omalleyt

8 ms·

31.
by omalleyt 5y ago
Financial assets going up is precisely a sign of inflation. Argentina has 40% inflation and the best performing stock market (if you denominate in Argentinian currency)
32.
by omalleyt 5y ago
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/07/consumerpriceindex....
33.
by omalleyt 5y ago
Inflation dynamics are not like stock-market dynamics. Widespread stock-market optimism is a self-denying belief. Investors reach peak optimism, fully invest, and then the market can only go down. Widespread inflation expectations is a sel
34.
by omalleyt 5y ago
Gold.
35.
by omalleyt 5y ago
That’s putting a lot of faith on the gov’t to correctly report CPI, when they have every incentive to underreport it. In fact, they’ve changed the CPI methodology twice in order to report lower average inflation (under the premise that the
36.
by omalleyt 6y ago
There’s a level of dysfunction that causes a company to acknowledge the issue and hire consultants. And then there’s a level of dysfunction that causes the company to not acknowledge the issue and not hire consultants. The latter level is h
37.
by omalleyt 6y ago
Every essay is about how and why Paul Graham had a hard time in high school
38.
by omalleyt 6y ago
> And, while there's certainly some intrinsic value in an S&P 500 listing - as an advertising device, if nothing else - it's hard to imagine that it's worth $50bn The value of being in an index is that 80% of the marke
39.
Hyperparameter Tuning with Keras Tuner(blog.tensorflow.org)
3 points by omalleyt 7y ago|0 comments
40.
by omalleyt 7y ago
Unfortunately, your intelligent agents qualify as optimization algorithms and therefore the No Free Lunch Theorem applies: https://ti.arc.nasa.gov/m/profile/dhw/papers/78.pdf I.e. across the space of all
41.
by omalleyt 8y ago
Citizens would be the shareholders
42.
by omalleyt 8y ago
What was the treatment?
43.
by omalleyt 8y ago
That would take extra calories, that's where the balance is
44.
by omalleyt 8y ago
Industrial engineer by training here, I honed my chops on Kaggle competitions, eventually winning one. I was recently brought into a FAANG in a ML/AI engineering capacity. I can’t reccomend Kaggle enough for those who are looking to pr
45.
by omalleyt 8y ago
Look at it this way: human ability to act is (for elite gamers) 300 actions per minute. That's 5fps. So with 30fps the AI could theoretically already have 1/6th the latency of the most-responsive human drivers
46.
by omalleyt 8y ago
I think there was some inevitable loss of nuance as that got translated into layman's terms. For all practical purposes, you can write causality like p(x|y) = 1 and time(y) < time(x) I.e. causality is just when one event always happ
47.
by omalleyt 8y ago
Well, "appeal to consequences of belief" is a logical fallacy. But yes, of course it's possible that inaccurate views of the world can actually bring about better outcomes than accurate ones
48.
by omalleyt 8y ago
It's showing him Wawas he's been to before. That's what the clocks mean. For the search "wawa" it doesn't make a lot of sense to prioritize history over distance, because Wawas are nearly identical. But for &qu
49.
by omalleyt 9y ago
Societies compete with each other like organisms. Successful societies propagate. Primary dimensions of competition are demographics, economics, and military. Thus the history of social organization is necessarily a history of extracting ev
50.
by omalleyt 9y ago
Google doesn't run those images through a pixel-level ConvNet, Google's algo uses a combo of the HTML info surrounding the image and the image's popularity. Running every image on the web through a CNN would be computationall
51.
by omalleyt 9y ago
I think there's a simple explanation for this. Increased head size == greater risk of death in childbirth Female hips have already evolved to be as large as possible while still being load-bearing. It would be interesting to see what t
52.
by omalleyt 9y ago
If I was a celebrity, I could see this being huge. I could only give out my virtual number even to friends and family. And then I could have my virtual number leaked but it wouldn't matter, bc I only whitelist my friends and family on
53.
by omalleyt 9y ago
I'm really hoping they actually mean an adaption of some period from The Simarillion. Maybe Feanor's story? Something like that would be epic
54.
by omalleyt 9y ago
I had this problem all my life. Now I take 500 micrograms of melatonin every night an hour before bed. I'm out like a light. It might not be for everyone, but it's changed the way I feel about sleeping. And it's non-habituati
55.
by omalleyt 9y ago
The funny thing is the author thinks having an 81% success rate of predicting which image out of a pair of images is of a gay person, is not as hard as predicting with 81% accuracy whether any given individual is gay or straight. Meaning th
56.
by omalleyt 9y ago
Well, that's the problem with the status quo, that wouldn't be the problem if universities switched to an income sharing strategy as proposed. I was assuming we were talking about "unprofitable"-but-valuable majors in a
57.
by omalleyt 9y ago
Sure, I'd be good with that. I also think that if there are some things that are non-profitable but still valuable to society (and no doubt, there are), then the problem is really that the agent isn't capturing enough of the value
58.
by omalleyt 9y ago
Awesome, that's great to hear. And I completely agree with your last paragraph, my concern (without knowing the relevant laws) was always just what a judge would hear. Really glad to see someone doing this
59.
by omalleyt 9y ago
Brilliant, I've long thought that all universities should run under this model (although when applied to the humanities I can hear in my head the 3000 years of the land owning, non-laboring intelligentsia protesting about the noble vir
60.
by omalleyt 9y ago
Historical records did not begin 100 years ago, that much I don't think anyone can truly believe. We have detailed contemporary histories of the American Revolutionary War, for one, and they seem no more "biased" than histori

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