paytonjjones

7 ms·

31.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
According to https://deepswe.datacurve.ai/ , Luna at Max at it's previous cost was comparable in both performance and cost to Sol at High. With an 80% reduction in cost that becomes a ridiculous outlier in efficiency.
32.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
That's not really a common attitude in academia, unfortunately. The most common attitude is something closer to "I want to be well known and respected by smart and influential people". In short, prestige. People using your wo
33.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
> only approximate solution is to prevent any restrictions on the use of it - a-la-2nd amendment Not even in 'Murica do we have anything close to no restrictions. You can't buy your own EMP or nuke, and even warring governmen
34.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
The same could be said about the judicial system though, right? Both the prosecution and defense are paid to influence the judge, and will naturally provide a biased perspective. But that doesn't mean there's not high quality info
35.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
Alternatively, couldn't this be seen as evidence on favor of the "corporate narrative" on lobbying? Namely, that the purpose of lobbying is to ensure politicians have instant and easy access to high-quality, insider informati
36.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
People often confuse "irrational" with "rational on inference given incomplete information" This is the latter. See also: stereotype accuracy
37.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
Based on your comments I think you do understand it but are taking it too seriously / too literally. Consider the title: Scott Alexander and others have written more clear, philosophically robust versions of a similar argument ("y
38.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
Title is misleading. The vans are manufactured by an Israeli company and bought by US government entities, not vans affiliated with the nation state of Israel.
39.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
> I always thought that retransmitting the full chat every turn is a foundamental problem So did many NLP experts who worked on LSTM, GRU, etc. But transformers empirically won out and here we are. It will be interesting to see if future
40.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
> from more than 83,000 automated license plate reader This feels purposefully misleading. Did they manually watch hours and hours of footage, or is this the equivalent of "I searched an online corpus of hundreds of millions of docu
41.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
I can understand saying "will be" a disaster, but "have been"? How do you square that with data like this?: https://ourworldindata.org/cdn-cgi/imagedelivery/qLq-8BTgXU8...
42.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
What was the first DeepSeek moment? (genuine question, I'm out of the loop on what you mean)
43.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
People like being needed and important to other people. That isn't some artifact of capitalism; it exists across all times and cultures.
44.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
Is there any entitlements program that's not politically impossible to repeal? Taking away "free stuff", especially once people have come to rely on it, is a political nightmare no matter the structure.
45.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
It's hard to tell whether this is sarcastic, because like the safety of nuclear energy, it's literally true but few people believe it.
46.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
A big political problem with YIMBYism is that almost by definition it will take years to see the effects. If you champion it as a politician, there's a very large chance you get all the flack for new developments, but the next guy gets
47.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
Easier with a duopoly for sure (if there's something restricting new entrants to the market, that's a big problem in its own right), but even so, it's a prisoners dilemma. They are better off cooperating, but if one defects f
48.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
That's true, but the thing about price fixing is that it basically guarantees these conditions. The price is artificially high -> there's a ton of demand waiting to be unlocked by the "potential energy" gated behind t
49.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
> informal agreement to keep transaction fees about the same This would be like, ridiculously illegal. It's also not practical; if you can steal customers, the incentive to undercut is very strong.
50.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
Someone shared this with me the other day. Haven't used it much yet but it seems like it will easily beat my previous strategy of plugging things in randomly and getting aggravated: https://www.whatcable.uk
51.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
Something I never considered much is what happens when everyone else is using the Whispering Earring. You may be more free and independent, but you may also be unable to compete as everyone else easily gains wealth and success. Natural se
52.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
Selection effects are ridiculously strong for almost anything related to health. I strongly believe that's why nutrition science is soooo far behind the rest of medicine. There aren't nearly enough serious RCTs (whereas regulation
53.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
Hmm you are right. But looking closer at the methodology, I find myself even more confused. It seems the metric is something like "most successful stewards of shareholders' investments" which I guess is interesting. But now I
54.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
I'm no economist but I'm having a hard time grokking any meaning out of this metric. So if Elon decided to sell all his shares today (and likely destroy his companies in the process), he'd shoot to the top of the list? What&#
55.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
I feel like...that's terrible advice? Voluntary retrieval (the memory "mode" of flashcards), even for simple pairs, is perceived as highly effortful by almost everyone, on a similar tier to doing mental math. It's incred
56.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
> there is "natural" or "intuitive" Your argument is sound but this overstates your case a bit. There's a reason we don't type with our toes.
57.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
I find it more plausible given my priors as a research psychologist. Correlational overlap between self-report scales is common. It's actually so common that at decent sample sizes, almost any arbitrary self-report will significantly
58.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
A better version of this study would be to run an experiment where you take away (or heavily restrict) parental phone access over a month or two and measure the parent-child relationship vs. a control group. > "Pay more attention to
59.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
This is a weak study that is exemplary of psychology's weak experimentation culture and correlation/causation laundering, especially with regard to self-report. The heavily hinted implication is that device use damages relationshi
60.
by paytonjjones 3mo ago
Today's SOTA also sounds totally sufficient to me, but I wonder how much our standards will inflate by 2028. Maybe a lot, maybe not at all...very hard to say.

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