mach1ne

49 ms·

241.
by mach1ne 4y ago
I don't think it's a question of incremental progress, with AGI behind some ghost line. I think the current progress is, despite all the excitement, actually orthogonal to true AGI development. We're developing ever more soph
242.
by mach1ne 4y ago
At some point they probably will be, but it seems unlikely to happen within the next 7 years at least. Deep Learning still has the same deep-seated issues it has had since its inception.
243.
by mach1ne 4y ago
No, that's the opposite of what I'm saying.
244.
by mach1ne 4y ago
>I think that's what bothered me most: I did my part, I tried to protect society by getting a shot, but when confronted with negative fall-out I had to fight for a diagnosis and was pretty much laughed out of the room for suggesting
245.
by mach1ne 4y ago
It's not a case where no children die if everyone takes the vaccine and 1900 children die if nobody does. There are numerous other variables at play, each of which contains some unknowns and affects quality of life or even the continui
246.
Meditations on Moloch(slatestarcodex.com)
2 points by mach1ne 4y ago|0 comments
247.
by mach1ne 4y ago
Eh, we might go there, but I don't think the core algorithm that's running in our heads has much to do with quantum-level.
248.
by mach1ne 4y ago
I was thinking more along the lines that it was found that the lab ferrets experienced slow but continuous neural degredation without an end in sight after infection. But you're right, it's not practical society-level to worry abo
249.
by mach1ne 4y ago
Please. If you want a citation of official authority, feel free to help yourself to the US Senate report released last week. https://www.help.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/report_an_analysis...
250.
by mach1ne 4y ago
I very much hope this is what it is. This theory is supported by the notion that massive death waves would supposedly put pressure on the current government.
251.
by mach1ne 4y ago
I'd like to add that the number of scientists is not a relevant metric either, though it is a variable.
252.
by mach1ne 4y ago
Yes, I too happen to know some research groups which are organized rather bluntly as not much more than citation factories for the researchers who are pulling in all the funding. Papers produced within the group are cross-cited with the exp
253.
by mach1ne 4y ago
I hope his shine hasn't burned out yet. People seem to do great things in their 20s, and then at best ride the wave they set in motion. Actually creating a wonder from zero after you've clocked 30 is very rare.
254.
by mach1ne 4y ago
Fair point, but even with rovers we have zero indication to the fact, and thus it's a very reasonable estimate.
255.
by mach1ne 4y ago
But instead of having a single planet generating random molecular combinations to roll for proto-DNA, you have billions or more. Life would have to evolve extremely commonly for it to be more probable to evolve by itself on any specific pla
256.
by mach1ne 4y ago
Reward-seeking intelligences might have innate features which prevent exponential expansion though and instead result in expansion-contraction loop. For example, for every new colony, the probability that any single colony will begin a civi
257.
by mach1ne 4y ago
Mars lost all of its (surface) water presumably due to solar wind, and thus never had time to evolve complex life. Earth would have faced the same fate were it not for the fact that the Moon collided with us at some distant point in time, s
258.
by mach1ne 4y ago
The crow has probably stuck its foot somewhere before and can associate the nail with that past experience. That being said, birds seem to have surprisingly complex innate behavior and even pattern recognition encoded within their brains.
259.
by mach1ne 4y ago
This is Stuxnet-like stuff which really reminds how out-of-world creations humans can come up with.
260.
by mach1ne 4y ago
I wouldn't hedge by bets on the Amish either though. The starving majority can be nasty, and permanent positions difficult to defend. Most people anywhere would starve, but intelligence has a cockroach-like ability to survive in the cr
261.
by mach1ne 4y ago
Extinct species become extinct because there is some change in their environment to which they are not successful at adapting. Generally speaking, neither the human genome or the wilderness of Earth has changed since we built our first huts
262.
by mach1ne 4y ago
It is very true that the Earth can simply not support 7-8 billion people without machine-based agriculture. The population would quickly collapse to a level which hunter-gathering can support, likely overshooting by some amount due to initi
263.
by mach1ne 4y ago
While hunter-gathering is no Garden of Eden, I don't think it's as bad as you describe for the simple fact that evolution has molded us to it specifically. Earth isn't designed for human life, but human life most certainly is
264.
by mach1ne 4y ago
I can attest to this. Furthermore, teams of two make it more difficult to check out of a shared problem and allow the other team members to do the work, thus it improves the overall performance.
265.
by mach1ne 4y ago
Although we attempt to store information in external mediums, it's humans who make the world go round. Funny to think that, in practice, the collective knowledge of mankind is a fuzzy imprecise mess coupled with a few scribbled notes.
266.
by mach1ne 4y ago
We're actually lucky that the current global political & economic system allows governments to enforce this. Companies can weasel out of paying taxes to the country in which they operate, but they generally can't escape the lo
267.
by mach1ne 4y ago
That's a different dynamic though. It's one where there is a central authority (even if a questioned one), whereas HN is more of a flat & direct democracy.
268.
by mach1ne 4y ago
There is probably truth in that. It's difficult to say as to the magnitude of the effect however.
269.
by mach1ne 4y ago
Given the number of slots available for 1 mil tiktok follower influencers versus those which require to calculate the differential of log(x), multiplied by resulting lifetime earnings, I differ with you and estimate that the latter's r
270.
by mach1ne 4y ago
What is this origin?

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