scottLobster

7 ms·

61.
by scottLobster 4mo ago
Yep, and if history is any guide the only way to play it is to take part and get rich while you can, or play the super long game and be positioned for the collapse. Businesses will not adapt until they are incentivized to do so, and very fe
62.
by scottLobster 5mo ago
Is it? If we're talking about a future where EVTOL takes over for passenger cars, there will be air traffic jams with delays that require extended circling and likely hovering. There's a reason all the EVTOL startups show individ
63.
by scottLobster 5mo ago
It also doesn't help that every "breakthrough" announcement is always about something that happened in a lab that may or may not be scalable, and is usually said lab or their sponsoring organization just trying to put itself
64.
by scottLobster 5mo ago
EVTOL isn't exactly quiet either. It will annoy the living shit out of your neighbors, particularly if everyone is doing it. Houses/apartments near airports are already cheaper for that reason. And sure you can contrive whatever
65.
by scottLobster 5mo ago
Autopilot with strictly regulated maintenance and no personal ownership is about the only way it works, assuming your neighbors don't care about the noise
66.
by scottLobster 5mo ago
Yeah, they're definitely better helicopters than what came before depending on what you want out of the vehicle, but helicopters nonetheless.
67.
by scottLobster 5mo ago
Go watch some of these and tell me you trust these people to maintain an EVTOL vehicle, however simple. https://www.youtube.com/@mechanicalnightmare/videos We already have fatal car crashes from people who neglect main
68.
by scottLobster 5mo ago
We have these things called helicopters, they are already made small enough for single occupants and have been for decades. Making them electric and automated doesn't make them less of a helicopter with all of the issues of existing h
69.
by scottLobster 7mo ago
To be fair induction ranges aren't without issues, not due to the concept itself but failures in implementation. Touch screen controls are rife and not only become impossible to use when, say, grease is splattered on them or your hands
70.
by scottLobster 7mo ago
Pessimistically, this will lead to the return of old-school Imperialism to secure the necessary oil supplies and increased exploitation of known deposits. Just because there's an obvious good choice for the average citizen doesn't
71.
by scottLobster 7mo ago
A lot of that is just technological advancement. The baseline has shifted up, you aren't going to save any money by driving a Ford Model T. Quite the opposite in fact, given the maintenance and obscure parts it requires. Likewise not
72.
by scottLobster 7mo ago
Are you responding to the right post? I never said any of that. All I said was if you have to work 3 jobs just to pay rent, you probably aren't going to be caring for many people no matter how much you might want to, simply due to lim
73.
by scottLobster 7mo ago
The ability to care for someone in any material sense requires economic resources. Even having free time is a form of wealth that not all enjoy.
74.
by scottLobster 7mo ago
Or they don't see the problem. Someone's paying 600-900k to live in a townhouse 1000 ft from the runways at Dulles Airport https://www.zillow.com/homes/for_sale/?category=SEMANTIC&sea...
75.
by scottLobster 7mo ago
Because I don't choose what tools are available on every server at work, and it's guaranteed that at the very least old-school vi is installed on every linux server, and often vim. Maintaining that muscle memory is useful.
76.
by scottLobster 7mo ago
If you take the time to read the code and understand it to that level, great. But that sort of belies the promise of vibe-coding, where all software engineers essentially become PMs to a bunch of agents. I use AI to extract information fro
77.
by scottLobster 7mo ago
It can be a power tool if used in a limited capacity, but I'd describe vibe-coding as sending a junior construction worker out to finish a piece of framing on his own. Will he remember to use pressure treated lumber? Will he use the r
78.
by scottLobster 7mo ago
None of that is generated by an LLM prone to hallucination and is perfectly deterministic unless there's a hardware problem. And yes, I have occasionally run into compiler bugs in my career. That's one reason we test.
79.
by scottLobster 7mo ago
I'll add "craftsmanship". It isn't just delivering "A" finished product, you want to deliver a "good", if not "the best", finished product. I guess if you're in an iterative MVP mindse
80.
by scottLobster 7mo ago
And it doesn't freak you out that you're relying on thousands of lines of code that you've never looked at? How do you verify the end result? I wouldn't trust thousands of lines of code from one of my co-workers without
81.
by scottLobster 7mo ago
Maybe the internet has made me too cynical, and I'm glad people seem to be having a good time, but at time of posting I can't help but notice that almost every comment here is suspiciously vague as to what, exactly, is being coded
82.
by scottLobster 7mo ago
Also scientists generally suck at messaging and persuasion. They think if they just dial up the stakes and consequences a little more, it'll be compelling! Maybe if we make one more documentary with bad CGI disaster movie scenes, tha
83.
by scottLobster 7mo ago
Agreed, my point is it's a lot harder than tiagod made it sound. It also doesn't account for some kind of mobile jammer making it inside the cone, particularly if it's staring at an adversarial nation where secure comms would
84.
by scottLobster 7mo ago
No, but the airplane it would be talking to does. Hard enough when your transceiver is wide open, if you narrow your FOV to a thin cone in order to block jamming signals, the GEO now has to physically track the airplane somehow. Either the
85.
by scottLobster 7mo ago
To be fair, he sounds a little more intense than your average player: "A psychologist concluded that Friedmann suffered from dysthymia, today known as persistent depressive disorder, and schizoid personality disorder, writing that he s
86.
by scottLobster 7mo ago
"If you aim well enough" is doing a ton of work there. Precise real-time optical tracking of a satellite from a moving platform is an extremely difficult problem. Even if the satellite itself is geostationary, it would also have
87.
by scottLobster 8mo ago
"The End of History and the Last Man" was a book written in 1992 about the end of the Cold War and how previous historical patterns no longer applied, and Western liberal democracy would sweep the world and usher in a world of pea
88.
by scottLobster 8mo ago
Welcome to the return of history. This is hardly the first time or industry where the US government has forced compliance that wasn't necessarily in the public interest. And the corporations won't fight this. They're in it
89.
by scottLobster 8mo ago
Also hiring. It's easier to find people with JIRA experience than people in your vibe-coded ticket manager, even if it is technically superior for your application. If there is any commonality between the 3D printing craze and vibe-co
90.
by scottLobster 8mo ago
> Every frontier tech company is convinced that the tech they are working towards is as humanity-useful as a cure for cancer, and yet as dangerous as nuclear weapons. Maybe some of the more naive engineers think that. At this point any

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