sulam

6 ms·

61.
by sulam 7mo ago
CoT is just next token prediction with longer context windows. Why do you think reasoning models are so much slower? I’ll believe the labs have discovered something truly ground-breaking and aren’t talking about it when I see them suddenly
62.
by sulam 7mo ago
Fair, I should define what I mean by under the hood. By “under the hood” I mean that models are still just being fed a stream of text (or other tokens in the case of video and audio models), being asked to predict the next token, and then d
63.
by sulam 7mo ago
They have a _text_ model. There is some correlation between the text model and the world, but it’s loose and only because there’s a lot of text about the world. And of course robotics researchers are having to build world models, but these
64.
by sulam 7mo ago
Sorry, but you're mistaking outputs with process. If you actually know what models are doing under the hood to product output that (admittedly) looks very convincing, you'll quickly realize that they are simply exceptionally good
65.
by sulam 7mo ago
The reality is that current models are simply nowhere near AGI. Next token prediction has been pushed very far, and proven to have applicability far beyond the original domain it was designed for (reasoning models are an application I would
66.
by sulam 7mo ago
Want me to Google it for you?
67.
by sulam 7mo ago
Are we still taking about human deaths here? Confusing…
68.
by sulam 7mo ago
This is simply saying “current tech doesn’t allow for this”. True. However there are potential avenues That will greatly increase the efficiency, and there are many companies pursuing these avenues so I don’t expect current tech to remain s
69.
by sulam 7mo ago
This is a very common figure you can find much support for. Here’s one legitimate source: Ice Melt | Global Sea Level – NASA Sea Level Change Portal — https://sealevel.nasa.gov/understanding-sea-level/global-sea...
70.
by sulam 7mo ago
Over time periods in excess of 10K years this is a reasonable caveat. For more human-oriented timelines, there's no negative feedback mechanism I'm aware of that would do anything close to producing an actual oscillation. Edit: I&
71.
by sulam 7mo ago
I don’t type fast on my phone, so you’re getting responses as I can give them. I think I’ve answered your questions sufficiently to draw your own conclusions at this point. Feel free to ignore me. Physics doesn’t care.
72.
by sulam 7mo ago
And yet we can still say something simple that is true: warming will accelerate due to non-human greenhouse gas emissions as the planet continues to warm, due to feedback loops and tipping points in the natural carbon cycle. This is an unas
73.
by sulam 7mo ago
I answered elsewhere. I’ve been doing research on this topic for about 10 years, but I am not a climate modeler. I have spoken to people who are climate modelers and, at the time, these non-anthropogenic factors were not controlled for. The
74.
by sulam 7mo ago
I’m not a modeler but I have directly asked modelers if clathrates, permafrost melting, wildfire incidence and ocean drawdown responses to warming was incorporated in the major models. 5 years ago the answer was no. Today the answer might b
75.
by sulam 7mo ago
2 years ago this was hard won knowledge, searching for papers and then putting it all together in survey form for analysis. Today I can tell you: feel free to ask Deep Research or another LLM you trust to do that work for you, generating ci
76.
by sulam 7mo ago
FWIW my personal assessment is that this acceleration is both real and largely out of our control. Models in the past did not attempt to account for non-anthropogenic carbon emissions, but as we experience further warming, most especially i
77.
by sulam 8mo ago
This is the comment I was looking for. In the last month or so this is how Claude Code represents tasks, as a DAG of objectives, built from plan mode.
78.
by sulam 8mo ago
I'm far from a Google apologist, but at the end of the day don't they have the right to write software however they want it? You have the right to build things the way you want to, fork Android, etc etc. If you're trying to s
79.
by sulam 9mo ago
I have a smaller version of this and it's pretty good as a display. I'm somewhat disappointed with it as a hub/KVM. It's better than having to swap cables, but just barely. It can't handle any high bandwidth USB dev
80.
by sulam 10mo ago
Summary: train to failure. Duh.
81.
by sulam 11mo ago
Don't they already have a ton of telemetry from Claude Code itself? I'd be shocked and expect an instant fork if Anthropic telemetry was added to Bun.
82.
by sulam 11mo ago
Or maybe he's working in a space that is less out of distribution than the work you're doing?
83.
by sulam 11mo ago
There’s a real limit on what level of problem one engineer can fix, regardless of how strong they are. Carmack at Meta is an example of this, but there are many. Woz couldn’t fix Apple’s issues, etc. A company sufficiently scaled can largel
84.
by sulam 1y ago
I stated this elsewhere, but at least six years ago a major justification was a better security model. At least that’s what Michael Abrash told me when I asked.
85.
by sulam 1y ago
My understanding is that people are working on Fuschia in name only at this point. Of course some people are passionate enough to try and keep it alive, but it’s only useful to the degree that it can help the Android team move faster.
86.
by sulam 1y ago
Late 2019 I had a short conversation with Abrash about a new OS for the next set of glasses and my immediate reaction was “why?” He was adamant that there was a security need which Linux could not fill (his big concern was too much surface
87.
by sulam 1y ago
MCP is widely adopted. This will work with anything that talks it.
88.
by sulam 1y ago
I had the same thought, and while this is a complete guess, it passes my sniff test personally. It’s possible that when this setting is not enabled, those wake events are not coalesced into hourly wakeups, but instead happen arbitrarily thr
89.
by sulam 1y ago
Way less fun than the ISS, which is like stepping outside on a cold day in comparison. We will have colonies on the moon, Mars, and all the major moons of Jupiter before people are living in the clouds on Venus.
90.
by sulam 1y ago
Probably the most interesting topic in this article is trunk stable, although it only got a few sentences. The rest could have been written by Gemini and we couldn’t tell. Trunk stable, though, is a very big deal in Android land and I don’t

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