.
by sweezyjeezy 6mo ago
The pandas API is awful, but it's kind of interesting why. It was started as a financial time series manipulation library ('panels') in a hedge fund and a lot of the quirks come from that. For example the unique obsession wit
34.
by sweezyjeezy 6mo ago
> After careful consideration of Oracle’s current business needs, we have made the decision to eliminate your role as part of a broader organizational change. That is being laid off, not being fired - big difference. Being fired means be
35.
by sweezyjeezy 7mo ago
Honestly that is happening, and I think it's an overstep. I have never heard anyone talk about this in real life (that could be a London bubble though). I will say - I am nearly 40, and I've spent the last 25 years online reading
36.
by sweezyjeezy 7mo ago
It's their attention span. My SIL is an English professor and she stopped assigning long texts. The kids won't read it, will get an AI to summarize, and then give her poor reviews at the end for making them read.
37.
by sweezyjeezy 7mo ago
Is HN in complete denial about what is happening to the younger generations right now? My whole family are teachers, and they are all sounding the alarm. A majority of kids are basically unable to read books now. Not just children - young a
38.
by sweezyjeezy 7mo ago
I reckon in 20 years most countries will be doing this - the effects of social media on kids is too strong, and too negative to deny at this point. Also in what way is the UK a police state? The amount of police is falling - we're stra
39.
by sweezyjeezy 7mo ago
To be fair, it is still pretty remarkable what the human brain does, especially in early years - there is no text embedded in the brain, just a crazily efficient mechanism to learn hierarchical systems. As far as I know, AI intelligence can
40.
by sweezyjeezy 7mo ago
Don't get fixated on plumbing itself. The point is if a bunch of people rush into any profession it leads to wage depression. Unless the amount of plumbing needed increases, the overall amount of money flowing to the plumbing populace
41.
by sweezyjeezy 8mo ago
These systems don't discriminate on whether the object is a child. If an object enters the path of the vehicle, the lidar should spot it immediately and the car should brake.
42.
by sweezyjeezy 9mo ago
The trivia approach doesn't even work for most people - ask the wikipedia reader and the person who travelled to Turkey about it a year later and see who has actually retained some knowledge.
43.
by sweezyjeezy 9mo ago
That's a stretch. One can hold the view that division of labour is a useful economical principle, but also that oligopolies represent a dangerous concentration of power.
44.
by sweezyjeezy 9mo ago
I think one of the best arguments against US interventionalism when it comes to tyrants is just how 'variable' (let's say) the outcomes have been over the years. For every Panama, there's two or three Guatamalas, Irans o
45.
by sweezyjeezy 10mo ago
It's also really hard to make the tunnel remain a tunnel over its expected 150 year lifespan - given that it basically runs through a fault line. They had to study and test local geology for about 15 years, build certain sections to ex
46.
by sweezyjeezy 10mo ago
Exactly - 'non-deterministic' is not an accurate diagnosis of the issue.
47.
by sweezyjeezy 10mo ago
You could make an LLM deterministic if you really wanted to without a big loss in performance (fix random seeds, make MoE batching deterministic). That would not fix hallucinations. I don't think using deterministic / stochastic a
48.
by sweezyjeezy 1y ago
It's not it being case by case that's my issue. I used do olympiads and e.g. for the k>=3 case I wouldn't write much more than: "Since there are 3k - 3 points on the perimeter of the triangle to be covered, and any su
49.
by sweezyjeezy 1y ago
100% o3 has a strong bias towards "write something that looks like a formal argument that appears to answer the question" over writing something sound. I gave it a bunch of recent, answered MathOverflow questions - graduate level
50.
by sweezyjeezy 1y ago
Gemini is clearer but MY GOD is it verbose. e.g. look at problem 1, section 2. Analysis of the Core Problem - there's nothing at all deep here, but it seems the model wants to spell out every single tiny logical step. I wonder if th
51.
by sweezyjeezy 1y ago
BTC is a (roughly) net-zero enterprise, every dollar taken out of the system comes from someone else putting a dollar in. Sure, if you had a crystal ball you could have made millions, but if everyone else ALSO had that same crystal ball you
52.
by sweezyjeezy 1y ago
FWIW the original ARC was published in 2019, just after GPT-2 but a while before GPT-3. I work in the field, I think that discussing AGI seriously is actually kind of a recent thing (I'm not sure I ever heard the term 'AGI' u
53.
by sweezyjeezy 1y ago
100% - the quality group only had one chance to impress the teacher, whereas quantity group had dozens. The conclusion drawn from this in the text seems to be based on assumptions. We don't actually know how many intermediate photogra
54.
by sweezyjeezy 1y ago
I don't think the author of this article is making any strong prediction, in fact I think a lot of the article is a critique of whether such an extrapolation can be done meaningfully. Most of these models predict superhuman coders in
55.
by sweezyjeezy 1y ago
Yes 100% this. If you're comparing two layouts there's no great reason to treat one as a 'treatment' and one as a 'control' as in medicine - the likelihood is they are both equally justified. If you run an expe
56.
by sweezyjeezy 1y ago
This is a subtle point that even a lot of scientists don't understand. A p value or < 0.05 doesn't mean "there is less than a 5% chance the treatment is not effective". It means that "if the treatment was only as
57.
by sweezyjeezy 1y ago
It's teenager-ish, and the kind of thing that would make people uncomfortable if they saw it at our own workplaces. We can argue about whether companies 'should' punish people for stuff like this, but I can say for sure that
58.
by sweezyjeezy 1y ago
Only skimmed, but both seem to be referring to what transformers can do in a single forward pass, reasoning models would clearly be a way around that limitation. o4 has no problem with the examples of the first paper (appendix A). You can s
59.
by sweezyjeezy 1y ago
I'm not betting any money here - extrapolation is always hard. But just drawing a mental line from here that tapers to somewhere below one's own abilities - I'm not seeing a lot of justification for that either.
60.
by sweezyjeezy 1y ago
A couple of comments a) it hasn't even been a year since the last big breakthrough, the reasoning models like o3 only came out in September, and we don't know how far those will go yet. I'd wait a second before assuming the l

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