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61.
by stopping 5y ago
Inflation is a safety net. Inflation prevents populations from fearfully (or speculatively) hoarding money. When a population collectively decides to hoard money, demand for goods and services tanks, jobs are cut in response, and so on in a
62.
by stopping 5y ago
Not exactly. The only way a state government could deprive the federal government of federal tax income is to tax their residents at a rate of 100%. Even with an uncapped SALT deduction, the federal government is entitled to tax whatever in
63.
by stopping 5y ago
Sales tax is indeed double taxation. That's why you're allowed to deduct it on your federal taxes under the SALT rules.
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by stopping 5y ago
I addressed this in another comment: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28452001 To summarize, you have to have the ability to correct statistical aberrations after manufacture via extensive validation and testing, as o
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by stopping 5y ago
I do agree with this. Most systems have significant basis in unnecessary or outdated methodologies. I think with the JWST project (with partial hindsight), we probably could have benefited from having a "stepping stone" optical te
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by stopping 5y ago
There are two key differences between rockets and space telescopes (any space-faring probe, really) which prohibits "iterate to failure" as a development technique: 1. Forensics difficulty. You need extensive data to debug issues
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by stopping 5y ago
I don't disagree with your point re: Boeing v SpaceX, but precision scientific instrumentation is a very, very different domain where "move fast and break things" cannot be naively applied. The sensitivity to failure is so ri
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by stopping 5y ago
The cost doesn't come from a lack of production efficiency. A significant fraction of the cost is for testing/validation of the spacecraft, which must be done for every unit you produce. Simulating operating conditions on Earth is
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by stopping 5y ago
This is a better example, which also illustrates that planting evidence is a criminal offense: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UANRvFNc0hw And to GP's point, here's an NYT investigation into a suspicious arrest fr
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by stopping 5y ago
This is not true. Using the U.S. as an example, there have been over 70,000 COVID deaths since April (previous 5 months). Yearly auto accident deaths typically are between 30,000 and 40,000. COVID has killed twice as many people in less tha
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by stopping 5y ago
Sample size isn't the problem you think it is. The difference in statistical confidence between sample sizes of a hundred million (COVID vaccine doses) and a billion (flu vaccines) is basically zero. Perhaps you could try to make a cas
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by stopping 5y ago
My crows have done this sometimes when I'm on my bike! Although they'll usually only follow alongside me as far as their territory extends, about the length of a parking lot. Not quite a phalanx either, just a bird or two.
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by stopping 5y ago
Pre-WFH, there were several groups of crows near my office covering distinct territories around my building. I made a habit of feeding and interacting with a few of these groups, every day for several months. Here are my experiences: * I di
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by stopping 5y ago
> One need only look at wtfhappenedin1971.com to understand why. A bunch of scary-looking graphs haphazardly thrown together with huge ads abutting either end is not an argument. This comment is guilty of its own accusation: cherry-picki
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by stopping 5y ago
I don't think that differences in life expectancy are the main driver for the results seen here. Life expectancy between sexes varies by 3-5 years, so you should expect the average age difference be around 2 years. I don't think t
76.
by stopping 5y ago
> This isn't a calculus I've thought through in depth, but the answer is almost certainly not "nobody." That's fair; I don't doubt that there are isolated, contemporary examples where un-masking would have l
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by stopping 5y ago
> But it's pretty myopic to ignore the history of superficial social striations. I'm having difficulty understanding what this comment is implying. Should other peoples' opinions and reactions to wearing a mask (or not wea
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by stopping 5y ago
Equating basic precautionary measures with fear culture doesn't sound right. There's absolutely nothing inherently wrong with an individual deciding to wear a mask. I do agree that the tribalism that surrounds masks is ugly and ha
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by stopping 5y ago
Anecdotally, dozens of people in my social circle (aged 30-50) reported that the worst vaccine side effects were (1) a sore arm and (2) 24-48 hours of sleepy brain fog (even after the second dose). Among first and second degree connections
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by stopping 5y ago
FYI: The J&J vaccine directly injects DNA into the cell nucleus to begin spike protein production. DNA-based vaccines have been tested before (see J&J's Ebola vaccine), and I believe the general consensus is that mRNA is a safe
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by stopping 5y ago
The number of excess deaths in the world is quite similar to the number of known COVID deaths. In fact, excess deaths is the higher number. It's very likely that the number of COVID deaths is currently underestimated, as spread of othe
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by stopping 5y ago
What is the social cost of wearing masks? Genuinely curious.
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by stopping 6y ago
My personal rules of thumb are: 1. Keep the business logic as un-indented as possible. 2. If there are several branching happy-paths, give them the same indentation. I generally choose the "early return" pattern if there is (1) mo
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by stopping 6y ago
> Government-run healthcare is not socially optimal. This needs justification, especially since socialized medicine works better in so many other countries.
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by stopping 6y ago
He certainly doesn't know how to operate an espresso machine: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J3UQmKiVH9E
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by stopping 6y ago
AZ and Hawaii experience ranges of [10-14 hours] and [11-13.5 hours] of daylight across the whole year, respectively. More southern latitudes can get away with not shifting their clocks because the daylight variance is much smaller. In AZ,
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by stopping 6y ago
"Amazon built the Fire stick to be compatible with Chromecast. Google then changed the Chromecast protocols repeatedly to prevent this." I don't believe this is true. Do you have a source?
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by stopping 6y ago
FYI: This article was likely published in summer 2020.
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by stopping 6y ago
Did you accidentally reply to my comment? I didn't state any position on the issue, just offered a 3-sentence correction to someone else's comment.
90.
by stopping 6y ago
This is incorrect. We measure the "efficiency" of a heat pump by the amount of heat moved into a space divided by the work energy provided to the pump (electricity in this case). This is called the "coefficient of performance

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