kelnos

21 ms·

451.
by kelnos 5mo ago
Could that change, though? It's 20% slower now, but could it be 10% faster than the human in the future? 20% faster? Or even 50% or 80% faster? I really don't know, but it's plausible. Even today, consider that the GP&#x2
452.
by kelnos 5mo ago
I can run the same compiler (or assembler) with the same options on the same source code 100 times, and I will get bit-for-bit identical output 100 times (well, aside from the compiler/linker inserting time/date stamps into metada
453.
by kelnos 5mo ago
If AI actually succeeds at its promise, it won't be 99% of engineers and accountants, it will be 99% of nearly every profession that doesn't require physical labor. And if the AIs figure out how to cheaply build reliable human-li
454.
by kelnos 5mo ago
Sure, but that redefinition, retraining, and reallocation process could take a lifetime. Sucks to be the people who are unable to adapt in that time.
455.
by kelnos 5mo ago
This is just a function of the overton window. A couple decades ago most people probably thought a robot vacuum (with a camera on it!) was creepy, but now they're fairly commonplace, or at least well-accepted[0]. The bot safety issues
456.
by kelnos 5mo ago
Sure, but I still have to clear the dishes from the table, dump any larger food scraps into the compost bin, and put them in the dishwasher. Then when it's full I have to run the dishwasher, and empty it when it's finished, putti
457.
by kelnos 5mo ago
> Never have to fold laundry or the dishes again? If you're folding the dishes, I agree that you should probably get someone else, perhaps a robot, to replace you there. ;) But overall I absolutely agree. I don't want (and c
458.
by kelnos 5mo ago
> The French government will be bankrupt in the next couple of years. Their finances aren't in great shape, but if you think the ECB will let that happen, I have a bridge to sell you. (And the need for a bailout is far from a for
459.
by kelnos 5mo ago
Then the targets become the launch pads. Those space-based datacenters will need constant resupply and maintenance. Destroy launch capability, and their orbits will decay and all that computing capacity will burn up in the atmosphere. We
460.
by kelnos 5mo ago
In a way I think we've been seeing the horse analogy play out for a while, with declining birth rates in developed countries. When people are pessimistic about the future, they have fewer children. Perhaps it's not as dramatic a
461.
by kelnos 5mo ago
> The author suggests it will fail because we'll all use drugs and booze and commit suicide. But it works for retired people. They love it. The retired people who you know are happy love it. The retirement-age people who didn&#x2
462.
by kelnos 5mo ago
Not really the point. I think Musk just wanted to trim headcount down to something that could keep the product running, more or less, and get rid of all the costs he could. He didn't care about turning Twitter into a hugely successfu
463.
by kelnos 5mo ago
> Over 1 billion monthly users and over 100 billion messages a day, much of which is multimedia. Plus ads, payments, business integrations, a developer platform... Right, but it's already doing that, and runs just fine, from what
464.
by kelnos 5mo ago
No, that's not correct, in general. When people buy into an index fund/ETF, they are buying existing shares of that fund (which are already backed by the component stocks of that index) from other people who already have them. If
465.
by kelnos 5mo ago
> manic episodes and autistic hyper fixation. I generally try very very very hard to resist armchair-diagnosing people, but it was also very hard for me not to get that impression as well. She seems hyper fixated on people's r
466.
by kelnos 5mo ago
Those two things aren't incompatible: you can be humble, and simultaneously speak frankly (and without ego) about your accomplishments.
467.
by kelnos 5mo ago
This isn't an ego problem (though I think she may additionally have an ego problem). The author has espoused techno-fascist views (something she avoids actually mentioning in this post), and that seems to be the real reason why many p
468.
by kelnos 5mo ago
It was very odd to me that she never actually says what the views or beliefs are that has gotten her into trouble with so many people. But after digging a little more, it seems she is (was? still is?) a techno-fascist in the vein of Curtis
469.
by kelnos 5mo ago
But if people's wages don't increase when we go from a 5- to 4-day work week, where do consumers get the extra money to spend on that extra day off?
470.
by kelnos 5mo ago
Yes, it's just norms. 15 years ago, I worked for a small startup. For a good 8 or 9 months, we were working 6 and sometimes 7 days a week. We weren't contractually required to, but everyone "wanted" to. I use scare q
471.
by kelnos 5mo ago
It's easy to get around that; just switch your employees to a salaried arrangement, and now you're exempt from shelling out for overtime pay. Give the employees enough work such that they have to work on weekends... and... done.
472.
by kelnos 5mo ago
Just because someone else has it worse, it doesn't mean we can't want for something better for ourselves. And I personally would like that something better for the people who have it worse, too.
473.
by kelnos 5mo ago
Nearly 100 years ago, John Maynard Keynes said that by now we'd be working just 15 hours a week, because productivity gains would mean we could get a whole work-week of work done in that time. In reality, higher productivity just means
474.
by kelnos 5mo ago
Of what, though? A weird subjective pulled-out-of-the-ass rating system, with also pulled-out-of-the-ass weights? I think that's where GGP's confusion comes from.
475.
by kelnos 5mo ago
How are you sure that it hasn't hallucinated content that you end up relying on?
476.
by kelnos 5mo ago
> Did anyone actually like StackOverflow? Absolutely! It answered so many questions I had. I remember when it was relatively new, and I'd just heard about it, it profoundly changed how I found answers to programming questions.
477.
by kelnos 5mo ago
I don't think it's fair to blame this on LLMs. The last time I bought or even looked at a book of this type was easily 20 years ago. And I wouldn't have it any other way. I remember my ginormous Visual Basic 3 Bible from th
478.
by kelnos 5mo ago
My current strategy is to buy only Z-Wave gear. I run my own home automation software on a Raspberry Pi, but someone (i.e. nearly everyone) who wouldn't want to do that could (in theory!) buy a Z-Wave hub appliance, install its compan
479.
by kelnos 5mo ago
Home Assistant is well beyond the skills of the vast majority of people to install, set up, and maintain. And they don't want to have to maintain something like that. They want an appliance that they plug in and just works.
480.
by kelnos 5mo ago
Android does support suica/felica, and many (most?) phones have the hardware for it, but most manufacturers will only pay the licensing fees for it for their Japanese SKUs, leaving other SKUs with a software lock.

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