panarky

6 ms·

31.
by panarky 2mo ago
Let me Google that for you ... Ah, here it is https://bpi.com/missing-factors-in-the-cfpbs-analysis-of-ris...
32.
by panarky 2mo ago
I'm saying bond prices would drop sharply if China tried to rapidly sell even 10% of its holdings. When bond prices drop, US interest rates go up, which hurts the real US economy. And when bond prices drop, that devalues the remaining
33.
by panarky 2mo ago
The $1.26 trillion Federal Reserve figure includes both balances paid in full every month and balances accruing interest. Convenience spending by "transactors" (roughly 35% of cardholders) who pay in full every month is something
34.
by panarky 2mo ago
It would be bleak because the US won't pay, and that would crater both the US and China. That's why China will never do this. Better for both nations to extend and pretend.
35.
by panarky 2mo ago
Now do total debt: government + corporate + household Then add unfunded liabilities like pension benefits and healthcare promises for every federal, state and local government, school district and corporation. A trillion of credit card debt
36.
by panarky 2mo ago
When I ask an LLM to review its reasoning over prior conversation turns, it has access to its tool call results, web searches, and reasoning traces that aren't visible to me in the UI. There's definitely value in the "meta-co
37.
by panarky 2mo ago
Indeed. Not only is search revenue growing, but it is growing at an accelerating rate. At the same time, operating margins are expanding. I don't know the name of the logical fallacy where someone personally uses an LLM instead of Goog
38.
by panarky 2mo ago
If by "shakier footing" you mean accelerating growth in query volume, ad impressions, revenue and earnings, I'll take it.
39.
by panarky 2mo ago
> A hamburger probably has a better nutritional value than farmed salmon. A sensational statement that is utterly false. Per 100g, Norwegian farmed salmon has 0.1x the sodium, 0.5x the saturated fat, 2x the protein, 20x the Omega-3 fat
40.
by panarky 2mo ago
It's well known and well documented in AI research. Instead of taking syntactic shortcuts, the richer abstractions learned from multiple languages, and code, and math, and images and audio, ultimately make English comprehension and rea
41.
by panarky 2mo ago
But they'd be stupider. The results for English and Python are much better because the model is also trained on Mandarin and Greek and Lisp even if you never make a request or receive a response in Mandarin, Greek or Lisp.
42.
by panarky 2mo ago
English reasoning is far better when the model has been trained on many other languages even if you only work in English and never touch another language.
43.
by panarky 3mo ago
You are correct. Interestingly, the 10x shares held by Brin and Page constitute only 11% of the economic value of Alphabet, but 51% of the voting control. And the 10x shares automatically convert to 1x shares upon transfer or inheritance, s
44.
by panarky 3mo ago
Generally the 10x shares aren't traded so it's impossible to see if they trade at a premium. One exception is GOOG / GOOGL which both trade actively, and there's not much difference in price. The mechanism for a price di
45.
by panarky 3mo ago
pff, it's really boring to see the same reflexive red herring in every llm thread. they are not humans they don't think they don't 'know' antirez never says they are or do any of that at least an llm can write a res
46.
by panarky 3mo ago
I don't want the founders and operators of my free-expression tool to be neutral. I want them to be strongly biased in favor of free expression. But they take my money and use it restrict how people dress, how they pray, what customs t
47.
by panarky 3mo ago
Let's say you could calculate a good-evil score for every large corporation by netting the good they do against the evil they do. I don't know if Google would be net-good or net-evil, but I'm pretty sure they would be far les
48.
by panarky 3mo ago
> The friction itself does not add value Exactly. I don't have to write binary machine code directly, every zero and one artisanally crafted by hand, to have thought deeply for years about a how to solve a problem. In fact, choosi
49.
by panarky 3mo ago
You'll get some hostility around here for all the slop-text, but the board of personas with anti-cheat public attestation seems like the beginning of a useful forecasting tool. I tried building something similar to make 72-hour predict
50.
by panarky 3mo ago
No political party is going to say they're "pro censorship". But if they promise to target specific groups of people to close their schools, regulate how they dress, ban their prayers, and suppress their art, it's all ab
51.
by panarky 3mo ago
Örebropartiet policies directly target and restrict the religious, educational, and cultural expression of people who legally reside in Sweden. Their polices focus on the way people dress, the languages they speak in public, the institution
52.
by panarky 3mo ago
It should be obvious that it is utterly incompatible with the values and mission of Mullvad for a Mullvad executive to give a large amount money from Mullvad customers to advance public policy with the primary and direct intent to restrict
53.
by panarky 3mo ago
>> Being in a tolerant and intellectually open environment ... Karl Popper said, "Unlimited tolerance must lead to the disappearance of tolerance. If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are intolerant, if we are not
54.
by panarky 3mo ago
> Just repeating the same prompt ... If you were tokenmaxxing you would understand.
55.
by panarky 4mo ago
Most people here seem to think the content is high quality. Do you disagree?
56.
by panarky 4mo ago
Good luck applying your US antitrust law against Samsung and SK Hynix which have 75% of the market. Maybe instead of antitrust the US could go back to tariffs, the universal cure for high prices.
57.
by panarky 4mo ago
Simple minds want to believe one simple thing and then rationalize everything else to force consistency with that one simple idea. If you want to believe the simple idea that AI is mostly hype, then you'll get stuck in a multi-year loo
58.
by panarky 4mo ago
When this tool insists it has nothing to do with their vendetta against Amodei, you know that's exactly what this is about.
59.
by panarky 4mo ago
>> A machine cannot "argue" with me > programmed to mimick interaction as if it HAD those beliefs and experiences We spend far too much time debating the essential nature of consciousness when it doesn't matter if it
60.
by panarky 4mo ago
One unresolved bug does not disprove anything.

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