retsibsi

29 ms·

421.
by retsibsi 6y ago
For anyone interested, Scott Alexander wrote a longish review of Seeing Like A State : https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/03/16/book-review-seeing-lik... Personally I found the book a bit long and repetitive: a
422.
by retsibsi 6y ago
> What if jumping in front of a train ("trainspotting") worked regardless of whether you understood why? Not sure if I understand you here (I don't get the 'trainspotting' reference), but: in a world where not
423.
by retsibsi 6y ago
Still, not jumping in front of the train will 'work' regardless of whether you understand why. And it's a lot more useful than remaining agnostic about train-jumping until you understand the physical principles involved. Agre
424.
by retsibsi 6y ago
A more charitable interpretation is that they believe this kind of 'null anecdote' is useful: usually people who experience major effects (positive or negative) are much more likely to share their experiences, and that skews the b
425.
by retsibsi 6y ago
Integrity or the appearance thereof -- showing that you're not trying to cover up your mistakes.
426.
by retsibsi 6y ago
I'm not sure if the original suggestion was 100% serious, but to the extent that it was, I really don't think it was about story. (If I'm right, maybe the word 'epic' was a confusing choice.) The idea is that Doom:g
427.
by retsibsi 6y ago
I think (the original) Deus Ex is an interesting example here, because it doesn't fit easily into any box. Normally I agree with the GP, and prefer the joyously silly/unashamedly dumb approach over the 99.9% of more 'serious&
428.
No, it’s not The Incentives–it’s you (2018)(talyarkoni.org)
3 points by retsibsi 6y ago|0 comments
429.
by retsibsi 6y ago
To be sure , yeah, but if you've tried a bunch of things with no success, and then one thing works despite your having no real optimism for it, that's pretty suggestive of a non-placebo effect.
430.
by retsibsi 6y ago
> tanning is not correlated with melanoma This conflicts with what I've always been taught, and with every high google result for 'tanning skin cancer'. (I'm in Australia, where the sun is especially damaging; but I&#
431.
by retsibsi 7y ago
Is it wrong, though? I did read the article, and I don't think so. One relevant thing GP may have missed is that the researchers "excluded anyone who had tested positive for the virus in the standard nasal swab test". So they
432.
by retsibsi 7y ago
If anyone has good data on the asymptomatic proportion, I'd appreciate a link. I keep seeing 50% (or sometimes 'up to 50%'), but to the extent that I've looked at actual sources, it seems that people are conflating presy
433.
by retsibsi 7y ago
Yeah, I'm not an epidemiologist but I think the principle is simple: it's just a matter of getting the actual transmission rate below 1, so that any outbreak will naturally die out. If in the absence of any immunity the average in
434.
by retsibsi 7y ago
If transmission via packaging were happening, what evidence would you expect us to have at this point, and why? (Absence of evidence can be evidence of absence, but only in proportion to how easy the evidence would be to find if it existed,
435.
by retsibsi 7y ago
For what it's worth, the mockery seems weird and dumb to me. It's pretty clear that you were just engaging in a discussion about whether working from home increased or decreased productivity. But everyone seems to be finding a &#x
436.
by retsibsi 7y ago
Sorry, I shouldn't have said 'increases it to 2/3 or leaves it at 1/3'. If he picks randomly and reveals a goat, the probability that your original choice of door is a winner is now 1/2, as is the probability t
437.
by retsibsi 7y ago
> sticking and switching have an equal reward Right, and this is the intuitive solution. Nobody argues that switching reduces your chance of success; the split is over whether it increases it to 2/3 or leaves it at 1/3. (The pr
438.
by retsibsi 7y ago
Wow, thanks. I'm not big on TV/movies but I'm surprised I missed this one completely.
439.
by retsibsi 7y ago
To be fair, the problem is often badly posed. The host always reveals a goat, and this is crucial information, but people often fail to make it clear. If the host chose randomly and just happened to reveal a goat, the solution would be the
440.
by retsibsi 7y ago
Hah, have you got an example of this one? It's a very distinctive sound so it would be hilarious to hear it over a shot of some obviously non-Australian jungle.
441.
by retsibsi 7y ago
I think they were surprised that store-bought tomatoes had viable seeds. I would have been kind of surprised by this too, but a quick google suggests that while some commercial fruit and veg is deliberately made sterile, it's probably
442.
by retsibsi 7y ago
Did you mean to comment on the other Gates article, 'How to respond to COVID-19'? In that he says candidate vaccines "could be ready for larger-scale trials as early as June", not that they could be mass produced so soon
443.
by retsibsi 7y ago
> This is different from droplet transmission when people are coughing/sneezing. I know, and I thought that was what we were discussing: how strong is the evidence for airborne transmission. > How do you expect asymptomatic infec
444.
by retsibsi 7y ago
Interesting article, but what point are you making by posting it without comment? It doesn't confirm airborne transmission, unless that is implied by background knowledge I'm missing (?). And it certainly doesn't tell me anyt
445.
by retsibsi 7y ago
I don't think they mean there were no such warnings, but that those warnings were ignored here. (FWIW, based on the threads I saw and participated in I don't think that's really accurate; there seemed to be a range of opinion
446.
by retsibsi 7y ago
Maybe I'm just looking for comfort, but this passage (from your first link) seems like a big logical leap to me: > The fact that patients not displaying symptoms are able to transmit the coronavirus indicates something alarming. As
447.
by retsibsi 7y ago
This is a tangential question, but I'm curious how well it tends to do with adults who undergo things like weight gain/loss, emergence or clearing of acne, minor-to-moderate injuries -- the sorts of natural change that can happen
448.
by retsibsi 7y ago
RSS link for the audio version: https://lexfridman.com/category/ai/feed/
449.
by retsibsi 7y ago
I interpreted 'few decades ago' to mean, roughly, within 30-40 years or so. Second half of the 20th century at the very least. (I'm not being pedantic for the fun of it, let alone because I want to downplay the atrocities tha
450.
by retsibsi 7y ago
> shooting Aboriginals like Animals few decades ago Is this really true? I know there's a terrible history of massacres and unpunished murders, but was that sort of thing really going on so recently?

More ›