rachofsunshine

11 ms·

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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
People really struggle with things that have measurable, probabilistic effects. You see it with healthcare ("Steve smoked his whole life and never got cancer, so cigarettes aren't bad for you!"), environmental effects (&quo
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
I'm a founder who is pretty sympathetic to the idea of cooperatives. The simple answer is that I am not savvy enough with financial instruments to be confident that I can structure something that can't be preyed upon if it's
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
> I find your answer incredibly arrogant as a developer because you don't have a successful product so it's a gamble for anyone choosing to join your company. To be fair, this is true of any equity model, which is precisely why
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
I'm the person OOP is quoting in the article. It's an estimate based on two observations: - 23% of candidates tell us outright that they don't want us to match them with crypto (see chart here: https://bsky.app&#x2
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
As long as the operations you're doing aren't too numerically unstable, you could have it use monte carlo methods for moderate numbers of inputs. Sample, say, 10,000 values across the inputs and output averages, output min, 5th pe
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
"Audio developer's fifteen-year-old channel" would do it.
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
We haven't seen major issues with AI with candidates on camera. The couple that have tried to cheat have done so rather obviously, and the problem we use is more about problem-solving than it is about reverse-a-linked-list. This is bor
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
> As I posted elsewhere on this subject: these people are rationalizing, not rational. That is sometimes true, but as I said in another comment, I think this is on the weaker end of criticisms because it doesn't really apply to th
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
I would pull the lever in the trolley problem and don't support murdering people for organs. The reason is that murdering people for organs has massive second-order effects: public fear, the desire to avoid medical care if harvesting i
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
For what it's worth, as the person at the top of this thread, I actually do take AI risk pretty seriously. Not in a singulatarian sense, but in the sense that I would be quite surprised if AI weren't capable of this stuff in ten y
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
Maybe so! They didn't kick me out. I chose to leave c. early 2021, because I didn't like what I saw (and events since then have, I feel, proven me very right to have been worried).
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
I don't, that one's me speaking from my own speculation. It's a working model I've had for a while about the nature of a lot of kinds of mental illness (particularly my own tendencies towards depression), which I guess I
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
> But they don't apply formal or "formalist" approaches, they invoke the names of formal methods but then extract from them just a "vibe". I broadly agree with this criticism, but I also think it's kind of l
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
You're correct. Those communities heavily overlap. Take, for example, 80,000 Hours, among the more prominent EA organizations. Their top donors ( https://80000hours.org/about/donors/ ) include: - SBF and Alamed
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
[Former member of that world, roommates with one of Ziz's friends for a while, so I feel reasonably qualified to speak on this.] The problem with rationalists/EA as a group has never been the rationality, but the people practicing
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
"It's obvious! You're trying to kidnap what I have rightfully stolen!" Yet another of a series of recent lessons in listening to people - particularly powerful people focused on PR - when they claim a neutral moral princ
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
The fact that the background reality is annoying to your preferred systems doesn't make it not true, though. "Doing your own research" is practically a cliche at this point, and it doesn't mean anything good. The fact is
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
Yes and no. Yes, it is partially a problem with improper use. But as a practical matter, we know that convenience and confidence are powerful pulls to very large portions of the population. At some point, you have to treat human nature (or
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
This is a problem with LLMs that I'm not sure has gotten the attention it deserves. Hallucinations are bad, but at least they're essentially random and nonmalicious. An LLM that is told something like "all answers should be w
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
Do you want a superintelligence ruling over all humanity until the stars burn out controlled by these people? The lesson of everything that has happened in tech over the past 20 years is that what tech can do and what tech will do are
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
> Did you tell your boss you’d finish some task today? If something comes up, as often does at work, and you don’t finish, did you lie? No. A good-faith failure is different from a lie. The rule of thumb I use to handle ambiguous situati
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
This sort of thing is part of my personal motivation for getting into business. Lying is so rampant, so universal, so quietly accepted by everyone in a position of even mild power in business that it's easy to take for granted that you
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
He addresses this in the comments. The term that corresponds to "stiffness" normally just gets called "mass", since that is how it shows up in experiments. Roughly put: - A particle is a "minimum stretching" of
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
I'm not saying that this more conservative/cautious style of parenting has no value, or even that it is on net the wrong approach. I'm saying that it has costs of its own that are important to recognize and potentially devast
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
My family did this too. It did make me a condescending asshole, but worse than that, it taught me to be paralyzingly afraid of doing The Wrong Thing. Did it protect me from driving drunk when I was in college? Yeah, but it also "protec
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
Being anti-censorship is one thing that should , taken in isolation, have nothing to do with your object-level views. But in practice, those claims tend to correlate with very specific views, and they're applied hypocritically. Elon i
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
One imagines a lot of the engineers going "yay!" are just people who want to have a job tomorrow.
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
I've had similar experiences, and I have exactly the opposite beliefs. Depression isn't a failing on the person's part, and it isn't stupidity. Nor is suicide resulting from depression. It's a disease, and you &quot
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
There are a few other writing systems that were deliberately created. My favorite is the Cherokee syllabary [1]. A Cherokee man named Sequoyah ended up serving as a soldier in one of the early conflicts between English settlers and other Na
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by rachofsunshine 2y ago
"Companies want to maximize output from their employees while minimizing costs" is kind of a truism - if your position is that that's "using it as a weapon" then fine, but you have way bigger problems than RTO in th

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