missedthecue

10 ms·

61.
by missedthecue 2mo ago
Betting on economic growth exceeding the piling up of debt is something most governments around the world have been doing for about 40 years straight now.
62.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
because you can't fill the buses! 1. Cul-de-sacs and surburbia lack through-streets. So it forces heavy long buses to navigate winding narrow loops. This makes your routing complex and slow. 2. When commuters travel suburb-to-suburb in
63.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
Given China's enormous land borders and the surrounding seas they share with south east asian neighbors, it's quite difficult to impose a blockade. Observers have been shocked about China's oil resilience during this whole Ho
64.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
From a municipal finance perspective, most Dallas-Fort Worth suburban municipalities are far and away outperforming urban Dallas (the City of Dallas proper). That's not opinion, you can see the finances as they are all public. Ask the
65.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
the simple fact of the matter is the Waymo is a better public transport solution for Dallas than the bus. The bus doesn't work very well in endless cul-de-sac suburbia, and that's what the Dallas/Fort Worth area (and indeed m
66.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
Invert the question. Why do other countries pay half as much? Because they can't afford to pay more.
67.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
Yes I know. That sounds about what it should be. Maybe less actually.
68.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
I think the most correct and probably most discouraging answer is that American healthcare costs about what it should.
69.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
Unfortunately, they are instead spending lots of money on procuring surface fleet for their navy. They just recently announced 10 more frigates.
70.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
How hard would it be for China to make sure no ships or airplanes arrive to Taiwan for a few weeks? The island has only days worth of food and energy. No bloody D-Day landings needed to force a political capitulation. To continue to borrow
71.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
My point wasn't that I am a hunter gatherer, it's that I didn't have a vested financial motivation to cheer for or be against AI
72.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
You're not breaking anything to me. I deliberately phrased it as "directly immune" because I have no financial stake in AI-related companies. Obviously a debt-bomb of any type imploding reverberates across the economy.
73.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
As a bystander directly immune to the fortunes of AI going up or down, it does feel like there are a lot more people thinking this is inning 9 of the LLM story than there are people thinking it's inning 3. Which makes it tempting to
74.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
The television in my living room is cheaper than the one I had in 2005, and the insane part is that it was cheaper to buy before you even bother adjusting for inflation. I owned a Zenith 42" in 2005 I had purchased for $1400. The Samsu
75.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
Doesn't seem insane. OpenAI made Luna more efficient and dropped prices 80% this week.
76.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
The payback time for a GPU running 24/7 inference is ridiculously short though. As little as 6 months according to some calculations. Most of that 5 year lifespan it will be earning well in excess of its replacement cost.
77.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
OpenAI giving him a fancy schmancy title to advocate for their product, such as in the way he is inadvertantly doing here.
78.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
Fewer GPUs and much smaller teams.
79.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
It will be the first generation with widespread space travel. My children will have consumer access to a view that no one had seen until 1961 and only government employees had seen since.
80.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
I don't have an employer. But most of the excuses I used to tell myself are simply not believable anymore and that causes pressure leading to overworking myself.
81.
by missedthecue 3mo ago
In general I agree, but I found last week it was able to solve some obscure Android bugs for me that both 5.5 and Opus whiffed on.
82.
by missedthecue 4mo ago
The idea of Amazon astroturfing an HN thread to get more retail customers.
83.
by missedthecue 4mo ago
In Japan, inflation adjusted wages are down 2% over the last 20 years. In the same time frame in the US, they're up 20% and even for the bottom quartile, earnings are up 15%.
84.
by missedthecue 4mo ago
Increases in labor productivity is a curious thing to think about. Do I deserve more wages for using AutoCad instead of drafting paper? - The amount I'm working hasn't increased. Still an 8 hour day. - My job honestly is easier th
85.
by missedthecue 4mo ago
Humanoid robots barely progressed between 2000-2020. There have obviously been incremental improvements in things like dexterity, vision, self-balancing, and locomotion, but in terms of having a useful humanoid robot, Honda's ASIMO rel
86.
by missedthecue 4mo ago
I agree this will slow US development but what does "win the AI race" mean? What's the finish line? If there was a finish line, say a model that met some definition of general intelligence, wouldn't other labs eventually
87.
by missedthecue 4mo ago
The cleanest positive study is Cui et al., because it used randomized rollout in real companies. Developers at Microsoft, Accenture, and a Fortune 100 electronics manufacturer were randomly given access to an AI coding assistant. Pooled acr
88.
by missedthecue 4mo ago
This conversation always gets lost in the weeds. You don't need a SOTA model to replace an entire engineer role from the time he gets into the office until he leaves. If you have a team of 10 and make them all a little faster, you can
89.
by missedthecue 4mo ago
Tailspin? Last quarter was their best quarter ever in terms of topline, and they cleared over $4B in profit.
90.
by missedthecue 4mo ago
The carlyle group is a publicly traded company that mainly invests pension funds.

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