p-e-w

73 ms·

931.
by p-e-w 3y ago
> isn't random sampling from the population of interest a method that will generate a sample that is representative with high probability? That depends on the sample size. The comment I replied to claimed that "you could estima
932.
by p-e-w 3y ago
> Of course the study of celestial movements eventually became astronomy Astrology is not "the study of celestial movements". It's the utterly baseless claim that those movements have a high-level influence on human live
933.
by p-e-w 3y ago
> I've seen similar sample sizes in medical journals, but I wouldn't necessarily call those junk. Unless those small sample sizes are justified by rigorous statistical modeling, showing that the result is still significant even
934.
by p-e-w 3y ago
It's even worse than that: Some jurisdictions (including California IIRC) allow involuntary psychiatric holds based on the assessment of people (like law enforcement officers) who have no psychological qualifications whatsoever. This
935.
by p-e-w 3y ago
Being new is not an excuse for producing meaningless garbage. It's okay to not know. It's not okay to claim results when there aren't any to be drawn from the available data. And astrology did not "turn into" astr
936.
by p-e-w 3y ago
There is no fixed size of samples that guarantees a result is statistically significant. How many samples are needed depends on the desired p -value among other things, which in turn depends on prior assumptions, and on the quantities bein
937.
by p-e-w 3y ago
> But if a sample is random and representative, you could estimate population statistics of millions (or even infinite) with a sample of just 30 or so. While that statement is technically correct, it is useless in practice. In order to d
938.
by p-e-w 3y ago
> is it common to work with so small sample sizes in psychology? Yes. Even much smaller sample sizes are common. I've seen "results" published in supposedly reputable journals with sample sizes as small as 9. Not 9 other s
939.
by p-e-w 3y ago
> If your system relies on secrets being present in repos, it is a poorly designed system. Repos are databases that track changes in files, nothing more and nothing less. There are millions of repos on GitHub that don't contain appl
940.
by p-e-w 3y ago
This post is mostly FUD. Case in point, the following advice: > So, if you’re worried about it: stop putting sensitive data into private repositories. Most of the issues mentioned in the post (misconfiguration, phishing, mistakes, zero-d
941.
by p-e-w 3y ago
> Creation of an extremely hostile culture to users (how do you change it now?) By changing the community guidelines to prohibit such behavior, and then aggressively banning users who engage in it. Of all the problems Stack Overflow face
942.
by p-e-w 3y ago
That may be true, but there is usually a limit to how much hypocrisy such posts contain. I'm pretty sure that after the Deepwater Horizon oil spill, BP didn't put out press releases containing quotes that praised the company'
943.
by p-e-w 3y ago
> “They are creating this culture on Stack Overflow where it’s become a really safe place to ask a question, a safe place to provide an answer, and try to get people closer to their solution, and I think that’s part of what’s made it rea
944.
by p-e-w 3y ago
I love this comment. It just cuts through all the pseudo-traditionalist cargo cult BS that surrounds topics like the one being discussed here. To be clear, I think those demos are cool and contain interesting technology. But the pretense th
945.
by p-e-w 3y ago
Not really. Aperiodic tilings, while lacking symmetry in a strict sense, still tend to look quite regular and repetitive, and thus non-natural.[1] Aperiodicity alone doesn't guarantee the "natural" look, which is unsurprising
946.
by p-e-w 3y ago
Indeed. This is actually the cardinal error of all social sciences. "We can't measure the stuff that matters, so we measure what we can measure instead, and then use those measurements to draw conclusions about the stuff that mat
947.
by p-e-w 3y ago
> that the world is "horribly bad" is subjective, and as it has been said, contradicts objective metrics The metrics themselves may be objective, but which metrics you apply is very much subjective, and a potent tool for spinni
948.
by p-e-w 3y ago
> outweigh those things you cited The comment I responded to claimed that "we are better" according to "every metric" . It wasn't about one thing "outweighing" the other. > Environmental pollution,
949.
by p-e-w 3y ago
> Quality in this context means what the student can do after graduating without failing or creating accidents That's a problematic quality criterion, since many academic disciplines (including most of the humanities) aren't sk
950.
by p-e-w 3y ago
I was referring to the chess analogy from the comment I responded to, not to the comparison from the top level comment.
951.
by p-e-w 3y ago
You did write that, but you first wrote that GPT-4's performance says more about the task than about its capabilities. Which is the exact same pattern that has been used to "deal with" advances in AI since forever. And Caplan
952.
by p-e-w 3y ago
> They can reproduce and recombine some text snippets about rocks, but they do not understand, what a rock is. What is the difference between "recombin[ing] some text snippets about rocks", and understanding what a rock is? I&#
953.
by p-e-w 3y ago
> Compared with every metric in history, we are better. That claim alone should immediately make you doubt the metrics being used. In fact, it's easy to find dozens of metrics for which this isn't true. Housing affordability be
954.
by p-e-w 3y ago
> The fact that GPT-4 can pass his tests says much more about the tests than about the capabilities of GPT-4. "Deep Blue beating Kasparov shows that ultimately, chess is just brute force calculation..." "Stable Diffusion &
955.
by p-e-w 3y ago
This explanation is so obvious that I consider any study or chart that doesn't scream this at the reader in big red letters to be nothing short of propaganda. The conclusion those "researchers" would like to draw is that the
956.
by p-e-w 3y ago
Rate limiting is (usually) done on a per-host basis. The only users who would be adversely affected are those who perform hundreds of requests per second from a single system. Virtually every major website has per-host inbound request l
957.
by p-e-w 3y ago
Indeed. Tens of thousands of requests per second from just 64 hosts? So they allow individual hosts to make hundreds of requests per second, sustained? That sounds crazy. Even for a burst limit hundreds per second would be extremely high.
958.
by p-e-w 3y ago
> Also the arguments regarding colorblind crowd being unable to distinguish colors are weak Especially since accessibility in terminal environments simply isn't a thing. The terminal is a grid of cells that contain individual charac
959.
by p-e-w 3y ago
Apart from the fact that the entire article/talk comes across as incredibly patronizing, I'm having a hard time figuring out what exactly the author is arguing for or against. Either AGI is an existential threat to humanity or it
960.
by p-e-w 3y ago
We need new terminology to distinguish between macroeconomic recessions and living standard recessions. Traditionally, those two things are more or less intertwined, so the term "recession" carries connotations of both. With t

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