mrbungie

10 ms·

181.
by mrbungie 1y ago
I don't think GP was rigorous, but your comment is kind of pedantic, isn't it? Most people commenting here know that all models are false but some make good predictions, and achieving that status is enough for most laypeople to c
182.
by mrbungie 1y ago
Yep, it is different. If AI is really wrecking the job market structurally due to new efficiencies, one would hope those effects will be permanent (i.e we won't need juniors anymore because AI will fill those spaces permanently, with o
183.
by mrbungie 1y ago
Is it really? or is it just a very good excuse for layoffs and "do more with less" policies?
184.
by mrbungie 1y ago
Yep, we all know that MS Excel will get us at least 60% there. (50% joking).
185.
by mrbungie 1y ago
Ok, so the logical leap here I assume is "(part of) Eastern Philosophy prioritizes community vs individualism" => "There is higher appetite for authoritarianism in the East". Enough HN for today.
186.
by mrbungie 1y ago
Sure, let's compare an almost global failure mode with the worst examples of knowledge workers. ffs.
187.
by mrbungie 1y ago
Any retries before nailing the prompt are still going to be billed, so this supports GP position about LLMs being expensive for trivial things.
188.
by mrbungie 1y ago
For symbolic computation there is also Maple (*shudders at the thought*).
189.
by mrbungie 1y ago
Actually, you're not missing anything. The thing is, hype cycles are just that, cycles. They come around with a mix of genuine amnesia, convenient amnesia, and junior enthusiasm, because cycles require a society (and/or industry)
190.
by mrbungie 1y ago
You can invoke Poe's law just by reading the article (or not as happens with most cases of honest/unintentional Poe's law) and posting something wrong about it. LLMs are not needed for this use case, we can think and spark di
191.
by mrbungie 1y ago
AI is magic, at times, when is convenient, and it is also extremely scientific and mathy, at times, when it is convenient. Don't you dare doubt those thoughts at the wrong time though. Just classic hype.
192.
by mrbungie 1y ago
That's what baffles me. Somehow security NEVER acknowledges that security theater, cognitive overload and constant friction makes users more inclined to make bad decisions, repetition over months make this even worse. Hackers need just
193.
by mrbungie 1y ago
Maybe there was no cruelty, and we were just plain matter that fell into our encapsulating black hole. Like what happenswith our own universes black holes.
194.
by mrbungie 1y ago
Towers of Hanoi IS an algorithmic problem. It is a high-school/college level problem when designing algorithms, probably kid level when trying to solve intuitively, heuristically or via brute force for few disks (i.e. like when playing
195.
by mrbungie 1y ago
> The issue is people who say "see, the AI makes mistakes at very complex reasoning problems, so their 'thinking is an illusion'". That's the title of the paper. That's not what the paper proposes (i.e. it c
196.
by mrbungie 1y ago
The thing is "spicy" or "glorified" autocomplete are not actually bad labels, they are autocomplete machines that are very good up to the point of convincing people that they think.
197.
by mrbungie 1y ago
Nah, even if we follow such a weak "argument" the fact is that, ironically, the evidence shown in this and other papers point towards the idea that even if LRMs did have access to physical tools, robots labs, etc*, they probably w
198.
by mrbungie 1y ago
I don't know about you, but as far as I can tell I mediate and manipulate the world with my body and senses without necessarily using language. In fact, I can often do both at once, for example, thinking about something entirely unrela
199.
by mrbungie 1y ago
DuckDB on a lambda/serverless python function wrapper or in WASM (for client-side workloads) is as stateless and serverless as you can get. In that case BigQuery is more managed than both, PAYG for analytical queries without thinking a
200.
by mrbungie 1y ago
> Their data teams are too big, ours are the right size. Come on dude, tech we can discuss a lot and there is no totally correct objective response. Irresponsible financials are an entirely different beast. A proportionally big data team
201.
by mrbungie 1y ago
> Here's the deal: Reasonable people aren't claiming this stuff is a silver bullet or a panacea This article and vocal supporters are not being reasonable at all, they make a not so between-the-lines separation between skeptics
202.
by mrbungie 1y ago
You know what's nuts? How so many articles about supporting LLMs and against skeptics are so full of fallacies and logical inconsistencies like strawmans, false dichotomies, appeals to emotion and to authority when they have supposedly
203.
by mrbungie 1y ago
Nothing new to see here really, pretty sure the same narrative was seen about Hive/Spark against Teradata/Exadata back in the 201X. Wouldn't be surprised if 5 years down the line we see DuckDBaaS execs offering fully paid tri
204.
by mrbungie 1y ago
You can run a fleet of DuckDB instances and process data in a partitioned way. Yes, there must be some use cases where you need all the data loaded up and addressable seamlessly across a cluster, but those are rare and typically FAANG-class
205.
by mrbungie 1y ago
DuckDB has support for ODBC/ADBC and even JDBC (so Trino should be easy, https://trino.io/docs/current/connector/duckdb.html ).
206.
by mrbungie 1y ago
And don't forget DuckDB [1]. [1] https://duckdb.org/docs/stable/data/csv/overview.html
207.
by mrbungie 1y ago
> True, but what comes out of it? Well, obviously, navigating complexity in the middle of a tech cycle is hard, and after the storm, anyone can claim to be a captain. I'd say the best we can do is stay conscious of the pattern (and
208.
by mrbungie 1y ago
Yep, I share the sentiment about missing examples. The whole overengineering problem does have a yin/yang quality to it, especially around themes like designing "for the future or for scale" (generalization) vs YAGNI/&qu
209.
by mrbungie 1y ago
I'm not sure what to tell you, dismissing the article as posturing or superiority, without reading it, is at the very least ironic. That being said, I'd just add (and perhaps the article fails to acknowledge this, maybe contributi
210.
by mrbungie 1y ago
It is a feelpiece, but I don't think that's necessarily a bad thing, at least it invites discussion. Also, framing it as "us vs them" misses the point. For instance, in my world (Data & Analytics), there's no un

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