marvin

6 ms·

31.
by marvin 3y ago
The relevant state of the art here, is the state of "what can an 8-year old kid who just learned how to type" create videos of. That was even worse 12 months ago!
32.
by marvin 3y ago
Involuntary ageing is the very worst tragedy of human life. Funny that this kind of ideological conflict will likely be a key fulcrum of the machine intelligence revolution. We will have a very loud minority that attempts to forcefully prev
33.
by marvin 3y ago
It's a good shoo-in for becoming a freelance consultant charging a percentage of annual savings rather than hourly time billed.
34.
by marvin 3y ago
We kinda do; Amazon puts upwards pressure on US engineering salaries.
35.
by marvin 3y ago
This isn’t complicated. Economic growth means cheaper access to things people want. Imagine a list of things many people wish to happen in physical reality. We’ll have more of that. -Better healthcare -Curing most things that destroy qualit
36.
by marvin 3y ago
If any Norwegians are reading, which are shipping nerds by virtue of geography, speculating in this market is essentially why John Fredriksen, the Warren Buffett of shipping, is rich. Shifts in ship availability causes waves of bankruptcy,
37.
by marvin 3y ago
What a trade. Sacrificed the next qualitative shift in economic growth after the industrial revolution, and in return was able to force the switch of the Lightning port in one type of phone for USB-C.
38.
by marvin 3y ago
It's obviously a hypothesis, stitched together from extremely incomplete data. I've said from day one that I'm looking forward to read about this in the history books in 20 years. Maybe Altman's eventual bio will contain
39.
by marvin 3y ago
A majority of the OpenAI board members were heavily sympathetic to the AI doomsday cult mostly known through MIRI. A novel discovery spooked them, made them believe that The End Is Near, and that continuing on the path led by Altman would l
40.
by marvin 3y ago
General intelligence builds tools as required, maybe having a whole bunch of them built-in already. Maybe the ones that are most frequently useful. Maybe a more general intelligence can build more of these tools into itself as required. Int
41.
by marvin 3y ago
It’s the place where both the audience and all the interesting authors are.
42.
by marvin 3y ago
Your company should definitely have had a production-identical staging environment if an hour of downtime means millions lost :D That development would be an obvious investment that pays for itself. I’m in banking, and terrified of making
43.
by marvin 3y ago
Nuclear weapons and climate change are not on a path to destroy civilization. Such an interpretation is obvious hyperbole.
44.
by marvin 3y ago
When Yudkowsky says that it’s an acceptable outcome to be left with a minimum viable breeding population after a nuclear war, triggered by enforcement of AI slowdown demands, that is as far from non-violent you could get without someone act
45.
by marvin 3y ago
Yudkowsky’s doomsday cult almost blew OpenAI to pieces and sent everyone who knows the details in the wind like dandelion seeds. What’s next? A datacenter bombing or killing key researchers? We should be happy that this particular attempt
46.
by marvin 3y ago
Altman risking his role as CEO of the new industrial revolution for a book deal is implausible.
47.
by marvin 3y ago
CEO of the first company to own the «machine that’s better than all humans at most economically valuable work» is far rarer than getting rich.
48.
by marvin 3y ago
«Free» as in freedom of the traditional, Scandinavian unity model that was pretty much the only option when the term was invented. To receive this privilege, you need to associate with a religious movement or alternative teaching style. I c
49.
by marvin 3y ago
Humans are likely far less intelligent/capable than systems that will soon be practically feasible to engineer, and we will lose to a generally superhuman AI that has sufficiently different objectives than we do. So an accident with a
50.
by marvin 3y ago
Depends if you’re already rich enough that you don’t care about the outcome, however rich that is. OpenAI is aiming far higher than 800 billion, and with no public offering, there’s no other way to be part of it.
51.
by marvin 3y ago
Well, maybe they had that capability all along, hmm. I guess you trusted that they didn't?
52.
by marvin 3y ago
You’d lose your security clearance over legally putting a marijuana cigarette in your mouth and demonstratively not inhaling, in the context of an interview made for entertainment purposes?
53.
by marvin 3y ago
fheroes2 was great for getting me unstuck on a self-imposed exercise of reverse-engineering the Heroes2 binary data format some years ago :)
54.
by marvin 3y ago
I haven't done the numbers, but there's also Russia's invasion of Ukraine to consider, and the shift from natural gas to coal triggered by that. Germany's shutdown of their nuclear generating capacity, and their dependen
55.
by marvin 3y ago
This wasn't obvious to me just looking at the problem from a distance, but thankfully testing reduces the level of skill required to get something right :)
56.
by marvin 3y ago
Purchase synthetic bio-oil CO2 sequestration from Charm Industrial at $600/metric ton. They already have this in production, and sequester CO2 in the form of shitty biodiesel in spent oil wells. You can go net zero immediately and lite
57.
by marvin 3y ago
Well, you could mandate that women aren't allowed to use particular types of beauty products to compete for more desirable partners, and hope that the follow-on effects of that lead to lower straw usage. But then you're totalitari
58.
by marvin 3y ago
This has also been clear to dedicated observers since 2017 or so, albeit with significant unresolved risk. The market finally priced it in around 2019-2020.
59.
by marvin 3y ago
You certainly learn to pay attention to the aerodynamics. Lots and lots and lots of high-bank turns. Many of them relatively low and close to stalling speed. Some occasionally below stalling speed, if you're high enough to safely reduc
60.
by marvin 3y ago
The evolutionary history from «able to make complex useful stuff» to «overflowing wealth» was probably too short.

More ›