mr_00ff00

7 ms·

31.
by mr_00ff00 7mo ago
Sure, but some people would get out, right? Surely you aren’t saying that because prediction markets can’t save every single life, that it’s somehow useless to save a few. Another example, if odds jump on a missile strike on a particular ci
32.
by mr_00ff00 7mo ago
It’s different because the prediction markets companies don’t make money on spreads. You aren’t betting against the house. Sports betting, every bet you take has a house edge. Polymarket, for example, makes money on the data. So it must
33.
by mr_00ff00 7mo ago
The idea is that prediction markets show the “odds” of an event occurring (that’s why it’s percentages after all). So if a war with Iran is going to happen, and so a general bets that it will, the odds will jump and go very high. Now at lea
34.
by mr_00ff00 7mo ago
I am familiar with this but thought it was for separating prosecutors from judges? Is this some indirect effect of that?
35.
by mr_00ff00 7mo ago
Damn, is anyone an expert that can speak to the criminal law involved here? It’s crazy that executives can jump around the law and not face any criminal charges, then the company picks up the bill (although I’m not ignorant thinking this is
36.
by mr_00ff00 7mo ago
Doesn’t this kinda create a problem though? Like a recession implies economic slowdown, but social wellbeing can decrease while the economy is fine. For example, a plague or severe weather might make the average person have a worse standard
37.
by mr_00ff00 7mo ago
> "Excluding new era investment, the other 89% of real private spending rose by only 1% with no job creation," the strategist wrote. That isn’t what a recession is
38.
by mr_00ff00 7mo ago
We already do this with Congress, and there’s still insider trading
39.
by mr_00ff00 7mo ago
Haha that’s a crazy thing to say to someone. And thank you so much for all the info. Very cool you were PM for the WiFi QR Code that people use every day. I appreciate all the info! That gave me a pretty good idea of what to expect
40.
by mr_00ff00 7mo ago
Thanks for advice, and yeah that makes sense that I’ll have to learn a whole new skill set, but I enjoy learning. When talking about a feature, am I doing basically high level system design? Similar to what a senior engineer does (aka this
41.
by mr_00ff00 7mo ago
Good luck, I’m sure there are roles out there
42.
Ask HN: Moving from Software Engineer to PM or another area?
3 points by mr_00ff00 7mo ago|7 comments
43.
by mr_00ff00 7mo ago
“ If models stopped advancing today, we could still reach effective AGI with years of refining harnesses.” Unless you’re a machine learning engineer with something to share, our current models are not even close to general AGI, and won’t ma
44.
by mr_00ff00 7mo ago
Well right, so like I said, in sports that’s a good thing
45.
by mr_00ff00 7mo ago
Maybe slightly unrelated, Would this not heavily tip off Iran that an attack was coming? Surely that’s easy for Iran to hear about. It seems weird to know the attack was coming and yet their leader still gets killed.
46.
by mr_00ff00 7mo ago
You could argue that certain prediction markets are better than the alternative. Maybe not for this, but take sports betting. People taking sides against each other means the losers and winners are individuals. Meanwhile sports betting is
47.
by mr_00ff00 8mo ago
Curious about any anecdotal evidence about this from people. I have always struggled with languages and have been trying to learn Italian for the past 6 months. Is this 80% listening, 20% active using a good way to do it?
48.
by mr_00ff00 8mo ago
You could argue though Tesla isn’t targeting the average Joe, since they basically still haven’t made a affordable EV that they have mentioned they are working on (I think the new affordable cyber truck is still above the 40k promise, and t
49.
by mr_00ff00 8mo ago
Yet Tesla is trading near its all time high.
50.
by mr_00ff00 8mo ago
This is untrue: https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/reddit-us... https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/facebook-... Reddit has far fewer users in most countries outside
51.
by mr_00ff00 8mo ago
You have to know very little about China to think that it is somehow more favorable to foreigners and minorities than the US. What the US does is bad, but somehow Americans think that means everywhere else is better.
52.
by mr_00ff00 8mo ago
So is Markdown a programming language? Any logic for html, is therefore Markdown as well.
53.
by mr_00ff00 8mo ago
But related to this article, is China winning in terms of accumulating talent? I don’t think people all over Europe/Asia/Africa migrate to China. If they succeed, it’s purely with their own talent. The US still has that advantage
54.
by mr_00ff00 8mo ago
We already ban tobacco ads on tv (in the us) is their freedom of speech violated? I don’t think you need to count companies being able to put any message out there as free speech.
55.
by mr_00ff00 8mo ago
Maybe a bit of an exaggeration, but there was a time when Italy was the world’s Middle East (a collection of divided states where the great powers had their proxy wars) Not a surprise to see Rome have so many based on that.
56.
by mr_00ff00 9mo ago
To some degree there’s something like this happening. The old saying “pics or it didn’t happen” used to mean young people needed to take their phones out for everything. Now any photo can be faked, so the only photos to take are ones that y
57.
by mr_00ff00 9mo ago
Sure much you will end up with more energy consumed. If it’s a free ration, almost everyone will consume all that they are given up to the limit. Under the current system, when energy becomes hard to produce or more people need it, rising
58.
by mr_00ff00 9mo ago
Can you give an example of a better method? The one that I can think of is the government sets the amount of electricity produced, and then it’s rationed. But I doubt the UK would be happy with rationed electricity where your power shuts of
59.
by mr_00ff00 9mo ago
A common agreement I hear is “illegals/criminals shouldn’t get a trial” as if the point of trials isn’t to figure who is and isn’t genuinely those things.
60.
by mr_00ff00 9mo ago
Cloudflare is talking about Italian law and Italian policy and making comments about his actions they will take in Italy with Italian users specifically. “Italian here” as in “I am not a random person with no skin in the game / I live

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