roughly

35 ms·

451.
by roughly 1y ago
I’m more optimistic about the possibility of beneficial AGI in general than most folks, I think, but something that caught me in the article was the recourse to mammalian sociality to (effectively) advocate for compassion as an emergent qua
452.
by roughly 1y ago
The Principle of Least Surprise. Among other things, in an incident, people’s brains aren’t working - the more they have to remember about your particular system, the more likely they are to forget something.
453.
by roughly 1y ago
That’s not a guess, it’s a whole-ass story you’ve concocted in your head.
454.
by roughly 1y ago
The US army does, though.
455.
by roughly 1y ago
I feel like a more appropriate - or at least a more interesting - comparison would be “fix the old one” vs “replace with new.” Replacing an old broken product with a new unbroken one is changing two variables, not one. Now, if the author wo
456.
by roughly 1y ago
Well this is taking a dark turn
457.
by roughly 1y ago
It gets a lot less contradictory when you realize the principles are window dressing for the interests. Early America had no regard for intellectual property rights because all the good media came from abroad - then we built Hollywood and s
458.
by roughly 1y ago
As a good general starting point, assuming other people are broadly similar to you is a pretty good starting point. It helps avoid cartoonish assumptions and provides a fairly good lens for understanding behavior - instead of seeing someone
459.
by roughly 1y ago
> How should they know? Because they’ve got eyes, memory, and a working brain? Every product Amazon has ever put out has wound up with ads in it, as has Amazon itself, so why in gods name wouldn’t this new one be covered in ads? It’s not
460.
by roughly 1y ago
In tech? Say it ain't so.
461.
by roughly 1y ago
I'm not sure that's a fair take. I don't think it's an unfair statement that LLM-generated code typically is not very good - you can work with it and set up enough guard rails and guidance and whatnot that it can start t
462.
by roughly 1y ago
I was talking about this the other day with someone - broadly I agree with this, they're absolutely fantastic for getting a prototype so you can play with the interactions and just have something to poke at while testing an idea. There
463.
by roughly 1y ago
What do you define as “civilization”? Is it culture, norms, practices, a lifestyle, an economy, basic assumptions about the availability of goods and services and health care and medicine, basic assumptions about government, and norms and s
464.
by roughly 1y ago
Ok, now make two tweaks to your mental model: First, think “the fall of Rome” when you hear “civilization collapse.” Second, consider that this isn’t just affecting the US, but every major populated country. And then consider you’ll be livi
465.
by roughly 1y ago
And how long does it take to do that? What do our reserves look like? Where are those new greenhouses? Who pays for the food? How do we adjust our food system around that? How long does _that_ take? How many restaurants, shops, farmers go o
466.
by roughly 1y ago
Ok, let's say US Agricultural production drops in half - I don't mean prices double, I mean for every two tons of produce we produce today, we produce one ton in this scenario. What do you think that looks like for our country? Ho
467.
by roughly 1y ago
This is an absolutely unhinged take. We're facing civilizational collapse because we couldn't be arsed to stop burning fossil fuels, not because we didn't have other options. We've known how to do solar, wind, and nuclea
468.
by roughly 1y ago
It genuinely took me a second - I was midway through writing a very different comment. Apparently reading comprehension is not on my skills list today…
469.
by roughly 1y ago
Yeah, that was definitely a pebkac on my part.
470.
by roughly 1y ago
You’re right - I flagged on Thomas’s name in the signature and because I’ve seen him around here, well, forever, but Kurt is also extremely savvy.
471.
by roughly 1y ago
I was reading this and wondering why it was posted so high (I didn’t recognize the company name), and then I got to the name at the bottom. I think the lesson here is “if it could happen to Kurt, it could happen to anyone.” Yeah, the conseq
472.
by roughly 1y ago
Strongly recommend The Structure of Scientific Revolutions - I actually think it ties a bow pretty neatly between the Ortega and Newton hypotheses.
473.
by roughly 1y ago
The panels at Jeba Misa caught me for a second - they reminded me of graffiti on high buildings and overpasses and the like. As an anthropology aficionado, I’m supposed to say we don’t know the purpose of these artifacts and any attempt to
474.
by roughly 1y ago
Buddy, six figures is about 3 short of the amounts we’re talking about here.
475.
by roughly 1y ago
> trying to help a person but being greedy while doing it. The doctors are trying to help people, the execs are being greedy while doing it. Leadership doesn’t get the benefit of the doubt at this point.
476.
by roughly 1y ago
Oh I mean I don’t care if the teacher is for or against school shootings, I just find it interesting to have subject matter experts share their knowledge and give their opinions on things that impact their field. Some people just don’t take
477.
by roughly 1y ago
- Climate change - School shootings - Sure, they can shut up - COVID - Is this one serious?
478.
by roughly 1y ago
You’re right, that’s true - I’d glossed over the folding@ methodology a bit. I think the core distinction is still that Folding is trying to divine the fold via simulation, while Alphafold is playing closer to a gpt-style predictor relying
479.
by roughly 1y ago
As I understand it, folding at home was a physics based simulation solver, whereas alphafold and its progeny (including this) are statistical methods. The statistical methods are much, much cheaper computationally, but rely on existing prot
480.
by roughly 1y ago
This is off the cuff, but comparing software & software systems to things like buildings, bridges, or real-world infrastructure, there's three broad gaps, I think: 1) We don't have a good sense of the "materials" we&

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