rayiner

31 ms·

721.
by rayiner 4mo ago
Fun fact: America got rich by being boring. America never went through periods of rapid GDP per capita growth like you see with China. Instead, it’s rich because it has grown at a consistent 2% almost continuously for 200 years, minus a cou
722.
by rayiner 4mo ago
I love how we’re actively cheerleading third worldism now. Boring is good, bland is good, efficient systems that assume high trust are good. Unless you’re Norway or Denmark, you should try to make your country more like Singapore.
723.
by rayiner 4mo ago
If you don’t have a duty to report, you don’t have a duty to report. You can’t predict what government prosecutors will do. If they start investigating and it turns out for whatever reason they can’t pin it on the boss, they could have pinn
724.
by rayiner 4mo ago
I’m at $0.11 in Maryland which gets 40% of its power from nuclear.
725.
by rayiner 4mo ago
This sounds like an arbitrage opportunity.
726.
by rayiner 4mo ago
The problem is that Americans, including our political class, are innumerate: https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/mara-gay-gets-dragged-do... . They react to things based on gut feelings, not mathematical analysis. To t
727.
by rayiner 4mo ago
It’s pretty crazy you want to take a dig at the Bush campaign. I once did an experiment on my FB where I described Gore’s selective recount scheme but attributed it to Trump. And people jumped up and down talking about how it was voter supp
728.
by rayiner 4mo ago
Taiwan's isn't free. Conversely, voter ID cards in the U.S. are free for people that don't have other ID. Texas and Georgia have offered free voter ID cards for more than a decade. All this infrastructure already exists.
729.
by rayiner 4mo ago
It's not any easier to get a national ID in say Germany if you don't already have one. E.g. https://www.personalausweisportal.de/SharedDocs/faqs/Webs/PA... "In order to be issued a national ID
730.
by rayiner 4mo ago
> Whereas of course the Bush campaign We're not talking about what the Bush campaign wanted. The point is that not even the Gore campaign argued that the double votes should be counted. So they're irrelevant.
731.
by rayiner 4mo ago
CNN says exactly the opposite! “Taken as a whole, the recount studies show Bush would have most likely won the Florida statewide hand recount of all undervotes. Undervotes are ballots that did not register a vote in the presidential race.”
732.
by rayiner 4mo ago
When I say “errors” I mean votes the punchcard machines couldn’t read due to the chad not being punched out all the way. Those were the ballots that were at issue in the litigation (“undercounts”). The butterfly ballot would have resulted i
733.
by rayiner 4mo ago
I was actually thinking of a much later CNN retrospective looking at various studies: https://www.cnn.com/2015/10/31/politics/bush-gore-2000-elect... (“Taken as a whole, the recount studies show Bush wou
734.
by rayiner 4mo ago
Faith in elections is a two-way street. The election system must also be fully transparent, minimize the degree to which voters must trust election administrators, and keep records that would allow evidence of voter fraud to be detected. Yo
735.
by rayiner 4mo ago
Taiwan’s system is like voter ID on steroids. The key part of your quote is that voter lists are compiled by “Household Registration Offices.” In Taiwan, everyone has to register with a household registration office within 30 days of moving
736.
by rayiner 4mo ago
WaPo did a recount many years later and found that Bush would have won with further counting. (EDIT: It was a CNN meta-analysis, not WaPo: https://www.cnn.com/2015/10/31/politics/bush-gore-2000-elect... )
737.
by rayiner 4mo ago
It’s cheaper in the short term because these are COTS products. But that’s not a good reason. Voting security should be “zero trust.” We should count votes the same way the Taiwanese, without reliance on technology: https://youtu
738.
by rayiner 4mo ago
So do you only secure your computer networks after they’ve been hacked? We should have transparent, verifiable election infrastructure, like Taiwan: https://youtu.be/DUZa7qIGAdo .
739.
by rayiner 4mo ago
You’re probably right i’m just thinking out loud. It is interesting that software has resisted quality-based segmentation, something that exists in almost every other type of product.
740.
by rayiner 4mo ago
Is there room for European companies to be the “Hermes of the Internet?” The American web is ad-optimized slop for the masses. Can the europeans provide higher quality experiences for more discerning buyers? I’m thinking about Tik Tok. When
741.
by rayiner 4mo ago
Excellent analogy. One note. As a result of a settlement, PACER waives usage fees under $30 per quarter, apparently on the theory that lawyers will rack up more than that while the general public won’t. Doesn’t totally fix the problem but i
742.
by rayiner 4mo ago
Not to mention it had to pay Russia $4 billion for seats on Soyez flights to ferry astronauts to the ISS.
743.
by rayiner 4mo ago
> The sky-high valuation of SpaceX is almost entirely related to it's estimated TAM from AI entreprise solutions, not robots and rocketships That’s not how TAM works. The valuation of each business unit isn’t just a simple proportio
744.
by rayiner 4mo ago
If SpaceX succeeds, the gains will go to the same people who will bear the losses if it doesn’t. Both the gains and losses are privatized. The consumer/ad tech bias of HN is really showing. The app I use to share photos of my kids with
745.
by rayiner 4mo ago
I also remember lots of people saying Uber wasn’t a $100B company.
746.
by rayiner 4mo ago
The proper response to that is to support free speech values in both circumstances. Otherwise, we’re just going to be fighting about the details of whether particular conduct falls within the letter of the free speech protections.
747.
by rayiner 4mo ago
> Big Social Media firms have to make decisions on speech. The fiction underlying their section 230 liability shield is that they don’t have to make those decisions. They’re just “dumb pipes” for user generated content. The Supreme Court
748.
by rayiner 4mo ago
So you “hate” the work that actually goes into building a successful company: pitching investors, doing sales, etc. Do you think that’s why you can’t imagine why other people would want to build companies except to make more money?
749.
by rayiner 4mo ago
Oh my god did we inadvertently train AIs on idiotspeak.
750.
by rayiner 4mo ago
You see this in all the AI generated Tik Toks. What causes AI to use such a weird construction.

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