levocardia

6 ms·

91.
by levocardia 8mo ago
I personally would love it if AI would say "Sorry Dave (or Pete), I'm afraid I can't spy on Americans for you," and I'd happily pay higher taxes to force the Pentagon to use that AI.
92.
by levocardia 8mo ago
Anthropic put out another blog post about modernizing/migrating away from COBOL several months ago IIRC, it is surprising that this was not priced in already
93.
by levocardia 8mo ago
All the comments are about having babies but as the article points out the actual proximate reason the US population is declining right now is the immigration enforcement approach taken by the Trump administration. Fewer people are coming t
94.
by levocardia 8mo ago
Yes, I especially love it when the auto-playing video automatically goes to the lower-right hand corner of the screen when you scroll down so you don't miss anything. So convenient! Can't wait for this exciting new feature.
95.
by levocardia 8mo ago
What's especially funny is that the post reads exactly like it was written by an AI.
96.
by levocardia 9mo ago
The only thing that worries me is this snippet in the blog post: >This constitution is written for our mainline, general-access Claude models. We have some models built for specialized uses that don’t fully fit this constitution; as we c
97.
by levocardia 9mo ago
I suspect the trend would be even more extreme if multiplied by typical screen brightness over time!
98.
by levocardia 9mo ago
I'm reminded of the viral tweet along the lines of "Claude just one-shotted a 10k LOC web app from scratch, 10+ independent modules and full test coverage. None of it works, but it was beautiful nonetheless."
99.
by levocardia 9mo ago
This is generally happening in the context of RCTs where valid causal inferences are (almost always) guaranteed via the study design, regardless of whether your analysis is frequentist or Bayesian.
100.
by levocardia 9mo ago
Indeed, even more broadly online "Bayesian" seems to have taken on the form of "I know Bayes' Rule and think about base rates" as opposed to "Do you prefer jags or stan for MCMC?"
101.
by levocardia 9mo ago
Accepting Bayesian methods for RCTs is great news and leading biostatisticians like Frank Harrell have been pushing for this change for many years. What I'm most interested to see: will this actually be implemented in practice, or will
102.
by levocardia 9mo ago
At a meta level, good design is a very useful tool for discussions about good design!
103.
by levocardia 9mo ago
"While I can't provide medical advice..." is the 2025 version of "As a large language model trained by OpenAI..."
104.
by levocardia 9mo ago
The original study: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11547-025-02161-1 It was retrospective-only, i.e. a case series on women who were known to have breast cancer, so there were zero false negatives and
105.
by levocardia 9mo ago
But driving for Uber is much more pleasant than having a McJob. You can listen to music. You can set your own schedule. If you need more hours to make rent you can work more. If you get tired you can just go home.
106.
by levocardia 9mo ago
Work also gives people a status and an identity. Hard for many people to lose that, and can result in a surprising loss of social cache / status.
107.
by levocardia 9mo ago
Part of it is the uncomfortable fact that it is not very much fun to spend time with people who have small children -- it's hard to have a real conversation for more than a few minutes, and if you yourself don't have kids, what th
108.
by levocardia 9mo ago
Disagree, a blog that gets tens of thousands of unique visitors could clear huge numbers on KDP. Maybe your niche is too narrow (probably, given your TAM is in the thousands) but this post is about "timeless programming projects"
109.
by levocardia 9mo ago
No, their incentive is to wait and see what books are taking off, then pile on the money when they know it's already a winner. Today, unproven authors are expected to do their own marketing.
110.
by levocardia 9mo ago
I just take a grug brain approach. I do touch CLAUDE.md and then just explain how the code/files/project spec work, like I'm writing a slack message or email to a really smart colleague, and then let it rip, always using bigg
111.
by levocardia 9mo ago
If you can't beat 'em...buy 'em!
112.
by levocardia 9mo ago
Your experience is 100% compatible with the linked article: the seven-figure spender is presumably running a much higher margin business and can scale narrowly profitable ads much more effectively. The natural equilibrium for a perfect ad m
113.
by levocardia 9mo ago
I think it is mostly a good thing that LLMs have "WEIRD" values. We are at a very fortuitous point in history, where the modal position in extant written text is classically liberal and believes in respecting human rights. Virtual
114.
by levocardia 10mo ago
This is just a general argument against constant prices for everything though. Charging $1/lb for bananas is regressive. Charging $3/gallon for gas is regressive. Charging $10 for a t-shirt is regressive. Etc...
115.
by levocardia 10mo ago
Require housing in certain places? Now that's what I'd call broken economics. If there is such a need for housing near job centers...why wouldn't that automatically create the incentive to build it? (Hint: It does; the prob
116.
by levocardia 10mo ago
I make content and have a following that's ~1/10th the size of what he claims to have in this 2020 post, and I have had, within a rounding error, zero percent of the crazy encounters he had. YMMV. If I were a political influencer
117.
by levocardia 10mo ago
Ironically the very first coursera course was (IIRC) Andrew Ng's machine learning course, which was fantastic, and the deep learning specialization, which was also phenomenal. I can unironically say that Andrew Ng was the best instruct
118.
by levocardia 10mo ago
This is also true with other sources of knowledge though. Check any youtube course playlist and compare video views for first vs last lecture, often >80% dropoff. What percentage of library borrowers get past the first chapter of a book?
119.
by levocardia 10mo ago
I have done survey methodology research and fully agree, almost assuredly when you see questions worded in a seemingly "convoluted" way like this, the reason is that there was exhaustive research that found this wording was the be
120.
by levocardia 10mo ago
>At a minimum, you would expect the happiest countries in the world to have some of the lowest incidences of adverse mental health outcomes. But it turns out that the residents of the same Scandinavian countries that the press dutifully

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