mgh95

11 ms·

121.
by mgh95 1y ago
Why not the US? Anecdotally, I'm beginning to see the US market pick up again and a TN visa should see you employed pretty quickly.
122.
by mgh95 1y ago
No, the economics are horrible. At current 30Y T-bond rates, your money doubles ever ~15 years. Your money grows faster in USD treasuries then OpenAI. That's disastrous.
123.
by mgh95 1y ago
Nobody expected the total computations from social media they expect from LLM services. And that's the point: users are irrelevant, even large enterprises with advantageous cost structures can die with poor management.
124.
by mgh95 1y ago
I don't think you realize the issue. They aren't monetizing their SaaS product satisfactorily -- hence the Amazon cash flow imbalance statement. This indicates they must find new markets to survive. Despite this, however, they are
125.
by mgh95 1y ago
In 2024 (when customer mix was more favorable) they lost 5B on 10 in forward looking ARR. They aren't pulling an Amazon snd balancing cash flow with costs. They're just incinerating money for a low value userbase. Even at FB arpu
126.
by mgh95 1y ago
Yeah but the problem then becomes you are in a knife fight with google. Welcome to margin compression on already thin margins and high capex. Its not a like they buy commodity hardware that is cheap, or have the depth of talent like Google
127.
by mgh95 1y ago
And friendster at one point had over 100m users. A gross margin (and more importantly, positive cash flow) business is more important than users. This data is not a good indicator of either.
128.
by mgh95 1y ago
I don't see how friction is the primary driver here. ChatGPT is available through the most enterprise sales channel available -- Azure. The Microsoft enterprise sales engine is probably the best in the world. Similarly, if costs double
129.
by mgh95 1y ago
When Apple sells a device, they get more revenue with minimal coats turbocharging revenue and profits. When OpenAI sells a ChatGPT subscription, they incur large costs just to serve the product, shrinking margins. Big difference in unit eco
130.
by mgh95 1y ago
The chats alone are backbreakingly costly relative to the market mix of ChatGPT. Rest of the market be damned -- combined with the poor customer mix (low to middle income countries) this explains why there has been such a push by the big la
131.
by mgh95 1y ago
Perhaps most telling in this entire report is Table 1. It shows that the non-work has grown 8x in 1 year, whereas work has only ~3.4x. Considering that non-work related usage of ChatGPT now makes up 73% of the requests, ChatGPT is very much
132.
by mgh95 1y ago
With respect, I think you ignored the point I'm making for the sake of pushing an agenda. Suicides are deaths of despair. Whether someone ultimately kills themselves with a firearm or a needle is secondary to the policy goal: to attemp
133.
by mgh95 1y ago
I do but why is the argument you presented is about how guns are the cause of the deaths. The deaths of despair occur with or without firearms. The focus on the firearms par of "firearm suicides" does not reduce suicides.
134.
by mgh95 1y ago
Yes but addressing it as far as "can go to rehab" misses the point: deaths from chronic fatty liver and its complications or lung cancer are dramatically elevated in these countries. It is quite literally "too late". The
135.
by mgh95 1y ago
> Sure. But one of those reasons is "I feel very bad and I have access to a gun". This is perhaps one of the worst ways of looking at it. People kill themselves slowly by many means, including alcoholism, smoking, risky activit
136.
by mgh95 1y ago
> Maybe you should have brought that up earlier instead of acting smug and burying the lede? It's also pretty telling that you didn't elaborate this further and kept your comment short. I thought people were generally competent
137.
by mgh95 1y ago
> Because if part of my tests involve calling an OpenAI endpoint, I don't want to pay .01 cent every time I run my tests. This is a good time to think to yourself: do I need these dependencies? Can I replace them with something th
138.
by mgh95 1y ago
You should look up intellitest and reshaper test generator. Products exist for this.
139.
by mgh95 1y ago
In this context, why not refactor (and have your LLM of choice) write and optimize the integration tests for you? If the crux of the argument for LLMs is that it is capable of producing sufficient quality software and dramatically reduced
140.
by mgh95 1y ago
> I do like integration tests, but I often tell people the art of modern software is to make reliable systems on top of unreliable components. There is a dramatic difference between unreliable in the sense of S3 or other services and unr
141.
by mgh95 1y ago
Why mock at all? Spend the time making integration tests fast. There is little reason a database, queue, etc. can't be set up in a per-test group basis and be made fast. Reliable software is built upon (mostly) reliable foundations.
142.
by mgh95 1y ago
We are talking about basic computing for CRUD apps. When you start needing to rely upon "sorta-ish" to describe the efficacy or a tool for such a straightforward and deterministic use case, it may be an indicator you need to rethi
143.
by mgh95 1y ago
I think the parent commentors point was that it is nearly trivial to generate variations on unit tests in most (if not all) unit test frameworks. For example: Java: https://docs.parasoft.com/display/JTEST20232/Crea
144.
by mgh95 1y ago
> It's quite possible that any one new AI tool is wrong, but it is unlikely all of them are. A great historical analogies are the adoption of PCs in the 80s and the adoption of the internet/web in the 90s. Not everything we tri
145.
by mgh95 1y ago
> If the latter, assuming the cost of fine-tuning is a fraction of the cost of training from scratch, the low cost of inference does indeed make a bullish case for these companies. On the other hand, this may also turn into cost effectiv
146.
by mgh95 1y ago
I have met people hired under the O1-A and they fit the bill pretty neatly. Think R1 profs publishing in Nature/Science/domain equivalents. If you have exceptional talent, you can 100% get in. I think the issue is expecting a mast
147.
by mgh95 1y ago
A "world-leading PhD in a critical field" should come under an O1-A visa (see: https://www.uscis.gov/working-in-the-united-states/temporary... ): "O-1A: Individuals with an extraordinary ability in the sc
148.
by mgh95 1y ago
Ah. For what its worth, the only windows machine I have is used pretty much only to run steam. I can't really comment on c# on windows.
149.
by mgh95 1y ago
> `DateTime` is not an ISO-8601 type. It can _parse_ an ISO-8601 formatted string. This is exactly the point: a string is just a data interchange format in the context of a DateTime, and C# provides (as far as I can tell) a complete way
150.
by mgh95 1y ago
> What language actually allows a type definition for "ISO-8601 timestamp" that's complete? It is absolutely possible to do this, and to generate client code which complies with ISO-8601 in JS/TS. Large amounts of fin

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