mbesto

9 ms·

151.
by mbesto 8mo ago
Honestly, the costs are so minimal and vary wildly relative to the cost of a developer that it's frankly not worth the discussion...yet. The reality is the standard deviation of cost is going to oscillate until there is a common agreed
152.
by mbesto 8mo ago
This is my point...
153.
by mbesto 8mo ago
This is exactly the type of thing that AI code writers don't do well - understand the prioritization of feature development. Some developers say 3-4 seconds are important to them, others don't. Who decides what the truth is? A hum
154.
by mbesto 8mo ago
> I know of at least one public company with a real hunger for exactly this eventuality. Hunger or actually putting real investment against it? I'll wait.
155.
by mbesto 8mo ago
Cmd+F - "Overfitting"...nothing. Nope, no mention of how they do anything to alleviate overfitting. These benchmarks are getting tiresome.
156.
by mbesto 8mo ago
1. This isn't rooted in data but anecdotes "One Series E CEO told me that they’re re-evaluating the quarterly renewal of their engineering productivity software because they along with an engineer reimplemented something using Git
157.
by mbesto 8mo ago
> we want recent examples just look at tailwindui since it's technically a SaaS. This is a terrible example. Show me someone ripping out their SAP ERP or SalesForce CRM system where they're paying $100k+ for a vibe coded altern
158.
by mbesto 8mo ago
They sure are right to criticize but not by this specific evidence: "text is dominating the market share right now and Grok is the #2 model for that in arena rankings"
159.
by mbesto 8mo ago
That's the parent's point...
160.
by mbesto 8mo ago
Everything that are daily burdens and require an assistant are also the things that require the most secure way to access them. OpenClaw sounds amazing on paper but super risky in practice.
161.
by mbesto 8mo ago
Does an autonomous car drive the car from point A to point B or does the person who puts in the destination address drive the car?
162.
by mbesto 8mo ago
> Openai and Anthropic have 40-60% gross margins. Stop this trope please. We (1) don't really know what their margins are and (2) because of the hard tie-in to GPU costs/maintenance we don't know (yet) what the useful life
163.
by mbesto 8mo ago
Arena rankings, lol. Openrouter is a decent proxy for real world use and Grok is currently 8% of the market: https://openrouter.ai/rankings (and is less than 7% of TypeScript programming)
164.
by mbesto 8mo ago
I think this tweet sums it correctly doesn't? A +6 jump on a 0.6B model is actually more impressive than a +2 jump on a 100B model. It proves that 'intelligence' isn't just parameter count; it is context relevance.
165.
by mbesto 8mo ago
> Also your opinion on how markets work is naive and unscientific. You sure about that? https://academic.oup.com/rfs/article-abstract/21/1/19/157439...
166.
by mbesto 9mo ago
> simply that most bets are made intelligently with serious intent. That is NOT what you said. You said this: > Why would they all put money into this if it is so obvious to all of you that it is not going to work? In other words: &qu
167.
by mbesto 9mo ago
No but you're claiming "if they all are investing X amount then these bets obviously must pan out". If you follow that rationale then it means that all bets that these company's make in the same space must all pan out. S
168.
by mbesto 9mo ago
Kodak made a crypto coin. Where did that end up?
169.
by mbesto 9mo ago
There's also categorically a WAY easier way to implement this - which is to criminalize and enforce businesses who employ illegal immigrants.
170.
by mbesto 9mo ago
Because they aren't saying that. They're saying "this is a very thoughtful way to approach orchestration for using AI coding agents". This experiment is profound not because it works or because its THE end game, but rath
171.
by mbesto 9mo ago
> high quality code What does high quality code look like? > The code still matters. How so?
172.
by mbesto 9mo ago
do you have evidence that all vibe coded solutions dont work? Because thats what you're implying.
173.
by mbesto 9mo ago
Not saying it's right, but boy do I have stories about the code used in <insert any medical profession> healthcare applications. Not sure how "vibecoded" programming lines of code is any worse.
174.
by mbesto 9mo ago
What you're getting at is basically the difference between probabilistic models vs deterministic ones.
175.
by mbesto 9mo ago
If this is all true (I don't disagree) than what is or should be the backbone of democratic life?
176.
by mbesto 9mo ago
Source?
177.
by mbesto 9mo ago
Some of these still exist, I don't get it? What dictates when a company is "dead"? Insolvency? Bankruptcy? For example - Domo is still publicly traded and does $300M in revenue: https://www.cnbc.com/quotes&#x2
178.
by mbesto 9mo ago
Not saying your wrong. A few things to consider: (1) We simply don't know what the useful life is going to be because of how new the advancements of AI focused GPUs used for training and inference. (2) Warranties and service. Most ente
179.
by mbesto 9mo ago
Nothing. A month isn't enough to get valid feedback.
180.
by mbesto 9mo ago
I would argue the EXACT opposite. His analysis is very constructive. The people you should be skeptical of are the random Xitter handles who post about a robotic phlebotomists and say "THE FUTUE IS ALREADY HERE".

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