nilkn

10 ms·

121.
by nilkn 10mo ago
I did suggest all code has bugs (up to some limit -- while I wasn't careful to specify this, as discussed above, there does exist an extraordinary level of caution and review that if used can approximate perfect bug-free code, as in yo
122.
by nilkn 10mo ago
No, that's not what I wrote, and it's not the correct conclusion. What I wrote (and what you, in fact, also wrote) is that in reality we generally do not actually need provably correct software except in rare cases (e.g., safety-c
123.
by nilkn 10mo ago
I mostly disagree with this. Lots of things correlate weakly with other things, often in confusing and overlapping ways. For instance, expertise can also correlate with resistance to change. Ego can correlate with protection of the status q
124.
by nilkn 10mo ago
Human code review does not prove correctness. Almost every software service out there contains bugs. Humans have struggled for decades to reliably produce correct software at scale and speed. Overall, humans have a pretty terrible track rec
125.
by nilkn 10mo ago
People who've spent their life perfecting a craft are exactly the people you'd expect would be most negative about something genuinely disrupting that craft. There is significant precedent for this. It's happened repeatedly i
126.
by nilkn 11mo ago
I can't speak for the other poster, but I actually recently "abandoned" PC gaming. For me, it wasn't a deliberate decision but more of a change in behavior that occurred over time. I suspect the key event was picking up
127.
by nilkn 1y ago
His pattern seems to be: (0) Be exceptionally intelligent and capable of applying that intelligence to people, not just code or math — necessary for everything that follows. (1) Keep attention diversified as long as possible until the winni
128.
by nilkn 1y ago
My company’s been through layoffs/reorgs every 3–6 months for three years. One thing is true: performance management happens faster. Many chronic low performers were laid off, and a few “too many cooks” problems were resolved. Those be
129.
by nilkn 1y ago
No, but we own one of their vehicles and in years have never experienced a recall that involved physically recalling the vehicle. This one doesn't apply to us, but if it did, that alone would immediately make it stand out compared to e
130.
by nilkn 1y ago
To the contrary, the fact that this is a physical recall is perhaps the most interesting and noteworthy thing about it.
131.
by nilkn 1y ago
There are always outlier examples, but for most folks, sacrificing integrity too much will come back to bite them -- marital and family problems, divorce, or personal crises that end up eating through money or having ramifications that affe
132.
by nilkn 1y ago
For most folks, filing your taxes is already mostly automated and requires a time investment of maybe 45 to 60 minutes per year. Would it be nice to reduce that down to 20 seconds? Sure, but it's not going to materially change anything
133.
by nilkn 1y ago
I think consumer personal finance is hard to disrupt with AI for two reasons: (1) mistakes, hallucinations, etc., aren't acceptable; (2) there really aren't any major secret insights to derive from the data -- just spend within yo
134.
by nilkn 1y ago
Try turning off memory. I've done a lot of experiments and find ChatGPT is objectively better and more useful in most ways with no memory at all. While that may seem counter-intuitive, it makes sense the more you think about it: (1) Me
135.
by nilkn 1y ago
Front-line workers have a conflict of interest (AI making their jobs easier may lead to layoffs); they're incentivized to be productive, but not so productive that they or a peer they like ends up without a job. That conflict of intere
136.
by nilkn 1y ago
If you truly think the team responsible for this made a bad call, you need to go look at all the data they collected. Otherwise, yes, you're just sharing a couple anecdotes, and that is problematic and can't be brushed off or ig
137.
by nilkn 1y ago
I know you don't want to hear this, but I also know you know this is true: you would genuinely need to look at the full dataset that team collected to draw any meaningful conclusion here. Your single example means pretty much nothing i
138.
by nilkn 1y ago
The answer isn't pre-ordained -- it's simply already known from experience, at least to a sufficient degree to not trust someone claiming it should be totally avoided. Like I said, there are not many corporate roles where it'
139.
by nilkn 1y ago
Look, for most corporate jobs, there's honestly no way that you truly cannot find any kind or level of usage of AI tools to make you at least a bit more productive -- even if it's as simple as helping draft emails, cleaning up a
140.
by nilkn 1y ago
It's 100% plausible and believable that there's going to be a spectacular bubble popping, but saying we are way past peak LLM would be like saying we were way past peak internet in 1999-2001 -- in reality, we weren't even rem
141.
by nilkn 1y ago
A couple thoughts: - The author of this clearly disliked the WSJ article, but I don't think they did a good job of explaining why. I'm not saying they're wrong, but this article is very emotional without much concrete critici
142.
by nilkn 1y ago
You’re going to be disappointed when you realize one day what you yourself are.
143.
by nilkn 1y ago
ChatGPT is designed to be addictive, with secondary potential for economic utility. Claude is designed to be economically useful, with secondary potential for addiction. That’s why. In either case, I’ve turned off memory features in any LLM
144.
by nilkn 1y ago
There's no doubt it can function as a convenient cover, but that doesn't mean it's having no effect at all. It would be naive to assume that the introduction of a fundamentally new general-purpose work tool across millions of
145.
by nilkn 1y ago
It's rarely (maybe never) a direct one-to-one elimination of jobs. Most attempts to replace a single complete human job with an AI agent are not successful (and large companies, generally, aren't even attempting that). Rather, t
146.
by nilkn 1y ago
Yes, of course it is.
147.
by nilkn 1y ago
If we're actually headed for a "house of cards" AI crash in a couple months, that actually makes their arrangement with Meta likely more valuable, not less. Meta is a much more diversified company than the AI companies that t
148.
by nilkn 1y ago
As far as I can tell, putting the conspiratorial thinking aside, he's not really wrong, but I'm also not sure it matters that much. If neurosymbolic AI was "sidelined" in favor of "connectionist" pure NN scalin
149.
by nilkn 1y ago
For a bit now ChatGPT has been able to reference your entire chat history. It was one of the biggest and most substantial improvements to the product in its history in my opinion. I'm sure we'll continue to see improvements in thi
150.
by nilkn 1y ago
Lack of differentiation within a tiny elite circle of candidates does not imply that salaries do not reflect individual differential value broadly. While these people control a large amount of capital, they do not own that capital -- thei

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