moultano

38 ms·

391.
by moultano 7y ago
The proximate problem in US elections is the spoiler effect, and Approval solves that as effectively as any other system. We won't have to have endless debates about whether Nader voters "would have" voted for Gore. We'l
392.
by moultano 7y ago
Borda count may be the only ranked choice voting system worse than Instant Runoff. The simulations here are more compelling than any mathematical argument I could make. http://zesty.ca/voting/sim/ Approval voting
393.
by moultano 7y ago
The article is about land ice.
394.
by moultano 7y ago
Sea level rise predictions have the most uncertainty of any climate predictions. We can estimate pretty confidently what the equilibrium level of ice will be from a given temperature from the geologic record, but how quickly we get there de
395.
by moultano 7y ago
This is describing cliffs of ice on land, like the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets. The worry this paper is investigating is whether those could rapidly collapse ones the sea ice that protects it calves off.
396.
by moultano 7y ago
I started trying to write out a reply going point by point, but it's just exhausting. When someone is that far from reality it's just too much work to try to pull them back, and they're not going to do any of the work themsel
397.
by moultano 7y ago
Honestly where do you get this stuff? It's like time-cube level of nuttery.
398.
by moultano 7y ago
I was trying to buy a Grimm's Stories book for my kids and it was basically impossible. They had 5 different translations and selections of stories under the same entry.
399.
by moultano 7y ago
The evidence is completely airtight. The problem is with the precision of predictions, not the evidence for the mechanism and rough magnitude.
400.
by moultano 7y ago
Generally, more uncertainty around climate change means you should be more supportive of climate change mitigation rather than less, because it means we can't rule out things that look like the P-T extinction.
401.
by moultano 7y ago
Not trusting them is reasonable, but then where does that leave you? You don't know then whether they're underestimating or overestimating things. I'm strongly in favor of building a prior from the geological record and leani
402.
by moultano 7y ago
Thanks!
403.
by moultano 7y ago
It's paywalled. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S00950... If I had access, I'd try to dig into more depth into how they approached decoupling this from temperature, becaus
404.
by moultano 7y ago
We're gardeners, and the whole earth is our garden. We aren't separate from the environment, it is our garden to manage, and to decide how beautiful or barren we want it to be. Every landscape on earth has been indelibly shaped by
405.
The Case for a High Carbon Tax Now: Mitigating Risk(vox.com)
10 points by moultano 7y ago|0 comments
406.
by moultano 7y ago
While hiring those people might be more expensive, I expect it isn't much. Annotators willing to read a set of guidelines and perform rating tasks long term are generally not cheap. I suspect that for something like twitter, identifyin
407.
by moultano 7y ago
Consider the audience as people who primarily experience this moderation, and have no idea what these sort of things actually cost. For them, the resources of a dominant social media company seem arbitrarily large. (Originally I titled it &
408.
by moultano 7y ago
I do think Reddit is particularly well suited to having good moderation by virtue of its structure, and Twitter is particularly poorly suited. Twitter is all about decontextualizing what people are saying.
409.
Why do companies with unbounded resources still have terrible moderation?(moultano.wordpress.com)
172 points by moultano 7y ago|146 comments
410.
by moultano 7y ago
Virtually every mass extinction in the history of the planet we now think was caused by climate change caused by CO2. The K-T asteroid impact that killed the dinosaurs is the outlier. The worst in history, the P-T extinction that nearly wip
411.
by moultano 7y ago
It might impinge on GDP by 100% by ending human civilization. That 10% figure was the "median" outcome at the time, and increasingly it's looking like a hopelessly optimistic best case scenario.
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Our main enemy now is physics. And we can not make “deals” with physics(independent.co.uk)
1 points by moultano 7y ago|0 comments
413.
by moultano 7y ago
Being able to link and pass around the most interesting sentence (and associated media) as a unit separate from the rest (but keeping the original context attached) makes it much easier for things to spread. How often have you wanted to sha
414.
by moultano 7y ago
The cases where I find it most useful to display data with a rainbow-like color scale are where the data is in log-scale. In that case, I really want to convey the fact that there are enormous differences in the data in every small change o
415.
by moultano 7y ago
>and I can only assume at home too This is the whole thing. Don't assume that. When my kids are at home they're inventing elaborate games to play with eachother. When we're in public somewhere where they don't want to
416.
by moultano 7y ago
"During a meal at a restaurant" is the time parents are most likely to get them out. Don't assume that generalizes to when they're at home and have lots of options of what to do while waiting for dinner. Keeping kids qui
417.
by moultano 7y ago
No they aren't the biggest part of the problem, but the difficulty is that we have to solve the whole thing. Carbon emissions need to get to zero and then go negative. That means ideally we need solutions for every contributor, no matt
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by moultano 7y ago
We can measure methane emissions per farm from space. If there were fines for emissions, it would get fixed quickly. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/meet-the-satellit...
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by moultano 7y ago
No commercial incentive to do so. If we had any effective climate regulation, you'd see these things rapidly put into practice.
420.
by moultano 7y ago
You should read a bit more about it. The changes are so visceral as to be unignorable. https://www.motherjones.com/environment/2019/07/weight-of-th... >She had been taking these sorts of research trips for

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