rafaelero

6 ms·

61.
by rafaelero 2y ago
That's why we have Lmsys for. And spoiler alert, it performs better than 3.5 no matter the complexity of the question.
62.
by rafaelero 2y ago
Does this guy really believe that GPT-4's answers are of the same quality as GPT-3.5? That's ridiculous.
63.
by rafaelero 2y ago
VQVAE is trained to reconstruct the image, so in theory it should contain all the information (both content and location) inside its embeddings.
64.
by rafaelero 2y ago
They are very likely using VQVAE to create a dictionary of tokens and then just converting images into them with an encoder.
65.
by rafaelero 2y ago
Still, if you use GPT-4 it gives you 60% of accuracy in predicting if it's going to go up and down, which is considerably better than median human forecasters. Stop being so dismissive and start reading the numbers.
66.
by rafaelero 2y ago
Are you telling me you think it's not realistic that the sum of all US institutions will own >50% of the tokens? I think that's quite likely.
67.
by rafaelero 2y ago
> How would "the ecosystem" prevent this? Yeah, not sure it was possible given the incentives. > How do you expect this to happen? Institutions will stake their tokens and have disproportionate voice in the consensus. Whenev
68.
by rafaelero 2y ago
Such a dumb move for the eth ecosystem. Contrary to BTC, concentration of tokens inside one institution is a direct threat to their project. Why the hell would they want an ETF?
69.
by rafaelero 2y ago
> Like no one, even the anti-AI writers like OP even seem to want to interrogate this point. People have tried that a lot in 2020 soon after GPT-3/Dall-E 2 was released. It's a losing game. The value is very clear and gigantic.
70.
by rafaelero 2y ago
What a pathetic move. Feel bad for the state of the US.
71.
by rafaelero 2y ago
Isn't S&P 500 basically inflation + GDP growth at this point? I think BTC will follow similar pattern given enough adoption.
72.
by rafaelero 2y ago
This is called self-consistency: sample multiple times and then select the answer that appears the most. You can read Alphacode's paper, which uses a similar method. I think we can do even better, though. Over 1000 runs, it's like
73.
by rafaelero 2y ago
I can't wait for the 400b to be released. GPT-4 is too expensive and the fact that we can distribute the workload between different companies (one company trains it, another creates a performant API) means we will get a much cheaper pr
74.
by rafaelero 2y ago
It will certainly decrease. Also, there are multiple ways to deal with hallucinations. You can sample GPT-4 not once, but 10, 100, 1000 times. The chances of it hallucinating the same things asymptotically reaches 0. It all depends on how m
75.
by rafaelero 2y ago
I am just extrapolating on a trend that started in 2018. I think I am well justified in my opinion, but feel free to ignore the trend and listen to substack fools.
76.
by rafaelero 2y ago
Unless he has access to GPT-5 his opinion is worthless.
77.
by rafaelero 2y ago
I am very bullish for GPT-5. It's going to surpass even the best diagnosticians we have right now. And we will all have access for $20 a month. Crazy and exciting times.
78.
by rafaelero 2y ago
> I find to be absurd It's not intuitive, but it's what decades of behavioral genetics studies say. Adoptees have much stronger correlations with their biological parents than with the parents that adopted them (in all socially
79.
by rafaelero 2y ago
See for example the classic association between childhood maltreatment and future antisocial behavior [1]. As intuitive as it may seem that a child that is maltreated may develop negative externalizing behavior because of that, it looks lik
80.
by rafaelero 2y ago
What's missing here -- and in most of social sciences -- is the realization that adverse events is itself a product of genetics, and bad social outcomes are only weakly mediated through those events. Genetics is most of the story here
81.
by rafaelero 2y ago
I agree. But what does it have to do with your rant about women particularly getting a worse deal?
82.
by rafaelero 2y ago
Computers got 99% cheaper, so by your analogy of only considering an arbitrary product, we have actually experienced deflation!
83.
by rafaelero 2y ago
That's what equality means and what they fought for.
84.
by rafaelero 2y ago
What about gold and Bitcoin?
85.
by rafaelero 2y ago
Nothing you said has anything to do with the article and its proposal to incorporate interest rates into inflation. Maybe it's your type of post that should be considered polution.
86.
by rafaelero 3y ago
> Transformers are just pattern matching. That's trivially true. The question is: are we any different?
87.
by rafaelero 3y ago
A lot of organizations still think they should have their own [finetuned] model to provide a custom experience to their users, so that may come as a surprise for them.
88.
by rafaelero 3y ago
Improbable since reducing added fats is still as good advice today as it was 5 decades ago.
89.
by rafaelero 3y ago
Ok, then let's start by getting away with all the wasteful animal farming.
90.
by rafaelero 3y ago
What a ridiculous complaint. Energy efficiency won't remain static, and even if it were, it's not up to you to decide how to best leverage the available electricity.

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