sigstoat

37 ms·

421.
by sigstoat 6y ago
in the U(-1.0, 1.1) case you mentioned, kelly says not to bet. optimize the value of the bet size over the expected value of the log of bankroll + betsize*outcome. you can do that for any probability distribution of outcomes. if you can&#x2
422.
by sigstoat 6y ago
> If you have 30 offers within 2 days, but then reject them all waiting for another buyer, the buyer you wait for has to outbid the 30 previous buyers to make it worthwhile. my recollection from buying a house (even in the buyer's m
423.
by sigstoat 6y ago
it literally can't tell you to bet more than your bankroll. if you include margin in your bankroll, well, that's on your head.
424.
by sigstoat 6y ago
> We have a second property we're likely to sell this year, and the market estimate is up over $70k from last year. When we talked to a realtor we were informed that it would probably move inside of 2 days with multiple competing of
425.
by sigstoat 6y ago
the binary outcome formulation you see everywhere is just "real" kelly boiled down. the real thing, which is contained fully in the first paragraph ("The Kelly bet size is found by maximizing the expected value of the logarit
426.
by sigstoat 6y ago
> on the economy a 2% "tax", on retail sales, at best. b2b, c2c, and large dollar b2c generally don't go through visa. calling it a "tax" is nauseating. you get something from visa, and you can choose not use the
427.
by sigstoat 6y ago
google wants the content up. it is in their interests for there to be as much mundane fluffy ad-watch-generating content as possible. having it DMCA'd down is a problem for youtube. content id is how most of the material can stay up, t
428.
by sigstoat 6y ago
> The separation of church and state is precisely because we DO want state laws to enforce morals. i look forward to your support for making the tithe mandatory.
429.
by sigstoat 6y ago
huh. i don't get anything about my ~23 year old vehicle that was bought outright. guess they figure there's no plausible junk mail i could be sent about it?
430.
by sigstoat 6y ago
> I recently bought a car for the first time in quite a while ugh and they only get information about the loan's origination, so it all keeps going even if you pay the loan off early. my wife bought a car, had troubles, long long st
431.
by sigstoat 6y ago
> Why would we want a private entity, not elected by the people, to decide our morality? i got the impression from the separation of church and state that we don't generally want elected officials deciding what is or is not moral. m
432.
by sigstoat 6y ago
this focus on the value of his stocks, and their fluctuations, is silly. not only could he not liquidate all of his holdings in under a few years without killing the stock price (and making the later sales worth less), but part of the value
433.
by sigstoat 6y ago
you've got it backwards. probably because it sounds more dramatic. of course paying someone more doesn't make them more valuable, in the same way paying extra for lunch doesn't make it a better lunch. rather, they're val
434.
by sigstoat 6y ago
i wish someone would make a financial derivative of cloud provider pricing. i'd like to make money off of all of these folks who are convinced AWS is going to raise prices, any day now.
435.
by sigstoat 6y ago
lattice?
436.
by sigstoat 6y ago
> Not too hard. Perhaps you're imagining less restrictive requirements for it than I am. > 1-Wire, a very low end LAN from Dallas Semiconductor, would be good for this. i'm aware of 1-wire. it is master-slave. can you outlin
437.
by sigstoat 6y ago
if we ignore the issue of powering them, a CV cable is enough for a half-duplex serial connection. you don't need to transfer a lot of data to establish the topology. i think (hand waving!) every module could re-broadcast all the broad
438.
by sigstoat 6y ago
> Another thing is that it's often harder to write your question/problem in text as a message, when in verbal communication it's a lot easier yes, we're finding that a lot of folks have deficient written communication
439.
by sigstoat 6y ago
i had an officemate who spent about ~7.5 hours a day looking at job listings and reading things like "how to quit your soul crushing day job and do what you always wanted". so she was holding the average up for you and 13 other fo
440.
by sigstoat 6y ago
i’ve been reading police reports for years. i’m only surprised by human decency and politeness, now.
441.
by sigstoat 6y ago
> we don't tend to get so many of them around West London. how many of them do you need? they were only burglarizing one place at a time. and it seems like if you're going to be a rare book thief, london would be a reasonable p
442.
by sigstoat 6y ago
you can only imagine one possible situation?
443.
by sigstoat 6y ago
> In my opinion, you should only borrow money to make a profit on it. only monetary profit counts? i shouldn't borrow to buy something that makes my household more efficient, like a dishwasher?
444.
by sigstoat 6y ago
like actual cisco-brand ones, or cisco compatible ones? i checked my order history, it looks like ipolex and 10gtk 1000bT copper modules have had troubles in my mikrotik switches. the mikrotik brand works fine. and every 10G fiber module i&
445.
by sigstoat 6y ago
i won’t mind not seeing all of the “how could six people dislike this video?!?!” comments. doesn’t seem worth it though.
446.
by sigstoat 6y ago
i've got one of those, and another mikrotik 10gb switch. whatever the 16 port one is. they've been working nicely. i have good luck with fiber SFP+ modules, but it seems picky about 1G copper SFP modules, fwiw.
447.
by sigstoat 6y ago
> Musical pedagogy follows classical music out of tradition i think at some levels, of pedagogy, there's also an element of "and because it is cheap to free". my piano teacher bemoans how we only teach music from "dea
448.
by sigstoat 6y ago
> What would happen if for any reasons the biggest fabs are destroyed? it "just" takes some years and heaping piles of money to replace them. though probably more if you're trying to replace them all at once, as there aren
449.
by sigstoat 6y ago
> But how expensive are those missiles? i don't think the officers in charge of protecting the ship generally factor the material costs of doing so in to their decisions. they've got standing orders from above, and somewhere fa
450.
by sigstoat 6y ago
hmm, i thought you were implying that i was using pliers to crimp them, instead of actual crimpers. (which would've made you a jerk, which is why i didn't elaborate much further.) instead it looks like you call them "crimping

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