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sanderjd
searching PlanetScale…
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17 ms
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421.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
No way. Everyone hates Walter at the end. If he had plausibly maintained the "I was doing it for my family" pose, then maybe, yeah. But the whole point of the last season was putting that idea to bed, demonstrating that it was alw
422.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
Yeah, the conceit of Seinfeld was that the characters were crappy, but you liked them because they were funny. But they didn't actually lean into that as hard as, say, the finale would suggest. All of the characters have something symp
423.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
Yeah this does seem right. Maybe as our own empire has been collapsing, our culture has been edging toward the brits'.
424.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
As I just commented above, I do think The Office fundamentally maintained this foundation of comedic failure, but I also think it wouldn't have worked as well for American audiences (and indeed, wasn't working as well in the first
425.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
Very interesting! Except I noted that he referred to David Brent from The Office, and we have a direct corollary to that character, of course, in Michael Scott from The Office. They really didn't change the formula for American audie
426.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
Yep, I've always tried to live by the two classic XKCDs about automating things: https://xkcd.com/1319/ and https://xkcd.com/1205/ . I think these calculations are very different now that we
427.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
I've been trying to use workflows like this, but I quickly run into token limits. I'm curious, for those of you who work like this, what level of subscription do you have?
428.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
I think you are misunderstanding the point I'm making. I agree that "writing code" is likely to be commoditized by AI tools, much like past industrialization disruptions. But I think there is going to be more things to do in
429.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
This doesn't mesh with anything that has happened in the development of computing, or technology in general.
430.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
There is tons of stuff to do. Lots of technologies out there that need to be invented and commercialized. Tons of inefficient processes in business, government, and academia to improve. None of this means that it will be the kinds of prof
431.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
I'm both amazed by the improvements, and also think they are fundamentally incremental at this point. But I'm happy about this. I'm not that interested in or optimistic about AGI, but having increasingly great tools to do use
432.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
Yeah I feel like the better description is that the definition of "developer" expands each time to include each new set of "people who take advantage of the ability to write software to do their jobs".
433.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
Why wouldn't we find new things to do with all that new productivity? Anecdotally, this is what I see happening in the small in my own work - we say yes to more ideas, more projects, because we know we can unblock things more quickly n
434.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
Yeah this is a thought provoking framing. Maybe the way in which those of us who really enjoy programming are weird is that we relish meticulously figuring out those details.
435.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
I think it was reasonable to think, a couple years ago, that it would probably turn out that way, but yeah, not anymore. It honestly feels really refreshing to me, for there to be genuine competition in a new technology.
436.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
This predates Cowork, but I have started to see "non-technical" journalists start taking Claude Code seriously recently. For instance, Joe Weisenthal has been writing about this, eg.: https://nitter.net/thestalwart
437.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
Yes, but I think the reason things become that important is when they are used by a lot of people. People (or small teams) building purpose-specific tools for themselves don't require any of that.
438.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
The political will of a plurality of American voters elected this administration a little over a year ago. We don't have direct evidence of what the current political will of a plurality of American voters is. We have some indirect e
439.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
My point is: I don't think there will be way more jobs for "AI developers", I think there will be plenty of jobs for people who are employed in an industry and adept with using AI tools to be effective at their job. These peo
440.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
That's not the narrative in this thread. That's a broader narrative than the one in this thread. And yes, as I said, the point is not that Mel would benefit, it's that each time a new higher level of abstraction comes onto
441.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
This is true if you want to build professional software. But what I foresee is a lot more tasks being accomplished with task-specific tools created by the people responsible for doing those tasks. Like how people use spreadsheets to get the
442.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
Yeah, this is a big thing. AIs (at the moment) don't learn. You wait for a new model to come out and hope it is better than the last one. But that isn't the same thing as a person learning over time.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
Yeah this is truly my biggest concern. I think it's really bad.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
I think the better way to think of this is whether it will be harder for people who are good at using AI tools to accomplish things with computers to get jobs. Maybe, but I don't think so. I think this skill set will be useful in every
445.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
Yes! I think the next step is to realize that this kind of product manager role is one that more "engineers" should be willing to take on themselves. It's pretty clear why user interviews and research and product requirement
446.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
Yeah I also sense this disconnect between the reality and hype. In part, I think what people are responding to is the trajectory of the tools. I would agree that they seem to be on an asymptote toward being able to do a lot more things on
447.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
> The flip scenario: AI unlocks massive demand for developers across every industry, not just tech. Healthcare, agriculture, manufacturing, and finance all start embedding software and automation. Rather than replacing developers, AI be
448.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
I don't think that does count against the narrative? The narrative is just that each time we've moved up the abstraction chain in generating code, there have been people who have been skeptical of the new level of abstraction. I w
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sanderjd
9mo ago
The same pattern held through the early days of "high level" languages that were compiled to assembly, and then the early days of higher level languages that were interpreted. I think it's a very apt comparison.
450.
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sanderjd
9mo ago
The author meant that you can't just tell a model "do everything that is necessary to achieve 99.95% uptime". It can certainly help you brainstorm issues and solve them, but you can't "just" prompt it.
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