stephen_cagle

10 ms·

31.
by stephen_cagle 3mo ago
I'm only partially convinced. I just can't see how you could really know if a company is using a hidden metric (or some sort of proxy for that metric so that they are not technically in violation) for figuring out what to promot
32.
by stephen_cagle 3mo ago
Also, if you have expectations that future inflation may be high, the leverage of borrowing can make sense as a hedge against your cash equivalent holdings in that scenario.
33.
by stephen_cagle 3mo ago
Do you mean regulating "watch time and comment count" at the presentation (to the client) or the server (business/analytics) level? If the later, how would you even enforce that?
34.
by stephen_cagle 4mo ago
I feel like this is kind of like the gambler's risk of "going bust" but applied backwards? Feels like it would be better to spend just enough so that you have the capacity to scale up IFF LLM's end up being a big deal. Y
35.
by stephen_cagle 4mo ago
Neat article. I think it is interesting (though I only partially agree) that microwave meals require standardization to scale. Let's say that was true, why couldn't a modern microwave have a small camera and a set of heuristics fo
36.
by stephen_cagle 4mo ago
Just to be clear, I'm visualizing the usage of world models that can consistently render visual and interactive renderings of a specified world. I think interacting with them will be markedly different than interacting with many text b
37.
by stephen_cagle 4mo ago
Agreed, these aren't even games currently. I am just saying that world models will lower the barrier to entry to making games. Which might mean that 1 in 1000 of the lower-barrier-to-entry-people might someday makes a great game. So mo
38.
by stephen_cagle 4mo ago
I feel like a circular saw is a creator tool, while a microwave is mostly a finishing tool. I take raw material and make something out of it with a circular saw, largely unrestrained by anything other than cost, skill, and material. With a
39.
by stephen_cagle 4mo ago
I read this a while ago ( https://stephencagle.dev/posts-output/2012-08-18-accelerando... ) and I remember enjoying it a little less with every section. With that said: This is a book of ideas! Aside: That was my favorit
40.
by stephen_cagle 4mo ago
Yeah, I hear you. And it is historically true. But why can't we just say "2% over a billion, 1% over a million; 50% if you choose to move your assets out of the country". It does not seem that unreasonable to insist that you
41.
by stephen_cagle 4mo ago
I feel like I am saying regressive in the sense that it effects the poor more than the rich, full stop. Being neutral relative to a sales tax is a confusing starting point. I consider a sales tax to be a truly bad tax, as it disproportionat
42.
by stephen_cagle 4mo ago
Hmm, I'd never thought about the fact that a VAT tax requires two sides of a party in order to defraud. That is kind of neat and a beneficial property of VAT taxes I had never considered.
43.
by stephen_cagle 4mo ago
I suspect these models will be like old Gutenberg's printing press. A rapid rise in the amount of content; most of it not that great. However the sheer volume will result in even more high quality content actually being created in aggr
44.
by stephen_cagle 4mo ago
I've multiple times done a minor dive into why a VAT tax is seen as a reasonable tax? It... seems as regressive as a sales tax with even more layers of intervention? I've always eventually lost interest in trying to make sense of
45.
by stephen_cagle 5mo ago
I disagree with calling this bad faith. For instance: * I can agive you one quarter of amazing profits, if you let me dismantle and sell all the assets of a company. * I can give you a few years of incredible food production, if you let me
46.
by stephen_cagle 5mo ago
You've almost buffer overrun Goodhart's Law into the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McNamara_fallacy . :]
47.
by stephen_cagle 5mo ago
I believe private equity ownership represents this in an aggressive form. The 2 and 20 percent takes that PE usually mandates as part of their purchase agreement means that they are highly highly incentivized to maximize short term "wi
48.
by stephen_cagle 5mo ago
https://www.levels.fyi/companies/meta/salaries/software-engi... I fee like if you are an L4+ at Meta, you are doing fine even on a single salary. Let's say you loose 40% to state and federal and 20% to h
49.
by stephen_cagle 6mo ago
I'm blown away by the idea of not using Chris Tucker for Ruby Rhod. It is like imagining anyone but Hugh Jackman as Wolverine. They are basically perfect castings.
50.
by stephen_cagle 6mo ago
Last month I "panic bought" a $999 Macbook Mini (32G) so I could run small models, Image Generation, and Voice synthesis on it. I don't think I regret it yet, despite the fact that you can get a 16G for $599, which is honestl
51.
by stephen_cagle 6mo ago
Writing (unassisted) is probably the first step towards your own independent thoughts. I'm reminded of that scene in "Ghost in the Shell" where some guy ask the Major why he is on the team (full of cyborgs) and she responds s
52.
by stephen_cagle 6mo ago
I think the most interesting idea here is the idea of people purposely keeping secrets in order to maintain advantages. Beliefs: At this time, I do not actually believe that LLM's can innovate in any real way. I'm not even clear i
53.
by stephen_cagle 6mo ago
Does anyone have a breakdown from the case itself about what particular features of these social media apps makes them threshold into the "addictive" classification? - Infinite Scrolling? - Play Next Video Automatically? - Shorts?
54.
by stephen_cagle 6mo ago
Dark thoughts... Imagine a future where most human beings are just overseered by an LLM and we are just wearing AR work glasses. Barely aware of what (physical) work we are doing as we overlay our hands within the projections of our AR glas
55.
by stephen_cagle 6mo ago
I'm somewhat skeptical of this "enter the trades" movement. Actually, I am more skeptical of that statement than I am of LLM's replacing white collar work in general. I think parts of coding are being replaced quickly be
56.
by stephen_cagle 6mo ago
Have you heard of any good projects for running isolated containers in NixOS that are cheaply derived from your own NixOS config? Because that is what I want. I want a computer where I can basically install every non stock app in its own li
57.
by stephen_cagle 6mo ago
> Find Minimum in Rotated Sorted Array I've seen that problem in an interview before, and I thought the solution I hit upon was pretty fun (if dumb). class Solution: def findMin(self, nums: List[int]) -> int:
58.
by stephen_cagle 6mo ago
> you start off checking every diff like a hawk, expecting it to break things, but honestly, soon you see it's not necessary most of the time. My own experience... I've tried approaching vibe coding in at least 3 different ways
59.
by stephen_cagle 7mo ago
I largely reached the same conclusion recently => https://stephencagle.dev/posts-output/2025-10-14-you-should-...
60.
by stephen_cagle 7mo ago
I use KVM/QEMU on Linux. I have a set of scripts that I use to create a new directory with a VM project and that also installs a debian image for the VM. I have an ./pull_from_vm and ./push_to_vm that I use to pull and push t

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