sfblah

33 ms·

421.
by sfblah 6y ago
Is there a video of that I can watch?
422.
by sfblah 6y ago
Thanks. It sounds like you flipped the script and basically endorsed market timing based on the CAPE in that scenario. Maybe I’m misreading.
423.
by sfblah 6y ago
Cool. Now do the Japan bubble in the late 1980s.
424.
by sfblah 6y ago
This line of reasoning assumes the future looks like the past. Which is generally a solid mode of thinking. But, if the future looks like the past, shouldn't it give you pause that on many metrics markets are substantially more richly
425.
by sfblah 6y ago
Just in case not everyone clicks it, the forecast from 2009 is actually bullish.
426.
by sfblah 6y ago
Wouldn't you also have to add in the second-order effects of the long-term impact on society of that 30yo being able to return to the workforce in a more full capacity? I have no dog in this fight and don't really care who gets va
427.
by sfblah 6y ago
What about spiking the Bret Stephens piece about the controversy over the science reporter who was fired? That was this month as well.
428.
by sfblah 6y ago
Very well put, and I hope at least some people read this and think about it.
429.
by sfblah 6y ago
I don't actually understand. Things can't lose any more than 100% of their value. What do you mean by 250%? Do you mean inflation was at a 250% rate?
430.
by sfblah 6y ago
I'm not sure anyone cares, but the way to think about this is simply to ask if you would own GME at $300 a share if you had to hold it for the next 20 years. The answer is just obviously no. You'll never receive anything remotely
431.
by sfblah 6y ago
Agreed. Just wanted to add that the policy in question is reacting to recessions using monetary policy instead of fiscal stimulus, because of gridlock and regulatory capture. The government is largely at fault for the current bubble. I fear
432.
by sfblah 6y ago
The company I work for changed its internal routing of data to use encryption for 100% of traffic crossing the public internet. I have to think everyone else is doing this as well. Is spying on cables like this even useful? How would ay usa
433.
by sfblah 6y ago
My understanding is that, while government debt is in some ways a fiction, it serves an important purpose in setting the risk-free rate of return in the economy. Yes, the debt could be eliminated and replaced with constant money printing, b
434.
by sfblah 6y ago
If the typical user would use a trust-based institution, then what is the advantage to the end user over the traditional banking model? It's hard for me to see why I as an end user would want to use such a thing, outside of speculating
435.
by sfblah 6y ago
The solution is to put the actual package into the Dockerfile instead of the reference? Asking because I don't actually know the answer.
436.
by sfblah 6y ago
Good question. I guess things like a comment/like/reply mechanic. And, RSS feeds don't really have a topological linking mechanic as far as I know. I mean, this stuff doesn't seem that hard. It's just that users pre
437.
by sfblah 6y ago
Personally I'd just like to see _any_ kind of federated social network system that gets some market share. Kind of like how email is federated. Doesn't really matter to me the feature set. My thought is, if one could get to some k
438.
by sfblah 6y ago
I just tried that and didn't get very much on YouTube. Maybe they've cleaned it up somehow?
439.
by sfblah 6y ago
My kids use Chromebooks. Macs are a little pricey.
440.
by sfblah 6y ago
It's kind of hard to understand that graph without at least part of the corresponding article. Maybe you could paste something that helps in that vein?
441.
by sfblah 6y ago
Ok, but if an advertiser spends $57M across many years generating likes on the platform and doesn't change its business practices materially across that timespan, it seems like they might be entitled to a refund when the pages are shut
442.
by sfblah 6y ago
Isn't at least part of that because an amphitheater, by the nature of its shape, is more likely to survive for millenia than an enclosed, rectangular office building?
443.
by sfblah 6y ago
Serious question regarding your 3rd paragraph: Why? Doesn't Tesla have essentially unlimited access to capital? Why don't they just raise some massive amount of money, borrow more, and do everything right now?
444.
by sfblah 6y ago
Maybe it's the relatively long distances in Australia? I don't live there so maybe I'm totally wrong.
445.
by sfblah 6y ago
The headline says it wasn’t just the Fed and stimulus. But then the chart shows that in fact large swaths of it were PPP loans, unemployment benefits and stimulus payments. All in a year where apparently (PPP excepted) total pay for employe
446.
by sfblah 6y ago
I didn't. I commented on commenting on commenting on the voting on comments. Edit: Funny. Usually I get downvoted for being skeptical of Tesla or Bitcoin. This is a new one for me. Downvote away HN trolls!!! Edit 2: Lol. Picked up anot
447.
by sfblah 6y ago
Meh. I upvoted him to cancel out your downvote. Who cares if people complain about downvotes.
448.
by sfblah 6y ago
2021 will be the year of Linux on the desktop. You heard it here first.
449.
by sfblah 6y ago
I don’t think you’re right about many others having unlimited resources. This situation is a novelty in the post-cold-war era. Admittedly in the Cold War military projects probably did have unlimited resources.
450.
by sfblah 6y ago
No interest in wading into the specifics of these topics obviously. But, it occurs to me that deciding which topics are troll topics and which ones aren’t confers a lot of power. I have actually seen people banned from communities when comi

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