moultano

27 ms·

301.
by moultano 7y ago
If your only experience of how the media has covered climate change is through posts like the one you linked, then you'll naturally come to that conclusion, but I don't think it has any basis in reality.
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by moultano 7y ago
Why would your beliefs about the "media environment" influence your view of the reports from scientific bodies? The claims of catastrophic consequences are coming straight from the literature. You can't explain those away by
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by moultano 7y ago
A list of cherry picked quotes from a motivated contrarian is not evidence that they "got it so wrong."
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by moultano 7y ago
Sure, David Barber was off by a bit in that particular sentence, but arctic sea ice minima are now half of their historical values, and dropping. It is true, that in complex dynamic systems, predictions have to have wide error bars, but h
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by moultano 7y ago
If you actually look at what those predictions have been, you'll find that they're pretty consistently on the mark. https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-how-well-have-climate-m...
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by moultano 7y ago
How about you look at what they actually predicted? https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-how-well-have-climate-m...
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by moultano 7y ago
This is really cool, but to complete these recipes successfully on schedule you'd have to account for the ambient temperature of your house and adjust accordingly. A rise overnight at 65 degrees is going to take ~twice as long as one d
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by moultano 7y ago
https://nyti.ms/2x2naQu Masks work. Telling the public they didn't need them in order to conserve them for doctors and nurses was a mistake.
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by moultano 7y ago
Along with being young and healthy, the people going out in public to do things should wear gloves and a mask if possible. You might be relatively safe, but you still might take up a hospital bed, and you still might transmit it.
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by moultano 7y ago
Having one of the most stressful events of the last 50 years happening concurrently has to confound things at least a little bit.
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by moultano 7y ago
Every news article on any policy change will include some characterization of what the opposition to it is saying.
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by moultano 7y ago
This is an account from one of the doctors in Italy. https://twitter.com/jasonvanschoor/status/123714289107769753... Read the whole thing, but this passage in particular is just chilling. "5/ Patients ab
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by moultano 7y ago
What does that have to do with the lottery ticket hypothesis?
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by moultano 7y ago
I don't see any connection between what you've written and the lottery ticket hypothesis. Could you elaborate? (In particular, the core of the lottery ticket hypothesis is that layers make the nets combinatorial, and so I don&#x27
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by moultano 7y ago
The medical community is asking us to prepare. You should be changing your behavior to reduce contact with other people, learning the necessary sanitation techniques, and preparing to be self sufficient in your home for a few weeks.
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by moultano 7y ago
> I mean, you can't really say the author can't assess the situation because of a lack of expertise, and then immediately assess the situation with a lack of expertise. This is the assessment of the WHO, not mine. https:/
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by moultano 7y ago
The author is not an epidemiologist, and does not appear to have any other relevant expertise to assess the situation. The people who do have that expertise consistently say that it is very serious. Cases have declined in China only because
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by moultano 7y ago
I would think the main trigger to stop would be once the uncertainty is resolved. If we know it's less deadly than feared, or if we know how big the outbreak is, or if we know how effectively we can control it. If we don't see exp
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by moultano 7y ago
Really frustrated that my employer isn't doing this. I convinced my immediate manager to give everyone approval to WFH, but I cannot fathom why the whole company isn't. I don't know whether it's an issue of priorities, f
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Community Transmission of Covid-19 in Santa Clara County(washingtonpost.com)
16 points by moultano 7y ago|1 comments
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WHO: Promote regular teleworking across your organization(twitter.com)
2 points by moultano 7y ago|0 comments
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by moultano 7y ago
The WHO is now encouraging it. https://twitter.com/WHO/status/1233488277363183617?s=19
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by moultano 7y ago
> so I would simply follow recommendations from experts, and so far my government hasn't emitted any specific restrictions (besides avoiding traveling to China and a few other places). You are in a better position to assess your p
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by moultano 7y ago
For those of you reading this from the bay area, we already have suspected community transmission 50 miles away, in a town with a lot of people who commute to the Bay. If it's easy for you to work from home, consider doing so, giving e
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by moultano 7y ago
This isn't the best article, it appears to be a student activity guide. I was just intending to link to the graphic that has appeared throughout the nytimes' coverage.
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by moultano 7y ago
Yes, the death rates are somewhere around 20x higher, and it is much more transmissable. The nytimes has a great graph showing the range of possible values for death rate and transmissability of the virus as compared to other historical vir
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by moultano 7y ago
Folks, I think it's time for as many bay area workers as possible to WFH. Let's get ahead of this.
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by moultano 7y ago
What gives you the impression that the risk is small?
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by moultano 7y ago
The reason for the reaction is described in my post. We now have community transmission 50 miles away from my office that was undetected for at least 2 weeks. At the moment, nobody knows how many cases there are. The flu is less virulent, l
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by moultano 7y ago
This is the email I sent my team last night. We should consider working from home. You may all have seen the news by now. A patient was just diagnosed with COVID-19 at UC Davis after having no known contact with anyone travelling. Importa

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