mgfist

5 ms·

31.
by mgfist 4mo ago
Yes but you can't get away from a 5 year timeline, and then you have to project how many other fabs will be opening
32.
by mgfist 4mo ago
A fab for high end memory costs $20B and 5 years to build. It will happen, but yeah it takes time and money
33.
by mgfist 4mo ago
> Coding is a pretty small slice of the markets in play. I don't think that's true, mostly in that a lot of usecases are solved via coding models + a harness. > Google's models are driving cars right now. Yes + other mo
34.
by mgfist 4mo ago
> A human being who states X (implying they know it to be true) will behave in a way that is consistent with X being true. That is literally not true and why we talk about "stated vs revealed preference" and such.
35.
by mgfist 4mo ago
Those are 2 different things so yeah I naturally would have a different reaction.
36.
by mgfist 4mo ago
This makes no sense. Google is beholden to its own shareholders, not the markets at large. In any case, it's well known that devs in Google have liked anthropic/openai models for coding more than gemini, so unless they're hid
37.
by mgfist 4mo ago
Whatever LLMs are or are not, they've completely changed what I do for work. 9 months ago I was coding, today I prompt. Every line of code I commit is generated by LLMs. If you want to call it text search, be my guest. Doesn't cha
38.
by mgfist 4mo ago
In what way? I didn't attack his character like he did to the blog author.
39.
by mgfist 4mo ago
As a recent interviewee, I much more prefer work samples. Less stressful, more in my control and less bound to whether I got lucky and clicked with the problem in a live interview. It's also just much more akin to what work is like, an
40.
by mgfist 4mo ago
We must've read 2 different posts. And even if you're interpretation is correct, you sound pretty rude. You're really gonna mock someone for not liking the interview process and trying to make it better?
41.
by mgfist 4mo ago
I started a new job recently after 9 months off. Last Sept I was coding almost entirely by hand, using AI for q/a, debugging and such. In my new job I haven't written a single line by hand. I now almost entirely work in claude cod
42.
by mgfist 4mo ago
Pretty unfathomable growth. I'm pretty sure I listened to Dario saying something along the lines of keeping Anthropic on track for 10x ARR growth (in December) and thinking that that was a bonkers idea for a $9B run-rate company, and n
43.
by mgfist 4mo ago
> the unfortunate reality is that the ideological complex of capital (even if weakening, and no longer effectively reproducing itself) is still strong enough that most in the West can't even imagine a better world (other than "
44.
by mgfist 4mo ago
And we all celebrate it since we can't do any work
45.
by mgfist 4mo ago
Obsidian has a number of full time employees who all want to eat and afford rent
46.
by mgfist 4mo ago
I like it
47.
by mgfist 5mo ago
> If nuclear became #1 power source and instead of 25 year cadence we had IAEA scale 7 events every 1.5 years, would you still argue it's a net win? Events like Fukushima would be worthwhile tradeoffs. Events like Chernobyl would no
48.
by mgfist 5mo ago
Bhopal helps my argument. The consequences of that were far worse than Chernobyl and yet I’d bet for every 1,000 people who have heard of Chernobyl only one or two would know about Bhopal.
49.
by mgfist 5mo ago
Those numbers are still in the single digit thousands. Meanwhile how many deaths have been caused by fossil fuel emissions (both carbon, and local, and radiation). Very very hard to predict, but you see estimates going up to the many millio
50.
by mgfist 5mo ago
60 deaths attributed to Chernobyl. 1 death attributed to Fukushima. 0 deaths attributed to Three Mile Island. Meanwhile, deaths in the fossil fuel industry total hundreds to thousands every year. Now before you say "but wait, I've
51.
by mgfist 5mo ago
> Trump is driven by vanity and greed. Yes I fully agree > Because of vanity and greed he will do whatever he can to win the midterms I don't see how vanity and greed relate to the midterms. Trump is into insider trading and maki
52.
by mgfist 5mo ago
Javelins have nothing to do with Ukrainian success. No single kit does. By and large their success is due to courage and local innovation.
53.
by mgfist 5mo ago
> I distrust techno-optimist promises to manage ever-growing collections of spent nuclear fuel over millennia. We can hardly trust plant operators to manage it safely over decades. Nuclear power plants have been extremely safe for many d
54.
by mgfist 5mo ago
Coal power produces more radiation waste into the environment than nuclear power. That's because nuclear power has this amazing quality where all the waste is neatly packaged whereas burning coal just releases it into the air. > req
55.
by mgfist 5mo ago
Well the Iran war's been going on for nigh 2 months now. By and large the long term ramifications set in around 2 weeks after the start, and everyone was very vocal that this would happen. A president who cared about the midterms and t
56.
by mgfist 5mo ago
And despite all that Ukraine is holding and even accelerating the attrition of Russian soldiers and is destroying vast Russian oil infrastructure. Interesting for someone you think won the cold war!
57.
by mgfist 5mo ago
> If some very hostile country bombed the US, is your default assumption that the folks who despise Trump would somehow support the bombing? You're missing some very important context, which is that the IRGC slaughtered between 6,00
58.
by mgfist 5mo ago
Fair. Still though, the rhetoric does not match what's happened on the ground.
59.
by mgfist 5mo ago
> Besides inflation, American has other problems like running out of missiles and bombs. This war is about attrition, and American weapons are being attrited faster than Iranian ones. The US doesn't need to fire more missiles, it ju
60.
by mgfist 5mo ago
The puppet couldn't even get Ukraine to surrender so idk how effective that's been

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