marvin

49 ms·

541.
by marvin 5y ago
Higher likelihood of preventing serious illness, including from variants. Fewer reports of serious side effects, especially side effects that preclude vaccination from an ethics perspective in certain age cohorts and regions.
542.
by marvin 6y ago
I'm not 100% certain, their suppliers could concievably have been affected by the same problems everyone else has. But my impression from following Tesla's quarterly reports before and during the pandemic is distinctly that they j
543.
by marvin 6y ago
That's an entertining soundbite, but other health complications nonwithstanding, the risk of dying from Covid for a healthy 25-year old is approximately 1:500,000. It's an individual decision, and although there are many factors b
544.
by marvin 6y ago
You should be wary of concluding stupidity when the French population are skeptical towards government statements. It's a completely different culture to the one you're likely used to. The French frequently have legitimate distrus
545.
by marvin 6y ago
Well, now you know why Denmark and Norway suspended AZ vaccinations for everyone, and many European countries stopped them for everyone younger than 65. It wasn’t because their governments are antivaxxers.
546.
by marvin 6y ago
Isn't there a telltale sign with miniature bruises/bleedings in the skin? I think the doctors involved in the study made a list. I'm assuming you've looked at it?
547.
by marvin 6y ago
I've been thinking the same things, that there is a small likelihood there's a nasty black swan hiding in there somewhere. But in addition to the theory, we're approaching one year of empirical data on large-scale clinical tr
548.
by marvin 6y ago
Even if you believe Norway's numbers to be close to your average, it's ~1:20,000. So the odds are still quite safe, and it's thankfully cureable if discovered early.
549.
by marvin 6y ago
Also, if you're interested, the team of doctors at three Norwegian hospitals have just published their case study of the 5 Norwegian healthcare workers who experienced these rare blood clots. https://www.nejm.org/doi&#x
550.
by marvin 6y ago
You're blaming the qualitative difference in the observations on sample size when Denmark, Norway and Germany all observe the same effect to differing degrees - namely, rare blood clots approximately an order of magnitude more freque
551.
by marvin 6y ago
Northern Europe's greater observed incidence of this side effect is obviously one of the deciding factors of Denmark's decision. It could be a statistical anomaly, but concluding is premature at this point, especially when compari
552.
by marvin 6y ago
Norway has ~10 deaths from Covid in the <60 age range throughout the entire pandemic, and 3 deaths from AstraZeneca-related side effects in the same age group. But only a small minority of the <60 population has been vaccinated; almos
553.
by marvin 6y ago
Scandinavia has arrived at numbers that are many times higher than the international consensus, due to local observations. It seems very unlikely to be a statistical anomaly, although it isn't known yet whether it's due to incompl
554.
by marvin 6y ago
This would be correct if Covid was very widespread in Denmark, most of the at-risk >65 population wasn't vaccinated already and there weren't alternatives available very shortly. But none of these are true, so the overall ethic
555.
by marvin 6y ago
The >65 population in Scandinavia is largely vaccinated already, and incidence of new cases is low. So it's a decision that might be questioned, but which would have small real-world consequences even if it turned out to be incorrec
556.
by marvin 6y ago
From Norway, where I wouldn't be surprised if authorities arrive at the same conclusion in next few days, it can be summarized pretty quickly: -Risk of death from side effects in <65 patients is estimated at 3x higher than the inter
557.
by marvin 6y ago
I don't agree with the rebuttal - it seems like the author is picking a fight that's more of a woke-style personal attack than addressing problems that follow from wealth inequality in the US today. Knowing Paul Graham from years
558.
by marvin 6y ago
Yes - GP is right. When they say regulation, they mean preventing market forces from building as much prices allow. This NIMBYism is a global phenomenon and the root cause. All the other factors certainly contribute , but cheap credit only
559.
by marvin 6y ago
Most health authorities have made a tradeoff regarding vaccination strategy. There is an argument to be made that it would be better to vaccinate the groups that would spread the virus most in their day-to-day activities, such that herd imm
560.
by marvin 6y ago
That’s interesting. I thought it gave immunity against criminal prosecution if the officer «accidentally» did something criminal. The obvious solution is to ensure that police are actually tried and sentenced like regular citizens if they b
561.
by marvin 6y ago
I wonder how this will pan out for me. I'm increasingly thinking that just being employed is what's wrong for me. There's definitely something wrong, and it's not that I'm employed in the wrong place. It wouldn&
562.
by marvin 6y ago
The article stated that 25% preferred a full-time office situation. That's also a minority. And I don't think OP implied that the 66% who stated they wouldn't quit their jobs if forced to work on-site full time, be forced t
563.
by marvin 6y ago
Super fascinating. Wasn't aware that the suggested CO2 tax was this high. This is the order of magnitude we need to aim for, in order to make CO2 removal and reduction of CO2 emissions properly profitable. I get the impression that the
564.
by marvin 6y ago
I can't speak for Svalbard specifically, but Norway in general has a long history of heavily taxing and regulating alcohol. Alcohol stronger than beer can only be purchased at the state-run "wine monopoly", alcohol percentage
565.
by marvin 6y ago
I was making a rhetorical point, but it works if you switch out 'theoretically' with 'actually', and 'two weeks before' with 'while the first nuclear reactor was supercritical in Chicago'. I'm pr
566.
by marvin 6y ago
I'm not arguing against the points you are making, but they are subtly different from what OP implied. It's hard to make specific claims against a vague analogy that just seems to embody a mindset, but that's what I'm tr
567.
by marvin 6y ago
I don't think you and GP are in disagreement. The scientific method to let greater insights replace lesser ones is precisely to try and fail at falsifying observations that violate known physical laws. No physical law is holy for this
568.
by marvin 6y ago
On the other hand, this is the sort of attitude that would make an informed skeptic reject the theoretical possibility for nuclear power, two weeks before the first nuclear bombs were used in war. It took a team of physicists four years to
569.
by marvin 6y ago
This is an excellent essay. Lots of interesting thoughts on how culture develops and and spreads. Thanks for linking it, I feel wiser after reading it =)
570.
by marvin 6y ago
It's a very, tired joke, and context matters. Like how jokingly saying "call over one of the nerds, they'll sort it out" regarding a difficult problem would be okay in a technology company, but on the risky side (as in,

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