madchops1

8 ms·

31.
by madchops1 9y ago
Your are correct about no hedge agains outlying macro events. But I'm not suggesting using this without any other variables in your trading decision. It may help make a trading decision.
32.
by madchops1 9y ago
I love xkcd.
33.
by madchops1 9y ago
I know a lot of you hate this but the model has correctly predicted the correct direction of movement at end of day 9 out of 11 days since my model was under baseline and I began publishing my results. I know I've said this a few times
34.
by madchops1 9y ago
Also my models beat baseline in evaluations so I'm stoked on that. It took some doing to produce results with time-series data.
35.
by madchops1 9y ago
It may be a bit naive. going to keep working on this and I have found my indicators to greatly increase my own trading results and making the models evaluation numbers improve is very exciting and interesting to me and maybe others. Thanks
36.
by madchops1 9y ago
I will do this thank you for your feedback. I didn't release my results until my models were better than baseline in evaluation. Hence better than flipping a coin. I published the results of my evaluations so you can see that. Its not
37.
by madchops1 9y ago
I reacted that way because dude said he read the white-paper and somehow took this as a historical analysis of volume. Which it is not. I use historical open, high, change, last, settle, prev. day open interest, plus several other fields I
38.
by madchops1 9y ago
It was changed. I said "your just jelly". Sorry. I changed it.
39.
by madchops1 9y ago
The nice thing about QM is that 1 tick is a 12.50 dollar move. So its easy to cover fees. Today those were $50 profits. 2 shares moved 2 ticks. I use stops and limits of course. So my risk was about $100. Its not the same as options.
40.
by madchops1 9y ago
Thanks HockeyPlayer spot on.
41.
by madchops1 9y ago
I don't really have a strategy to copy. I just provide indicators that may affect how you decide to make a trade or not. Also the point of this project is to get machine models that evaluate below baseline by improving the analysis of
42.
by madchops1 9y ago
I will. Thank you for the advice.
43.
by madchops1 9y ago
I have been trading QM for a year or two now. It has low margin and good volatility for day trading. The tick value is 12.50. So movement of one tick will cover your trade costs. So it makes it possible for a beginner to start with ~$3-5000
44.
by madchops1 9y ago
touche. Sorry for my negative reaction.
45.
by madchops1 9y ago
Working on a tutorial...
46.
by madchops1 9y ago
I do appreciate the criticism though I honestly thought I'd get more. Results, results, results
47.
by madchops1 9y ago
Ya I should remove that. Ty
48.
by madchops1 9y ago
I did not know that. Thanks for the info.
49.
by madchops1 9y ago
Lol.
50.
by madchops1 9y ago
It's an indicator to assist in trading decisions not a crystal ball. And your analysis of my analysis is incorrect. I do have private backers using this. But I don't see why I can't share as well and have multiple streams of
51.
by madchops1 9y ago
Just look for feedback. I use many historical price values other than volume. Plus some specific things I have added for pattern recognition in time-series data. That's the special part.
52.
Machine learning predictions for QM eMini Crude Oil(dutchess.ai)
40 points by madchops1 9y ago|61 comments
53.
by madchops1 9y ago
I use historical data to train my machine learning models. So I don't require real-time data. I get the historical data from Quandl.
54.
Show HN: Dutchess.ai, AWS Machine Learning Crude Oil Futures AI Predictions(dutchess.ai)
6 points by madchops1 9y ago|3 comments
55.
by madchops1 10y ago
1) your acount shouldn't have been reactivated 2) but If you could get an account deaactivated without proving who you are, then that could cause a lot of issues.
56.
Show HN: Robot and Puppy Codepen(codepen.io)
1 points by madchops1 10y ago|0 comments
57.
by madchops1 10y ago
Ya.... I wonder where the rest of them ended up.
58.
by madchops1 10y ago
Save all your drawings :)
59.
by madchops1 10y ago
Thanks!
60.
Show HN: I doodle a lot in meetings so much that here is the web comic(robotandpuppy.com)
15 points by madchops1 10y ago|9 comments

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