matthewdgreen

10 ms·

31.
by matthewdgreen 2mo ago
Some of this overhead is nonsense. A lot of it is training and fellowships. Some of it exists because the government has strong regulations to prevent self-dealing and fraud. I certainly think some of those regulations could be relaxed, but
32.
by matthewdgreen 2mo ago
What I think should happen is that these schools should increase their class sizes to match demand, rather than keeping them artificially low in order to game acceptance criteria. I think it’s a systematic societal failure that we’ve create
33.
by matthewdgreen 2mo ago
The Ivy League (and top-tier) situation is out of control, and genuinely raises questions about whether institutions like this should exist.
34.
by matthewdgreen 2mo ago
Author of the blog post here: just for the record, I did try replaying against other models. I replayed from GPT 5.5 to 5.5-mini. It "worked" (replay not rejected) but mini didn't hand me the plaintext of the reasoning. I&#x2
35.
by matthewdgreen 2mo ago
They started stockpiling in 2024. The estimate is that they had 1.4 billion barrels by the time the Iran war started, and they're down to 1.2 billion now. (Nobody knows for sure, though.) Meanwhile the US has 304 million barrels left i
36.
by matthewdgreen 2mo ago
Oil producer != oil power. What matters is the ability for a government to routinely influence prices. The US government could, in theory, ban all exports or manually dictate production but we tend not to do that (yet). Our main government
37.
by matthewdgreen 2mo ago
And we’re assuming the reasons given were the real ones. There’s always the possibility of straightforward corruption.
38.
by matthewdgreen 2mo ago
I own a 2018 Model 3 and I love it. Plus it's in good shape with limited maintenance. I'm looking to trade it in. But honestly, I don't want to buy effectively the same car but slightly worse, with no turn signals (the recent
39.
by matthewdgreen 2mo ago
"we will provide up to two weeks’ worth of tokens to facilitate your continued operation during the job search. We also partnered with ThriveFlow to furnish, as an option, a collection of expertly-crafted grief counseling prompts"
40.
by matthewdgreen 2mo ago
I don't know what a vibe coder is to you, but I expect there are dozens of experienced software developers on HN who are willing to throw a month of work over the course of a year (and a few hundred dollars of Codex and Claude Code sub
41.
by matthewdgreen 2mo ago
I’ve spent the last three days writing an inventory management system for a small store, using Codex and Claude Code. I realize that fully replacing online tools like Shopify is a lot more work than that (the payment integrations particular
42.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
With desalinization, in most places that is the case.
43.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
The graveyards are full of blockchain companies who said something similar.
44.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
They can't do this at the same margins. Cloud compute traditionally has <= 30% margins, and that's the very generous profit margin that folks like AWS are able to squeeze out of it with lock-in and proprietary tooling (somethin
45.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
I love "vibes in a trenchcoat" and I don't care if it makes me sound like an LLM.
46.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
Subagents are a godsend. Frontier models for initial planning and spec writing, cheaper models for implementing from the spec, frontier models for review. Frontier models to help with research. The availability of cheaper models is great, s
47.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
A lot of this is downstream of compensation schemes that explicitly reward dumb metrics, like raw paper-count without subjective evaluation of contribution or quality. I don't want to generalize, but this seems to be more common in cou
48.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
It's a little more complicated than that. If all you're interested in disovery, you can wander off into rabbit holes or disappear into areas that are only interesting to you. Publishability is useful because it gives you useful ex
49.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
Wouldn't be bad if the product hadn't been paid for in advance. If it can't be delivered in working form for this car, that's not the end of the world. Tesla can just refund the undelivered product, with interest.
50.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
I paid for a car that drives itself in 2018 and I haven’t received it. Any updates?
51.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
I know a number of people who have gone down this route, including Senators. For example, here's Senator Wyden's proposal to add $5 billion in mandatory funding to investigate and target sexual abusers [1]. The problem with these
52.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
As a related note: The only way a consumer can get ZDR protections for Claude or OpenAI is to use Amazon Bedrock. But as you say, doesn't work for Fable. I think it even requires approval for anything past Opus 4.6.
53.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
We don't need top-end frontier models to write simple applications. Opus works very well for that and it's cheaper. We need them to write things that are at the frontier.
54.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
I'm working on cryptography, all from academic research papers. Started well, but it eventually got some word into its context that is on the banlist. I found that if you tell it to fire off clean Fable subagents and you instruct it
55.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
We improve it by ensuring the same people don't dominate the justice system and that prosecutions still happen whenever they don't. It was Biden's and his AG's job to do something about this and he fumbled.
56.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
What specs do you require for long-distance train electrification vs. the specs you need for electrical delivery to the grid?
57.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
Even Star Trek admits that there are horrible events that lie between our world and the utopia.
58.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
I didn't understand what these satellites were really like until I visited Zion National Park two weeks ago. Zion is an International Dark Sky park, and so I was really looking forward to seeing the stars. Instead we sat outside and wa
59.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
There's a lot of stuff in this post I agree with. There's also a lot of stuff that hints that the author doesn't believe in the worst case they name: that there might be a classical cryptanalytic attack on ML-KEM that occurs
60.
by matthewdgreen 3mo ago
Sure, I already did explain it. They explicitly said that "not under the jurisdiction" would cover children belonging to Indian tribes, the children of ambassadors, and they discussed the need to be able to expel occupying armies.

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