mjr00

64 ms·

811.
by mjr00 4y ago
Any expectation that we're going to see mass unemployment, or entire career paths made obsolete, is based on extremely inflated expectations of what LLMs could maybe do in the future. It has a very similar feeling to the mid-2010s cl
812.
by mjr00 4y ago
> The problem is that most of us didn’t do the only X that matters, which is to actually write. [...] Writers who don’t write seems like a niche phenomenon of a narrow and privileged set Nah, I think this is super common across titles th
813.
by mjr00 4y ago
Right, and part of the "value" that Accenture brings is that it knows how to operate in these areas. It will send US-based managers to work with the foreign dev teams to, ahem, ensure productivity on projects where it matters (o
814.
by mjr00 4y ago
Part of the value prop of Accenture is that they employee inexpensive foreign labor. They have 300,000 employees in India alone[0]. If those people are working at $20,000 a year, that's 300,000 * 65,000 = $19.5 billion in yearly profit
815.
by mjr00 4y ago
Except with a startup or a company's stock, you ostensibly care that what the company is building or doing could potentially have value in the future. With the crypto projects over the past few years, it's purely been about whethe
816.
by mjr00 4y ago
> The days of companies being evaluated at their peak purely because they are "tech" is over. Agreed. WeWork being the prime example of something that was evaluated as "tech" despite being anything but.
817.
by mjr00 4y ago
This is good fanfiction, but doesn't really reflect reality. Employees have mostly gone along with RTO/hybrid strategies and there hasn't been a mass exodus where it's happened, especially in this job market. Most people
818.
by mjr00 4y ago
The AI has simply, and correctly, identified that cheating is the best way to win at something.
819.
by mjr00 4y ago
Sexual content on platforms is in such a weird place. It gets tons of views, but you can't have a platform that's only adult content or it scares off advertisers. But if you have a successful platform that has adult content and
820.
by mjr00 4y ago
Yeah, that's a comparison I've been thinking about. C lowered the skill floor, and then Java/Python lowered it even more dramatically, plus the explosion of open source tooling, cloud infrastructure, and general hardware impr
821.
by mjr00 4y ago
There's also a gigantic difference between spending 10+ years learning to play the drums and recording my playing at a recording studio, and dragging in a drum loop from Splice. Listeners don't seem to care either way.
822.
by mjr00 4y ago
> Your DAW example would work if DAWs could generate samples, beats, and whole songs by the click of a button. But are you truly the author, then? They absolutely can, at least with 15-20 clicks rather than 1 at the moment. Drag in drum
823.
by mjr00 4y ago
Exactly, it's a tool. The skill floor, as in the minimum amount of skill to produce something passable, has been lowered -- dramatically lowered -- but the skill ceiling is now higher than ever as a result. It's similar to music
824.
by mjr00 4y ago
While I do think GPT will be quite useful, it's revisionist history to say that people weren't talking about crypto or Blockchain being transformative during the peak of the hype cycle. Plenty of people talking about how blockchai
825.
by mjr00 4y ago
> There is no financial incentive to replace paid artists. There is an enormous financial incentive to reduce software development headcount. Older folks will remember when the solution to this was to outsource development to low-cost re
826.
by mjr00 4y ago
> It absolutely has happened. Could you list some examples of companies that have laid off their art departments to use DALL-E/SD/etc?
827.
by mjr00 4y ago
Progress can come to a screeching halt at any point. We saw this with self-driving cars previously: the AI true believers were certain self-driving would be everywhere within 5 years... in 2015. Now the idea of a self-driving car has mostly
828.
by mjr00 4y ago
I don't really know what you're getting at. My point is that DALL-E/Stable Diffusion hasn't cut into the market for actual paid artists. Like, at all. Unlike what the doomsayers predicted. Software developers should fe
829.
by mjr00 4y ago
I remember it being vastly overhyped about how artists were now obsolete, but it really hasn't happened. People have quickly became very attuned to the "AI art style"--humans are excellent at pattern recognition, after all--a
830.
by mjr00 4y ago
Aren't you just describing a business? Maybe even a startup specifically, with a CTO who's great at building things and a CEO who's great at selling them? I don't really see how that's stealing each other's liv
831.
by mjr00 4y ago
Artists have been poor forever. There's a reason the expression is "starving artist" and not "well-fed artist." It's also easier than ever now for an independent artist to make money. Patreon, Fanbox, Skeb have
832.
by mjr00 4y ago
Assuming that you are correct that things are breaking more at Twitter (which I'm not sure is accurate to begin with), how do you know that is due to "lack of engineering talent" and not due to higher pressure to deliver feat
833.
by mjr00 4y ago
> There's definitely a correlation. Where is the evidence of this?
834.
by mjr00 4y ago
> a walkable neighborhood (which you likely need when you retire) Really don't agree with this -- retiree doesn't mean "decrepit". You're still very capable of driving. My own parents recently retired to a rural
835.
by mjr00 4y ago
You can never know the true impact because people will spin the narrative to say what they want. This hour-long outage occurred because Twitter laid off their engineers. Meanwhile, AWS had a major outage that lasted over half a day and took
836.
by mjr00 4y ago
Many (most?) retirement plans involve downsizing from the large home in a (sub)urban area where they raised children and worked for most of their life to a lower-cost area in a lower-cost house. If my SFH is worth $1,000,000 and my retireme
837.
by mjr00 4y ago
> While the rich are more likely to own homes, tons of middle class and poor people also bought homes and planned their lives under the assumption that housing prices would go up. Tanking housing prices would destroy their trust in the s
838.
by mjr00 4y ago
You don't need "cloud certified" people. The junior devs I work with can make a highly available database with automated and fully tested backups, with point-in-time-restore functionality, by clicking a few buttons in the RDS
839.
by mjr00 4y ago
It definitely costs more, but "huge" is debatable. For the typical SaaS webapp product, the cost of running everything as cloud services is negligible compared to the cost of salaries of people who maintain it. If you're a so
840.
by mjr00 4y ago
I don't know if it was "shot themselves in the foot" so much as "the unsustainable thing they were doing to prevent potential competition finally broke." FAANG's talent acquisition strategy has always been as m

More ›